CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs M80 - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x415d842cd5288cdf0331a3b0473285243aa22078caa280ef7e42de37f4d0a31d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- M80of Imperial, M80
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $110,142
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $123,473
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $110,142 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked M80 | 75c | 30,531$22,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,673.71 | 224 | 68.8%154 W · 70 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 72cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92fd…a8cabacked Imperial | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Imperial | 5c | 13,322$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.79 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Imperial | 49c | 6,210$3,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,018.49 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Imperial | 21c | 6,000$1,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275.63 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa9…a36dbacked Imperial | 38c | 5,900$2,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,247.01 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Imperial | 38c | 5,199$1,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,975.62 | 210 | 51%107 W · 103 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed M80 | 51c | 5,116$2,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,512.83 | 458 | 48.5%222 W · 236 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed M80 | 48c | 3,731$1,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,940.04 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed M80 | 56c | 3,538$1,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,569.58 | 469 | 49.7%233 W · 236 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3520…f128backed Imperial | 24c | 2,288$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…5977backed M80 | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.99 | 576 | 47.6%274 W · 302 L | -25.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked M80 | 72c | 1,939$1,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.19 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Imperial | 23c | 1,745$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.65 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27c5…6d61backed Imperial | 52c | 1,679$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbba…f349backed M80 | 49c | 1,335$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.14 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -5.2wins | -0.21per pick | 53cpaid | -45%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Imperial | 13c | 1,050$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.5 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ad…683fbacked Imperial | 52c | 960.88$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.66 | 355 | 50.1%178 W · 177 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffc…8967backed Imperial | 29c | 900$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261 | 97 | 34%33 W · 64 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked M80 | 47c | 776.99$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.81 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…8e51backed Imperial | 6c | 750$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 417 | 16.5%69 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd3…4191backed Imperial | 20c | 586.37$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.9 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…3f01backed Imperial | 52c | 572.05$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 152 | 49.3%75 W · 77 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked M80 | 49c | 560$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.6 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Imperial | 52c | 556.38$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.5 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | -7.8wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14fa…73f0backed M80 | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Imperial | 46c | 504.92$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.73 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…8bfabacked Imperial | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5165…252bbacked Imperial | 27c | 457.49$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fa…44e5backed Imperial | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed Imperial | 14c | 370$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 608 | 38.2%232 W · 376 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae8…0e50backed Imperial | 11c | 368.69$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf376…953abacked Imperial | 9c | 360$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.9 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 23cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x48a5…a903backed M80 | 48c | 350$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182 | 114 | 40.4%46 W · 68 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c0…3cd3backed Imperial | 50c | 301.22$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 225 | 60.4%136 W · 89 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa60…556cbacked Imperial | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 323 | 52%168 W · 155 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdff0…f573backed Imperial | 48c | 255.68$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…60e1backed Imperial | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa019…c220backed Imperial | 41c | 200$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 214 | 37.9%81 W · 133 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e4d…d116backed Imperial | 29c | 175.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed Imperial | 49c | 173.68$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.11 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa59…aacabacked Imperial | 41c | 145$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.5 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbb…e5bcbacked M80 | 53c | 140$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.8 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Imperial | 26c | 135$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked Imperial | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 264 | 38.6%102 W · 162 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed M80 | 49c | 102.45$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.25 | 524 | 49%257 W · 267 L | -27.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b1…c973backed M80 | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x265b…74dfbacked M80 | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +5.4wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…ffb8backed Imperial | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a0…d7a5backed M80 | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb80d…0ac1backed Imperial | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.85 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fa…f3bebacked Imperial | 33c | 96.32$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.7 | 83 | 66.3%55 W · 28 L | +11.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +27%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9e…79e4backed M80 | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd431…87c1backed Imperial | 22c | 89.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26f7…8e2ebacked Imperial | 53c | 84.85$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.97 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -5.0wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x01da…880fbacked Imperial | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked Imperial | 30c | 71$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.23 | 696 | 24%167 W · 529 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf016…fe4ebacked Imperial | 26c | 45.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x047a…941ebacked M80 | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0338…4f11backed Imperial | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b9…c68cbacked M80 | 80c | 35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07a8…18b2backed Imperial | 53c | 32.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6d…22a7backed Imperial | 53c | 30.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e74…1823backed M80 | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed M80 | 49c | 20.67$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 184 | 47.8%88 W · 96 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Imperial vs M80 - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Imperial vs M80 (BO3)Imperial won
- Counter-Strike: Imperial vs M80 - Map 1 WinnerImperial won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.