TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Pacers (-9.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Wizardsof Pacers, Wizards
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$396,966
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$412,574

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $396,966 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9165…5b98backed Pacers54c322,584$172,903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172,902.9625248.4%122 W · 130 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Wizards46c206,382$95,747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110,635.232,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Wizards47c51,522$24,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,376.139,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Wizards47c40,410$18,791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,618.95,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Pacers53c19,114$10,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,130.481,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed Pacers52c11,029$5,735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,735.1619351.3%99 W · 94 L-0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed Wizards45c10,000$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,50017658%102 W · 74 L+13.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Wizards47c7,791$3,683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,108.446,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Wizards48c7,395$3,521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,873.941,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee14…8055backed Wizards47c6,000$2,790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,21018453.3%98 W · 86 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbde3…4a49backed Pacers50c5,555$2,778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,777.527251.1%139 W · 133 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Wizards47c3,902$1,825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,077.012,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Wizards53c3,715$1,967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,747.888,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Wizards47c3,493$1,638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,854.541,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x15ff…62ccbacked Wizards50c3,264$1,631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,633.016442.2%27 W · 37 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Wizards47c2,600$1,218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,381.712,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Wizards50c2,399$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,199.3935651.1%182 W · 174 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Wizards50c2,005$1,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,002.51,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Pacers50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00072241.4%299 W · 423 L+2.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c86…1ed3backed Wizards47c2,000$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0604647.8%22 W · 24 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Wizards46c1,999$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,079.522,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x535b…25a9backed Pacers52c1,923$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00012555.2%69 W · 56 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe403…3d50backed Wizards47c1,858$873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$984.7454747.5%260 W · 287 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Wizards48c1,527$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$788.582,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6884…6ccfbacked Pacers52c1,371$713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$712.8139051.5%201 W · 189 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Wizards47c1,244$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$660.121,45149.7%721 W · 730 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Wizards48c1,200$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6241,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Wizards46c1,195$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$645.32,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f16…0246backed Pacers53c1,124$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60038649.5%191 W · 195 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed Wizards47c800$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42450047.2%236 W · 264 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Wizards46c590.52$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.883,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Pacers20c512.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.1267921.4%145 W · 534 L+32.4wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+33.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x21b4…e064backed Wizards50c471.06$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.5311946.2%55 W · 64 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa35b…0eccbacked Wizards56c446.43$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.4324556.3%138 W · 107 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Wizards48c400$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2081,19747.5%569 W · 628 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2c7…2e93backed Pacers51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20021152.6%111 W · 100 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Wizards53c332.59$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.3452643%226 W · 300 L-19.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Wizards47c308.51$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.5154246.7%253 W · 289 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Wizards50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Wizards51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$984,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Pacers51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Pacers50c179$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.52,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa65b…b0c0backed Wizards49c166$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.669560%57 W · 38 L+10.7wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+20.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x107c…3ef7backed Wizards53c141.51$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.511650%8 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc49c…6dcabacked Wizards49c136$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.367951.9%41 W · 38 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Pacers47c134.77$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.054,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Wizards55c127.27$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.2781845.7%374 W · 444 L+9.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Wizards80c123$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.62,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9270…7c9ebacked Wizards46c111.11$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6011445.6%52 W · 62 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x265b…74dfbacked Wizards47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.385345.3%24 W · 29 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Wizards47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5395548.5%463 W · 492 L-3.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Wizards49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5163745.8%292 W · 345 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ddb…420bbacked Pacers51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5129458.5%172 W · 122 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15e3…009fbacked Pacers50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5037357.4%214 W · 159 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32d6…844bbacked Wizards49c96$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.968759.8%52 W · 35 L+7.6wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+15.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x60a8…9bd6backed Pacers43c92.4$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.62333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-38.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f7a…6563backed Wizards50c78$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395253.8%28 W · 24 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x602d…3534backed Pacers50c70$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3537755.7%210 W · 167 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae28…5d17backed Wizards49c62$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.623860.5%23 W · 15 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+17.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd9a7…261bbacked Pacers51c60$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.64242.9%18 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Wizards50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9242…60babacked Wizards48c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.24560%27 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x102f…9b6ebacked Wizards49c58$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.586053.3%32 W · 28 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7181…1b0abacked Wizards80c55.46$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.0924955%137 W · 112 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb520…60bcbacked Pacers51c55$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.053053.3%16 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7ce…14b4backed Pacers55c54.55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3012157%69 W · 52 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2587…a117backed Wizards49c54$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.544247.6%20 W · 22 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e75…0143backed Wizards46c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278146.9%38 W · 43 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05ba…2117backed Pacers51c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.52857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6132…7665backed Wizards49c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.53658.3%21 W · 15 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x44b8…a2d7backed Wizards48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6718347.5%87 W · 96 L+0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68e8…4facbacked Pacers51c41$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.915048%24 W · 26 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Wizards45c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2253951.6%278 W · 261 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f02…c594backed Wizards50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204050%20 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bc5…7ac4backed Pacers51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207452.7%39 W · 35 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Wizards47c38$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.141,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc383…c054backed Wizards56c37.09$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.328457.1%48 W · 36 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick58cpaid+7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb51b…779dbacked Pacers54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+36.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5077…4e7cbacked Pacers49c36.29$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.789733%32 W · 65 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-30.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc39b…5754backed Pacers51c36$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.363946.2%18 W · 21 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x806c…3381backed Pacers51c36$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.361741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-25.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x12af…0730backed Pacers51c34$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.343342.4%14 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7590…d6e0backed Wizards50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154158.5%24 W · 17 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x78a4…05afbacked Pacers51c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.33250%16 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Wizards47c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.963555.6%353 W · 282 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7483…96a6backed Pacers51c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.34746.8%22 W · 25 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb59a…e730backed Pacers51c29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.793336.4%12 W · 21 L-5.3wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-30.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x973e…22ebbacked Wizards50c28$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1459948.4%290 W · 309 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e47…a7abbacked Wizards55c27.27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2749852.4%261 W · 237 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1af…c803backed Wizards56c26.79$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.791471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+35.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x84c6…f8afbacked Pacers51c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.753240.6%13 W · 19 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-23.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2ec1…f195backed Pacers53c21.45$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.371060%6 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+15.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a31…152cbacked Wizards50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1048451.2%248 W · 236 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7399…fe96backed Pacers51c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.22433.3%8 W · 16 L-4.7wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-35.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8677…4d2cbacked Wizards50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1015643.6%68 W · 88 L-8.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xea29…9b02backed Pacers53c19.85$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.