Bundesliga · resolved market
Will FSV Mainz 05 vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x184b3ff28be8c2adf702d972a5f0cc02f4bb57286c17b1448130925dd06f30ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,329
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,891
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,329 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 70c | 32,672$23,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,650.09 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 27c | 13,344$3,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,668.34 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 36c | 6,093$2,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,187.66 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 28c | 4,799$1,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,343.78 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 76c | 3,437$2,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.84 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef5…325ebacked Yes | 28c | 2,004$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 72c | 2,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.97 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 72c | 1,841$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.38 | 271 | 38.4%104 W · 167 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Yes | 28c | 1,786$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27ec…4bbcbacked Yes | 28c | 1,786$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed Yes | 28c | 1,761$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Yes | 28c | 1,341$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.5 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 28c | 1,275$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357 | 151 | 34.4%52 W · 99 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 21c | 1,130$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.7 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a0b…0d3bbacked Yes | 27c | 1,013$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50d7…2741backed No | 74c | 905.41$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2011…f296backed Yes | 26c | 699.97$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.99 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Yes | 28c | 687.69$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.35 | 195 | 44.6%87 W · 108 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb604…b046backed Yes | 27c | 677$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3b…6598backed Yes | 5c | 652.02$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.54 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked No | 76c | 641.46$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.88 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d2…75f2backed No | 73c | 634$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 17c | 626$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.42 | 46 | 19.6%9 W · 37 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 28c | 618$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.04 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc86…f1a6backed Yes | 27c | 537$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9d…ed50backed Yes | 27c | 448$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x148a…d483backed Yes | 27c | 424$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 17c | 422.15$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.77 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…8cd5backed Yes | 27c | 397$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaabc…0ea3backed Yes | 27c | 395$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 28c | 392.86$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0388…cc99backed Yes | 27c | 386$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe04e…9e28backed No | 73c | 379$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf515…0805backed Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked No | 72c | 355.86$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.2 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a0b…c8acbacked Yes | 27c | 353$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 27c | 344.73$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.92 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked No | 63c | 299.23$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.23 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…b30abacked No | 73c | 274$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3d…16b1backed No | 73c | 273$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa22b…177bbacked No | 73c | 264$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.20per pick | 36cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24a3…6448backed No | 73c | 262$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f9…8463backed No | 73c | 245.6$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa478…d961backed Yes | 38c | 228.95$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3aff…162abacked No | 73c | 201$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x154b…4917backed No | 72c | 199.98$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f7…8420backed No | 73c | 199$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d2…2e42backed No | 73c | 196$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…df9abacked No | 73c | 196$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d9…6f2ebacked No | 73c | 196$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf12e…ca08backed No | 73c | 194$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c08…2ab1backed No | 73c | 190$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53b8…0ee6backed Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9678…b4bfbacked Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…19ffbacked No | 73c | 174$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd564…4fd0backed No | 73c | 162$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d33…e208backed Yes | 28c | 160.71$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6b…7b61backed No | 68c | 160$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.8 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcafd…da48backed No | 73c | 159$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e79…2d68backed Yes | 38c | 157.89$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9de2…3adbbacked No | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4e…2c1fbacked Yes | 22c | 136.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Yes | 28c | 125$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Yes | 28c | 120$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 73c | 117.22$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.65 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 79c | 115.4$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.25 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Yes | 37c | 111.1$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.11 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…4345backed Yes | 25c | 110$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 75c | 110$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 446 | 55.4%247 W · 199 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…5480backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +4.7wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +80.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…808abacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 56 | 21.4%12 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Yes | 27c | 86$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed No | 74c | 81.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +12%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 67c | 74.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 88 | 70.5%62 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…c20dbacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d4…770ebacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -4.5wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 21c | 68.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf70…7d5fbacked No | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b90…30b6backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb74b…d765backed Yes | 18c | 60.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9449…b6c4backed Yes | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc11e…75c8backed Yes | 30c | 53.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9993backed Yes | 27c | 53.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 58 | 65.5%38 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf99d…f867backed Yes | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbed9…bbd3backed No | 70c | 39.94$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.98 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5d…fbb3backed No | 73c | 29.45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.95 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed No | 71c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 116 | 61.2%71 W · 45 L | +11.1wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xadd2…350cbacked No | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3e28…3e73backed No | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +99.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 73c | 13.98$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.79 | 151 | 60.9%92 W · 59 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FSV Mainz 05 vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach end in a draw?this page
- Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2025-12-05?Yes won
- Will FSV Mainz 05 win on 2025-12-05?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.