TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x01cd…c56c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
76
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Champions League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 55 out of 100; worst China Taiwan at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 11, 2025, EST1963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+27.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Lorenzo Musetti vs Alex de Minaurbacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$312Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+31.6%+$98.47
Hellenic Championship: Yannick Hanfmann vs Vit Koprivabacked Kopriva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$12.72
Open de Moselle: Matteo Berrettini vs Quentin Halysbacked Halys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$12.78
Rolex Paris Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$14.81
Rolex Paris Masters: Fabian Marozsan vs Arthur Rinderknechbacked Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+72.8%+$13.68
Swiss Indoors Basel: Joao Fonseca vs Denis Shapovalovbacked Shapovalov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Swiss Indoors Basel: Valentin Royer vs Denis Shapovalovbacked Shapovalov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$19.18
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Elias Ymer vs Denis Shapovalovbacked Shapovalov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$8.18
Almaty Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+44.5%+$6.29
Almaty Open: James Duckworth vs Flavio Cobollibacked Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Almaty Open: Karen Khachanov vs Jan-Lennard Struffbacked Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
European Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricardbacked Perricard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$12.79
European Open: Marcos Giron vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+29.5%+$8.86
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Camilo Ugo Carabellibacked Carabelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.4
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Arthur Fery vs Lorenzo Sonegobacked Sonego · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+79.9%+$9.32
European Open: Federico Cina vs Damir Dzumhurbacked Dzumhur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+65.9%+$25.67
Almaty Open: Beibit Zhukayev vs Alex Michelsenbacked Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+39.3%+$13.77
European Open: Francisco Comesana vs David Goffinbacked Comesana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$15.19
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Valentin Vacherotbacked Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+566.7%+$154.37
All 19 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 16, 2025, EST1637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-43%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will turnout in the second round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election be between 84% and 86%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+56.7%+$56.72
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+35.1%+$9.14
Will José Antonio Kast win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Catherine Connolly win by 15–20%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Will Catherine Connolly win by 5–10%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Catherine Connolly win by 10–15%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election by 27–30%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$52.7
Will Heather Humphreys win the Irish Presidential Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+35%+$34.95
Will Rodrigo Paz Pereira win by 5–10%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$662Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+111.2%+$736.28
Will Jorge "Tuto" Quiroga win by 0–5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Will Jorge "Tuto" Quiroga win by 5–10%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$80.47
Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Wavel Ramkalawan win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
Will Dr Patrick Herminie win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$43.13
All 16 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST1010%1 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick23cpaid-67.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kendrick Lamar be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Bianca Censori be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$26.25
Will Jimmy Kimmel be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$85
Will Bad Bunny rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Bianca Censori rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+226.6%+$134.67
Will Elon Musk rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Taylor Swift rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$62.92
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Pope Leo XIV rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$40
All 10 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.16per pick61cpaid-35.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick68cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+211.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Larger Margin of Victory: Mamdani vs Prop 50?backed Proposition 50 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Abigail Spanberger win by 12-15%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Oct 16, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jets vs. Flyersbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Broncos vs. Commandersbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+72.4%+$36.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Oct 13, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+37%+$7.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs. South Florida Bullsbacked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$27
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$29
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.