TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Bundesliga · resolved market

Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2025-12-05?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$156,607
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$185,005

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $156,607 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 180 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x057a…3bacbacked No54c24,652$13,323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,323.57648.7%37 W · 39 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes57c21,152$12,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,096.73,28442.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L-74.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No62c15,642$9,702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,701.743534.3%12 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x07c8…2696backed Yes38c13,158$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,157.894100%4 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+129.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No23c9,456$2,219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,218.9553645.9%246 W · 290 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed No63c6,935$4,369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,368.817447.3%35 W · 39 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1fe…9974backed Yes37c3,500$1,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2058637.2%32 W · 54 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed No62c3,276$2,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,045.125444.4%24 W · 30 L-5.5wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-23.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed No42c3,154$1,334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,334.3215847.5%75 W · 83 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+18.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb6cb…4a0cbacked Yes35c2,286$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,486.02250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0caf…abfebacked Yes40c2,263$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,363.161656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ef5…325ebacked Yes37c2,117$783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,333.64742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked No65c2,041$1,318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,317.632556%14 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x347c…525abacked Yes38c1,704$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,058.793644.4%16 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes38c1,618$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,003.424963.3%31 W · 18 L+5.7wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+25.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd0ee…fb4fbacked Yes37c1,352$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.62933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8224…e28abacked Yes39c1,282$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782.05250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No55c1,210$665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$664.8375142.5%319 W · 432 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2109…55bfbacked Yes38c1,148$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$711.992871.4%20 W · 8 L+4.9wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+37.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0f3b…be48backed No64c1,143$732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$731.71030%3 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.24per pick54cpaid-53.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xee04…9612backed Yes40c1,100$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$660933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-32.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes36c1,080$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690.2115134.4%52 W · 99 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Yes59c1,028$603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.8819544.6%87 W · 108 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed No18c1,027$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.614351.2%22 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53b8…0ee6backed Yes39c1,026$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$625.64366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+35.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No66c1,016$668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$667.7219347.2%91 W · 102 L-0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No63c1,014$639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$638.8714254.2%77 W · 65 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes76c994.83$756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.661,35550.9%690 W · 665 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked No20c993.49$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.654619.6%9 W · 37 L-5.9wins-0.13per pick32cpaid-54.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5fa9…a36dbacked Yes36c826.09$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.092853.6%15 W · 13 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+35.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No65c800$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5209048.9%44 W · 46 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes39c769.23$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.236262.9%39 W · 23 L+8.6wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+31%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes69c760.25$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.052,53839.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L-8.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No63c727.8$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.5127138.4%104 W · 167 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes37c699.22$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.433945.7%155 W · 184 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3944…6470backed Yes38c657.97$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.946041.7%25 W · 35 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes35c605.82$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.6634342%144 W · 199 L-0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8097…8a5fbacked Yes38c529.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.871936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd538…317cbacked Yes38c526.32$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.32742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick30cpaid+56.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No47c505.91$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.251136.8%188 W · 323 L-28.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-24.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes39c501.73$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.7320436.3%74 W · 130 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes44c459.06$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.756951.8%295 W · 274 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Yes38c440.32$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2732142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec92…98f5backed No63c415$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.453447.1%16 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No57c412.4$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.544749.4%221 W · 226 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes38c394.74$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.742842.9%12 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked No64c349.99$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.52665.4%17 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+13.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed No65c346.86$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.4615453.9%83 W · 71 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a4d…caa6backed No63c346.02$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x125e…992cbacked No65c327.7$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.97771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick70cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2da0…2f48backed Yes37c316.22$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.223250%16 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbaa8…645bbacked Yes36c313.11$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.39825%2 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-34.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1538…8c7ebacked Yes37c297.62$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+100.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Yes37c271.13$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.3615829.1%46 W · 112 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac8d…f98cbacked Yes37c270.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.492040%8 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x02fb…0a53backed Yes74c270.27$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.27475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x993e…8ee9backed Yes37c270.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.272100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+112.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b4e…2c1fbacked Yes37c269.97$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.771442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9ed…617ebacked Yes34c264.71$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.711450%7 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80ea…5595backed Yes38c263.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.16666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+33%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0db7…5c06backed Yes38c263.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.162661.5%16 W · 10 L+3.6wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+23.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x718a…5d86backed Yes76c263$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.12475%3 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick77cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc629…5e51backed Yes39c256.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.417958.2%46 W · 33 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7502…beafbacked Yes75c250.8$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.74100%4 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Yes35c228.45$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.4914756.5%83 W · 64 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x024e…2e48backed Yes34c217.65$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.651838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes35c201.81$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.814854.2%26 W · 22 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+29%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes33c200$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1349746.4%45 W · 52 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9493…7988backed Yes33c190$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.34443.2%19 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d11…c34dbacked Yes39c186.72$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.061376.9%10 W · 3 L+3.7wins+0.28per pick49cpaid+60.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9e8f…6b61backed No31c185.75$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.095532.7%18 W · 37 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-23.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3334…a65dbacked Yes38c183.99$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.992454.2%13 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Yes80c175.18$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.041764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick62cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fb1…4df1backed Yes74c171.43$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.57771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8816…7082backed Yes35c171.43$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.435347.2%25 W · 28 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xad28…770cbacked Yes34c168$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.883551.4%18 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x84e5…2303backed Yes32c156.32$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.323036.7%11 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-11.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Yes38c156.31$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.9110642.5%45 W · 61 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe6fe…c8c2backed No64c156.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb04…3ce1backed No66c151.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002941.4%12 W · 17 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6f45…5e8fbacked Yes37c150$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.5616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick46cpaid-55%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d0a…0809backed No20c148.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.693125.8%8 W · 23 L-4.8wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-37.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x504f…3ddcbacked No64c148.44$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$951163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x455f…bd63backed Yes35c142.86$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.86450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xffac…d469backed Yes38c141.67$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.176035%21 W · 39 L-6.4wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-30.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed No27c136.7$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.7513332.3%43 W · 90 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-37%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x26ab…41c1backed Yes37c135.14$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.143161.3%19 W · 12 L+3.8wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+27.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x47e6…fd61backed Yes37c135.14$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.14425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b46…188ebacked Yes37c135.12$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.71353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x051c…f25dbacked Yes38c133$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.463839.5%15 W · 23 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe333…cf5fbacked Yes38c131.58$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.582152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9020…2cfcbacked Yes39c129.9$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.242544%11 W · 14 L+3.9wins+0.15per pick29cpaid+51.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xba79…17f9backed Yes77c127.86$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.412100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Yes34c126.52$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.52737%10 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-20.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0157…d8dcbacked Yes35c123.83$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.494860.4%29 W · 19 L+5.2wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+17%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes37c121.62$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.6218840.4%76 W · 112 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x89cb…574cbacked Yes37c108.11$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.11862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+33.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x203e…a9b5backed Yes37c108.11$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.111040%4 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe72e…b33dbacked Yes46c105$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.55540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-24.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xba49…a4a1backed Yes39c102.56$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.56475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+61.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.