TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x80ea…5595

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
106
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: La Liga, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 58 out of 100; worst Mls at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT2454.2%13 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$23.55
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 198.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$799Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+47.4%+$378.93
Mavericks vs. Kingsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$35.71
Mavericks vs. Kings: 1H Moneylinebacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$19.13
Clippers vs. Thunderbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$48.7
Heat vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$88.95
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+163.9%+$114.47
Hawks vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+54%+$86.33
Grizzlies vs. Timberwolvesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$362Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+111.4%+$403.75
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$143.78
Raptors vs. Heatbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+116%+$126.41
Pistons vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Warriors vs. Trail Blazersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Pelicans vs. Bullsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+31.8%+$30.87
Hornets vs. Cavaliersbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+72.4%+$44.4
Wizards vs. Pacersbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+25%+$12.28
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$106
Jazz vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$17.03
Pacers vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+49.3%+$51.55
Hawks vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+38.9%+$40.09
Celtics vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+127.5%+$16.5
Thunder vs. Trail Blazersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$32.58
Thunder vs. Clippersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+35.1%+$67.95
Bucks vs. Raptorsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$82.6
All 24 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST1250%6 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+185.7%+$41.04
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$24.11
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+25%+$50.2
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+42.9%+$91.27
FC Bayern München vs. Sporting CP: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$75.35
Arsenal FC vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+66.7%+$41.46
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$32.08
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$458Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$458.01
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+222.6%+$29.34
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+49.4%+$71.35
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 12 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+34.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.48
Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 12.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$337Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+42.5%+$143
Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$40.47
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+92.3%+$23.58
Chelsea FC vs. Everton FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Manchester United win on 2025-12-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+66.3%+$107.44
Will Arsenal win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$139.17
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+376.2%+$135.62
Aston Villa vs. Arsenal: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+104.2%+$96.96
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Everton end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$8.17
All 11 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1020%2 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-46.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$236Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+194.1%+$457.46
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$389Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+137%+$533.03
US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$50
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$785Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$784.92
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$254Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$253.85
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$197.76
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$980Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$979.54
US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$347Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$347.36
Will the US strike Iran next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$229Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$228.52
US strikes Iran by January 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 10 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick19cpaid-69%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT6100%6 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+60%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+33%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-32.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick70cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+101.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2025-12-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+150%+$31.45
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+53%+$103.36
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 17, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Poland win on 2025-11-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+28.2%+$29.75
Will Israel win on 2025-11-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+37%+$33.08
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Dallas win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Los Angeles FC vs. Austin FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.11
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Racing Club vs. CR Flamengo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$16.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Makhachev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+35.1%+$17.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$366Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$366.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texans vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$15.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$70.06
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.