NBA · resolved market
Spread: Pacers (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd9869e2acd381588d6ad10e3db096444879ad930471e109414cb8757082459e0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wizardsof Pacers, Wizards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,906
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,094
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,906 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3ede…6c27backed Wizards | 48c | 2,010$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.1 | 451 | 51.4%232 W · 219 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Wizards | 47c | 1,981$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,053.86 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Pacers | 57c | 1,976$1,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,121.47 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f16…0246backed Pacers | 53c | 1,890$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 386 | 49.5%191 W · 195 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x535b…25a9backed Pacers | 57c | 1,745$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 125 | 55.2%69 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Wizards | 43c | 1,369$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.42 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Pacers | 54c | 1,300$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…e20fbacked Wizards | 46c | 1,082$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.99 | 499 | 38.9%194 W · 305 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Pacers | 50c | 1,076$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.34 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Wizards | 48c | 777.32$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.87 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a2…b10bbacked Wizards | 52c | 750$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed Wizards | 44c | 699.98$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.99 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Wizards | 42c | 697.72$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.68 | 267 | 53.2%142 W · 125 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Wizards | 45c | 693.33$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.33 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pacers | 51c | 599.35$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.03 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9519…3b2ebacked Pacers | 56c | 536.85$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303 | 178 | 56.2%100 W · 78 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb611…2b5dbacked Pacers | 54c | 524.07$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Pacers | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Pacers | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21b4…e064backed Pacers | 56c | 468.68$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.43 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Wizards | 45c | 306.67$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.67 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Pacers | 54c | 300$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2128…4c6dbacked Wizards | 43c | 201.46$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.83 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -5.6wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -26%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Pacers | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 366 | 49.5%181 W · 185 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Wizards | 50c | 155$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.18 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Wizards | 45c | 154.21$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.52 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Wizards | 46c | 132.78$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.7 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Pacers | 52c | 113.68$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.11 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Wizards | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…ce58backed Pacers | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Wizards | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 184 | 53.3%98 W · 86 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x623c…dde0backed Pacers | 51c | 99.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Wizards | 49c | 96.16$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.04 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Wizards | 43c | 87$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.59 | 762 | 47.1%359 W · 403 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Wizards | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Wizards | 43c | 63.7$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.31 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Pacers | 53c | 57.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.25 | 526 | 43%226 W · 300 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Wizards | 50c | 54.72$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.54 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…97dfbacked Pacers | 55c | 54.06$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 162 | 53.1%86 W · 76 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe56e…0bb4backed Pacers | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 242 | 48.3%117 W · 125 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Pacers | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Pacers | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5551…3d58backed Wizards | 53c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.75 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Wizards | 47c | 49.41$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.03 | 251 | 50.2%126 W · 125 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Wizards | 44c | 43.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.11 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedb5…ce8ebacked Wizards | 49c | 41.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.22 | 217 | 56.7%123 W · 94 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Wizards | 49c | 38.81$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.79 | 339 | 49.9%169 W · 170 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Wizards | 50c | 36.12$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.06 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Pacers | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 610 | 56.1%342 W · 268 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Wizards | 52c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 205 | 36.6%75 W · 130 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Wizards | 50c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.17 | 318 | 52.2%166 W · 152 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb4…8830backed Wizards | 59c | 33.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.83 | 202 | 41.1%83 W · 119 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1600…5a08backed Pacers | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 141 | 27.7%39 W · 102 L | -16.4wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Wizards | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 635 | 55.6%353 W · 282 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…b60cbacked Pacers | 52c | 23.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Pacers | 53c | 21.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 434 | 53.2%231 W · 203 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ad…cc15backed Wizards | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -4.7wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4254…b8d2backed Pacers | 57c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pacers (-8.5)this page
- Spread: Pacers (-10.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Pacers (-9.5)Wizards won
- Wizards vs. PacersWizards won
- Wizards vs. Pacers: 1H O/U 120.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Pacers: 1H O/U 121.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Pacers: O/U 232.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Pacers: O/U 233.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Pacers: O/U 234.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Pacers: O/U 235.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.