World Politics · resolved market
Will Wavel Ramkalawan win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x024be9f69c53bd390e9c8c07e91b65051802213706c8b547c924ddc46eb4329b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $298,235
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $273,329
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $298,235 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 174 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d89…25cdbacked Yes | 39c | 54,767$21,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,359.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a39…e798backed No | 61c | 54,767$33,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,359.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59e7…fba5backed No | 64c | 34,181$21,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,305.21 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ce…e4d3backed Yes | 36c | 34,176$12,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,303.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe281…e7bfbacked Yes | 14c | 9,008$1,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,246.72 | 39 | 12.8%5 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f0a…f7aabacked Yes | 19c | 8,914$1,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,660.58 | 185 | 30.3%56 W · 129 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8f…97bcbacked Yes | 37c | 6,154$2,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,298.5 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x153d…b4bbbacked Yes | 33c | 4,960$1,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,653.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d8…f451backed Yes | 34c | 4,364$1,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,474.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc435…304ebacked Yes | 4c | 3,204$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.75 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 36c | 3,194$1,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,153.2 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3757…b838backed No | 63c | 2,725$1,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.83 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Yes | 28c | 2,570$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.54 | 253 | 37.2%94 W · 159 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 2,482$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.88 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b6…342bbacked Yes | 35c | 1,905$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.25 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb412…3026backed Yes | 36c | 1,876$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.43 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…3f04backed Yes | 18c | 1,730$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e0c…6b3cbacked Yes | 40c | 1,605$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.47 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f41…c85ebacked Yes | 32c | 1,554$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0408…061dbacked Yes | 39c | 1,499$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.24 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +319.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Yes | 62c | 1,470$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917.28 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54db…0174backed Yes | 33c | 1,261$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.46 | 196 | 23%45 W · 151 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x345c…73eabacked Yes | 16c | 1,260$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18aa…f6ecbacked Yes | 7c | 1,063$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.42 | 109 | 28.4%31 W · 78 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 61c | 1,041$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.8 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 36c | 1,014$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.66 | 380 | 23.9%91 W · 289 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 48c | 974.97$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.03 | 150 | 26%39 W · 111 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a4…3ee9backed Yes | 60c | 955.6$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.92 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 48c | 923$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.2 | 88 | 21.6%19 W · 69 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16d5…5e0cbacked No | 75c | 810.99$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Yes | 63c | 796.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -4.2wins | -0.30per pick | 59cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 15c | 779.92$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.4 | 371 | 17.8%66 W · 305 L | -18.9wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 23c | 764$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.08 | 170 | 37.6%64 W · 106 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…535bbacked Yes | 14c | 689.12$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.11 | 284 | 30.3%86 W · 198 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21d0…ce91backed Yes | 34c | 680.7$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.51 | 134 | 13.4%18 W · 116 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b6…1c34backed Yes | 22c | 680$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c4…86a9backed Yes | 21c | 674.57$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.15 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c63…555ebacked Yes | 73c | 626.66$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03cf…37c6backed Yes | 45c | 618.25$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe10b…5fe3backed Yes | 52c | 600$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.6 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc624…ee24backed Yes | 36c | 539.14$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.95 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01a4…0064backed Yes | 21c | 472.34$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5085…d8a4backed Yes | 37c | 449.91$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.56 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes | 22c | 434.52$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.46 | 261 | 39.8%104 W · 157 L | +16.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 19c | 423.02$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.54 | 449 | 21.2%95 W · 354 L | -21.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 27c | 400.98$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.9 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01cd…c56cbacked Yes | 20c | 398.03$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -43%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c8…e4f7backed Yes | 37c | 376.37$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.73 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2af2…9b88backed Yes | 22c | 367$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed Yes | 29c | 363.99$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.2 | 247 | 36.8%91 W · 156 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d8…e7d2backed Yes | 68c | 349.98$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.48 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…7264backed No | 59c | 344.44$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.61 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1a…83eabacked Yes | 40c | 339.76$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.6 | 60 | 21.7%13 W · 47 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 57c | 330.89$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.78 | 42 | 21.4%9 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 22c | 329$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.26 | 120 | 40%48 W · 72 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9e…94cfbacked No | 39c | 323.38$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0408…9198backed Yes | 39c | 313.16$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 34c | 303.98$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.16 | 576 | 36.3%209 W · 367 L | -27.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed No | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 347 | 26.8%93 W · 254 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0702…d5f9backed Yes | 31c | 300$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes | 18c | 299.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 203 | 25.6%52 W · 151 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb933…fb0abacked Yes | 51c | 299.46$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.81 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 30c | 282.74$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.92 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +4.8wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +18%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2516…f107backed Yes | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f9…6188backed Yes | 16c | 258$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +38%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Yes | 30c | 257.13$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.09 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 72c | 248.46$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.58 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x790c…033cbacked Yes | 70c | 244.25$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.58 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 64c | 240.22$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.16 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Yes | 59c | 237.7$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424d…c756backed Yes | 59c | 229.08$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd8…6cefbacked Yes | 33c | 219.99$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.59 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 40cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd4…5688backed Yes | 21c | 218.67$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e3…b0e8backed Yes | 32c | 218.09$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaee1…77fcbacked Yes | 38c | 212.48$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -68.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8298…b978backed No | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…b63dbacked Yes | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -46%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa7…adbfbacked Yes | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.21per pick | 37cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fd…658cbacked Yes | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1275…203cbacked No | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5a…4407backed Yes | 31c | 200$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbd…81c2backed Yes | 35c | 199.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e1…d431backed Yes | 45c | 199.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.8wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -39%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 45c | 192.28$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.18 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 60c | 187.92$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.35 | 367 | 42.5%156 W · 211 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca3…cb95backed No | 74c | 185.06$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.12 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +31%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…842fbacked No | 32c | 182.66$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.77 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +27%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 20c | 175$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.35 | 192 | 37.5%72 W · 120 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaee5…0836backed Yes | 23c | 173.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.22per pick | 30cpaid | -88.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Yes | 40c | 172.54$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.56 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf7…0426backed Yes | 73c | 164.07$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -78%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf21…fd6ebacked Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5581…2574backed Yes | 33c | 160.98$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.91 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ba…68fabacked Yes | 30c | 157$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.1 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c69…9e30backed Yes | 23c | 152.62$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.96 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3969…6e2cbacked Yes | 9c | 150.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 48 | 14.6%7 W · 41 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d89…7183backed No | 72c | 150$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42f…78a0backed Yes | 19c | 150$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.25per pick | 32cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd14e…7e5fbacked Yes | 39c | 147.95$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.38 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +89.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb167…f6e8backed Yes | 33c | 138.28$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.63 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Wavel Ramkalawan win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?this page
- Will Alain St Ange win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?No won
- Will Danny Faure win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?No won
- Will Dr Patrick Herminie win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?Yes won
- Will Kisna Louise win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?No won
- Will Marco Francis win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?No won
- Will Ralph Volcère win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?No won
- Will Robin Johnston win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.