TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Imperial vs M80 - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Imperialof Imperial, M80
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$133,341
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$148,419

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $133,341 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x56c9…0d9ebacked M8074c15,596$11,494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,493.922468.8%154 W · 70 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick72cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Imperial39c14,481$5,681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,799.974,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x14fa…73f0backed M802c10,170$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.4810753.3%57 W · 50 L-0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Imperial37c8,587$3,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,404.421,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Imperial46c7,317$3,332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,984.5783652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2787…e0c4backed M8056c7,013$3,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,899.671163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+16.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Imperial37c4,863$1,777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,085.9181843.2%353 W · 465 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Imperial42c4,581$1,931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,649.821,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fa9…a36dbacked Imperial51c4,305$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,105.315738.6%22 W · 35 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed M8058c4,007$2,324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,324.0610549.5%52 W · 53 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Imperial42c4,007$1,683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,324.067363%46 W · 27 L+7.9wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+22%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Imperial58c3,696$2,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,562.346345.6%211 W · 252 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbec7…5977backed M8061c3,275$2,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,009.9957647.6%274 W · 302 L-25.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x04bd…39a0backed Imperial58c1,904$1,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$799.349037.8%34 W · 56 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x27c5…6d61backed Imperial42c1,892$786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,106.176934.8%24 W · 45 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3520…f128backed Imperial33c1,731$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,163.9710951.4%56 W · 53 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1eb0…d25bbacked Imperial37c1,567$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98627133.2%90 W · 181 L-12.8wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a28…41edbacked Imperial37c1,500$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9456347.6%30 W · 33 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9ca…6a8bbacked M8048c1,400$676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67675245.5%342 W · 410 L-21.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b75…321dbacked M8052c1,169$604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603.69933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-37.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x42c4…93a7backed M8033c1,127$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.824238.1%16 W · 26 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbbba…f349backed Imperial59c1,017$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.952532%8 W · 17 L-5.2wins-0.21per pick53cpaid-45%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xa7c8…a8a3backed Imperial27c1,000$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7301553.3%8 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.17per pick36cpaid+51.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3b10…5548backed M8036c999.99$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.183920.5%8 W · 31 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4635…9f6fbacked M8061c910.1$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.475862.1%36 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0ad…683fbacked M8063c887.14$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556.935550.1%178 W · 177 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72c4…cfedbacked M8044c760.43$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.27042.9%30 W · 40 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x01cd…c56cbacked Imperial69c724.64$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.64560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick68cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x641f…942bbacked Imperial65c700$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24813756.2%77 W · 60 L+9.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7cf4…20b3backed M8045c552.17$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.0110748.6%52 W · 55 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa60…556cbacked Imperial53c550.94$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.9432352%168 W · 155 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcccc…dbddbacked M8058c527.05$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.6917148%82 W · 89 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7253…89edbacked Imperial15c500$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42515449.4%76 W · 78 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Imperial22c500$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3901,27821.9%280 W · 998 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Imperial30c500$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35010442.3%44 W · 60 L-7.8wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8b26…c9afbacked Imperial42c491.19$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.7413460.4%81 W · 53 L+9.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x25ed…6ac6backed Imperial39c465.12$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.499050%45 W · 45 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60b6…eb2bbacked M8043c431.91$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.9126438.6%102 W · 162 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdab0…2fe9backed M8073c410.96$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003865.8%25 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Imperial51c400$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19658961.3%361 W · 228 L-1.6wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2cad…eb66backed Imperial61c399.99$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.812571.2%89 W · 36 L+11.9wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+10.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed M8042c350.65$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.5221139.3%83 W · 128 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked M8062c323.02$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.2260953.4%325 W · 284 L-31.0wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa886…822bbacked M8068c316.01$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.898951.7%46 W · 43 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2460…e144backed Imperial38c313.47$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.355749.1%28 W · 29 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7db…35bdbacked Imperial38c300$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1863339.4%13 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+16.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd92d…e560backed M8035c300$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10558651%299 W · 287 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ffc…8967backed Imperial30c300$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2109734%33 W · 64 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Imperial34c294.12$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.1237445.7%171 W · 203 L-29.6wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x640f…f197backed M8019c263.16$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504122%9 W · 32 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick18cpaid+22.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9318…a645backed M8044c226.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013646.3%63 W · 73 L-9.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-15%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x98ff…4303backed M8028c217.86$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613447.1%16 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Imperial64c216.6$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.471,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2133…7903backed Imperial63c207.3$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.7138835.8%139 W · 249 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef1a…d048backed M8037c200$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7411558.3%67 W · 48 L+9.6wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+13.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x300b…8e51backed Imperial15c200$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17041716.5%69 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-31.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c16…8bfabacked M8016c200$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3212153.7%65 W · 56 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3e4…8d04backed M8046c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$921020%2 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-60.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed M8053c189.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013461.9%83 W · 51 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed M8042c182.32$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7652449%257 W · 267 L-27.7wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdff0…f573backed Imperial42c178.21$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.2134146.6%159 W · 182 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bb9…1f8fbacked M8060c163.84$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.683348.5%16 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x558c…ca77backed M8062c161.02$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018265.9%120 W · 62 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9571…1d98backed M8078c138$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.491020%2 W · 8 L-4.4wins-0.44per pick64cpaid-70.3%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x98d0…01a4backed M8044c137.21$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6118447.8%88 W · 96 L-11.9wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8aaf…c132backed Imperial36c134$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.766756.7%38 W · 29 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa1fa…f3bebacked Imperial78c130$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.68366.3%55 W · 28 L+11.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+27%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x5f55…6389backed Imperial78c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.213086.7%26 W · 4 L+6.0wins+0.20per pick67cpaid+30.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Imperial40c120$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$725145.1%23 W · 28 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick40cpaid-4.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Imperial38c101.84$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.11,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4dbb…e5bcbacked M8058c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+17.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x763d…d0f2backed M8023c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232123.8%5 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick18cpaid+13.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa019…c220backed Imperial23c100$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7721437.9%81 W · 133 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd277…73febacked Imperial77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236968.1%47 W · 22 L+7.1wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+18.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked Imperial23c99.6$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.261,18122.5%266 W · 915 L+3.6wins0.00per pick22cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc36d…3edabacked Imperial53c96.23$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.233336.4%12 W · 21 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-27.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb876…ae6ebacked M8028c89.29$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257647.4%36 W · 40 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4403…4252backed M8025c88.7$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.754850%24 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd19e…e997backed M8023c86.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203040%12 W · 18 L-4.4wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-26.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd6b1…c973backed M8062c80.71$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501540%6 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ae8…0e50backed M8025c80.6$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207741.6%32 W · 45 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf376…953abacked M8030c80$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245236.5%19 W · 33 L+6.9wins+0.13per pick23cpaid+27.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4177…a2b4backed M8061c73.77$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451,24841.3%516 W · 732 L+5.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa59…aacabacked Imperial39c70$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439750.5%49 W · 48 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5159…d7aebacked M8056c66.43$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.212145.5%55 W · 66 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd9e…79e4backed Imperial47c63.44$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.454360.5%26 W · 17 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a52…82e5backed Imperial56c61.07$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.072100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x735a…3ef2backed M8064c54.27$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3522254.5%121 W · 101 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1b9…e6d3backed Imperial37c50$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.31850%9 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+33.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdfd2…7a82backed M8028c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145147.1%24 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd431…87c1backed Imperial60c49$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.67748.1%37 W · 40 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc49b…70c0backed Imperial21c48$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.9260838.2%232 W · 376 L+11.2wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e6…53b2backed M8047c46.81$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226050%30 W · 30 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+15.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe761…cdb1backed Imperial36c45.03$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.827958.2%46 W · 33 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc4b2…4ab2backed M8028c40$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.211238.4%43 W · 69 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4241…6eebbacked M8025c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107123.9%17 W · 54 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-44.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x047a…941ebacked M8045c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187136.6%26 W · 45 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3036…15c2backed M8039c38.41$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158847.7%42 W · 46 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Imperial39c37.51$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.8888242.3%373 W · 509 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7688…dcbcbacked Imperial44c36.89$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.66683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.30per pick54cpaid+65.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.