TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x265b…74df

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
137
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: CS2, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 61 out of 100; worst Lol at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT5345.3%24 W · 29 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicks: 1H Moneylinebacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.6
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
1H Spread: Knicks (-1.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$24.44
Suns vs. Heat: O/U 230.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$20.47
Hornets vs. Clippersbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$32
Spread: Timberwolves (-2.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+100%+$45
Spread: Thunder (-14.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Hawks vs. Warriorsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+108.3%+$48.75
Spread: Hornets (-4.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Heat vs. Pacers: O/U 236.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Spread: Rockets (-6.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+108.3%+$48.75
Kings vs. Warriors: O/U 230.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+92.3%+$41.54
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+98.3%+$44.22
Spread: Raptors (-2.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+96.1%+$43.24
Mavericks vs. Kings: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+100.8%+$45.35
Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+117.4%+$52.83
Spread: Warriors (-3.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+104.1%+$35.85
Spread: Pistons (-1.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+112.8%+$45.11
Spread: Warriors (-12.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+100%+$30
Rockets vs. Nets: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Spread: Raptors (-3.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Hawks (-4.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$51
Spread: Trail Blazers (-4.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+108.3%+$62.83
Hornets vs. Pistons: O/U 234.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT3265.6%21 W · 11 L+5.4wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+36.3%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
CS2 — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.2
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.99
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Young Ninjas (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Group Cbacked Young Ninjas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Legacy (-3.5) vs TYLOO (+3.5)backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 - Map 2 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+78.9%+$15.77
Counter-Strike: Washington vs CSDIILIT (BO3)backed Washington · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+122.2%+$50.11
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+100%+$30
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+244.8%+$122.41
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs FaZe - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+81.8%+$55.64
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Team Falcons (BO3)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+122.2%+$61.11
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Liquid (BO3)backed Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+63.9%+$31.97
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz (BO1)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+108.3%+$56.33
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs TheMongolz (BO1)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+104.1%+$52.04
Counter-Strike: paiN vs 3DMAX (BO1)backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+100%+$50
Counter-Strike: NIP vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winnerbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+96.1%+$48.04
Counter-Strike: NIP vs 3DMAX - Map 1 Winnerbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+127.3%+$55.43
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$45
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs M80 (BO3)backed Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+100%+$34
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs M80 - Map 2 Winnerbacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+104.1%+$52.04
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT1330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.18per pick49cpaid-33.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Cricket — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australiabacked Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Big Bash League: Sydney Thunder vs Melbourne Renegades (Game 1)backed Melbourne Renegades · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$45
SA20: Sunrisers Eastern Cape vs Durban's Super Giants (Game 1)backed Sunrisers Eastern Cape · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Big Bash League: Brisbane Heat vs Sydney Thunder (Game 1)backed Sydney Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Big Bash League: Hobart Hurricanes vs Adelaide Strikers (Game 1)backed Adelaide Strikers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Big Bash League: Melbourne Stars vs Sydney Sixers (Game 1)backed Melbourne Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Big Bash League: Perth Scorchers vs Melbourne Renegades (Game 1)backed Melbourne Renegades · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+163.2%+$40.79
Big Bash League: Adelaide Strikers vs Sydney Thunder (Game 1)backed Sydney Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Big Bash League: Sydney Sixers vs Brisbane Heat (Game 1)backed Brisbane Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Big Bash League: Perth Scorchers vs Adelaide Strikers (Game 1)backed Perth Scorchers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+69.5%+$27.8
Big Bash League: Hobart Hurricanes vs Perth Scorchers (Game 1)backed Perth Scorchers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+107.1%+$32.14
Big Bash League: Adelaide Strikers vs Melbourne Stars (Game 1)backed Adelaide Strikers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Big Bash League: Sydney Thunder vs Sydney Sixers (Game 1)backed Sydney Sixers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+122.2%+$42.78
All 13 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick51cpaid+59%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+27.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+19.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+34.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.57
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$21.27
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padresbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$22.09
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
All 4 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+115.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+127.3%+$57.27
Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+104.1%+$46.84
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SC Freiburg vs. Hamburger SV: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$34.29
VfL Wolfsburg vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+96.1%+$48.04
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$45
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 323: Moreno vs. Taira (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Moreno · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$55
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
James Madison vs. Oregon: O/U 46.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$60
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Gen.G Esports vs Paper Rex (BO5)backed Gen.G Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$60
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Dream vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 163.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.