NBA · resolved market
Wizards vs. Pacers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1922a6c635e698d36f64774a458ecac03ac1a555754125810e0affcecdccbebe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wizardsof Wizards, Pacers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,207,315
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,394,462
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,207,315 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 572 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x18d1…dbcbbacked Wizards | 23c | 129,524$30,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99,523.88 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Wizards | 24c | 51,934$12,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,411.35 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Wizards | 25c | 38,529$9,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,083.61 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Pacers | 74c | 35,529$26,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,339.21 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15bd…3e07backed Wizards | 74c | 30,643$22,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,030.94 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Pacers | 57c | 26,187$15,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,016 | 340 | 62.1%211 W · 129 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Pacers | 59c | 25,308$14,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,960.83 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27cb…169ebacked Wizards | 22c | 25,074$5,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,457.86 | 274 | 24.5%67 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Pacers | 77c | 22,529$17,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,436.26 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Pacers | 78c | 21,657$16,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,892.25 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Pacers | 25c | 19,089$4,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,725.71 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Pacers | 27c | 18,742$5,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,110.45 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Pacers | 78c | 18,333$14,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,300 | 356 | 51.1%182 W · 174 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Pacers | 25c | 16,506$4,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,058.35 | 524 | 60.1%315 W · 209 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Pacers | 77c | 16,466$12,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,647.74 | 309 | 47.6%147 W · 162 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pacers | 77c | 15,441$11,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,892.42 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Pacers | 77c | 14,007$10,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,730.68 | 489 | 44.2%216 W · 273 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Pacers | 44c | 13,944$6,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,130.33 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Pacers | 76c | 12,440$9,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,487.58 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Pacers | 76c | 10,960$8,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,359.2 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Pacers | 29c | 10,000$2,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,866.65 | 173 | 48.6%84 W · 89 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Pacers | 32c | 9,740$3,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,132.66 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pacers | 49c | 9,530$4,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,668.13 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Pacers | 78c | 9,225$7,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,195.43 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Pacers | 77c | 9,183$7,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,070.79 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f05…8937backed Wizards | 22c | 9,104$1,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,141.05 | 470 | 28.1%132 W · 338 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Pacers | 78c | 8,765$6,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,836.59 | 246 | 50%123 W · 123 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b40…d85ebacked Pacers | 1c | 8,478$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.78 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa297…8e9bbacked Pacers | 5c | 7,069$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed Wizards | 65c | 7,004$4,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,451.32 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Pacers | 6c | 6,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe354…ef24backed Pacers | 75c | 5,478$4,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,131 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe786…b716backed Pacers | 78c | 5,424$4,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,230.78 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1692…831fbacked Pacers | 52c | 5,378$2,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,793.1 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Pacers | 50c | 5,134$2,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,574.18 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Wizards | 24c | 5,100$1,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,886.5 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Wizards | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,199.98 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Pacers | 18c | 4,879$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.97 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Pacers | 34c | 4,856$1,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,646.81 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c28…7ba5backed Wizards | 23c | 4,600$1,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,542 | 131 | 48.9%64 W · 67 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35bd…1ecfbacked Pacers | 75c | 4,600$3,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,450 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6629…d64fbacked Pacers | 44c | 4,545$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4afd…4d18backed Wizards | 24c | 4,132$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,154.94 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Pacers | 77c | 3,994$3,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,080.19 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x708d…8a09backed Wizards | 22c | 3,907$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,051.66 | 219 | 23.7%52 W · 167 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a60…3170backed Pacers | 75c | 3,674$2,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,755.35 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…8977backed Pacers | 75c | 3,592$2,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,707.07 | 623 | 47.7%297 W · 326 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Wizards | 52c | 3,573$1,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,714.9 | 853 | 44%375 W · 478 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdddc…ced2backed Wizards | 67c | 3,535$2,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,177.99 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pacers | 65c | 3,414$2,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,222.5 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Wizards | 23c | 3,248$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,501.12 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b5f…0c49backed Pacers | 78c | 3,200$2,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,496 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed Pacers | 19c | 3,120$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.8 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39a3…1d40backed Wizards | 22c | 3,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,340 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Wizards | 22c | 3,000$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,335.7 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Pacers | 77c | 2,800$2,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,151.17 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f52…8cbbbacked Wizards | 53c | 2,773$1,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,307.8 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.36per pick | 65cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x254b…18c5backed Pacers | 78c | 2,700$2,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,094 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa1…a24cbacked Wizards | 24c | 2,696$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,060.96 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +212.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Wizards | 25c | 2,672$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,004.35 | 342 | 27.2%93 W · 249 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked Wizards | 23c | 2,615$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,013.55 | 240 | 48.3%116 W · 124 L | -13.4wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4137…586cbacked Pacers | 75c | 2,500$1,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,865 | 470 | 43.8%206 W · 264 L | -22.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Wizards | 22c | 2,500$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,950 | 466 | 32.6%152 W · 314 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea62…196cbacked Wizards | 29c | 2,494$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,770.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Wizards | 22c | 2,425$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,899.83 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Pacers | 76c | 2,401$1,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,824.98 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Pacers | 1c | 2,395$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.35 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9d…992bbacked Pacers | 36c | 2,381$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858 | 118 | 34.7%41 W · 77 L | -9.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Pacers | 51c | 2,282$1,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,159.17 | 439 | 58.8%258 W · 181 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Wizards | 22c | 2,273$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,772.73 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1448…9b9cbacked Pacers | 44c | 2,248$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Wizards | 23c | 2,174$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,673.91 | 161 | 36%58 W · 103 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa925…e1c8backed Wizards | 32c | 2,031$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,381.27 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…e8f1backed Wizards | 29c | 2,004$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,424.41 | 248 | 31.9%79 W · 169 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2eed…85a9backed Pacers | 72c | 2,000$1,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,436 | 314 | 55.1%173 W · 141 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b73…77edbacked Wizards | 29c | 1,943$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,379.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Wizards | 78c | 1,921$1,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.66 | 400 | 41.5%166 W · 234 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa33a…f84fbacked Wizards | 24c | 1,900$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,444 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0440…a995backed Pacers | 75c | 1,900$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,425 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec5e…ef8dbacked Pacers | 78c | 1,900$1,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,482 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Pacers | 7c | 1,889$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.23 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dcc…c90cbacked Wizards | 29c | 1,886$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,339.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe212…d5f4backed Pacers | 80c | 1,847$1,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,477.35 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Wizards | 67c | 1,816$1,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.06 | 184 | 53.3%98 W · 86 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3398…4de3backed Wizards | 29c | 1,797$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275.87 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.74per pick | 27cpaid | +280.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Wizards | 25c | 1,752$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,318.55 | 608 | 34.4%209 W · 399 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x556d…a234backed Wizards | 29c | 1,718$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,219.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d05…6f11backed Pacers | 48c | 1,700$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.99 | 265 | 46%122 W · 143 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4209…7582backed Pacers | 25c | 1,582$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.64 | 332 | 35.5%118 W · 214 L | -27.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0140…f773backed Wizards | 23c | 1,558$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,197.09 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | +6.2wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +57%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Wizards | 74c | 1,537$1,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.53 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa229…576ebacked Wizards | 66c | 1,531$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.28 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 56cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed Wizards | 23c | 1,485$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,148.65 | 116 | 49.1%57 W · 59 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x114f…3c61backed Wizards | 29c | 1,415$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0835…7ac0backed Wizards | 24c | 1,400$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Wizards | 23c | 1,400$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.91 | 215 | 38.1%82 W · 133 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Pacers | 36c | 1,395$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.18 | 531 | 34.7%184 W · 347 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e7…17bfbacked Wizards | 29c | 1,383$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5db7…27a3backed Pacers | 71c | 1,383$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.93 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Wizards | 28c | 1,376$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.39 | 251 | 46.2%116 W · 135 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wizards vs. Pacersthis page
- Spread: Pacers (-10.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Pacers (-8.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Pacers (-9.5)Wizards won
- Wizards vs. Pacers: 1H O/U 120.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Pacers: 1H O/U 121.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Pacers: O/U 232.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Pacers: O/U 233.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Pacers: O/U 234.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Pacers: O/U 235.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.