TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

World Politics · resolved market

Will Wavel Ramkalawan win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$298,235
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$273,329

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $298,235 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 174 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in World Politics
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0d89…25cdbacked Yes39c54,767$21,359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,359.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a39…e798backed No61c54,767$33,408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,359.13250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59e7…fba5backed No64c34,181$21,876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,305.21450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-19.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93ce…e4d3backed Yes36c34,176$12,303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,303.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe281…e7bfbacked Yes14c9,008$1,247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,246.723912.8%5 W · 34 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick14cpaid+42.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1f0a…f7aabacked Yes19c8,914$1,661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,660.5818530.3%56 W · 129 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-50.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e8f…97bcbacked Yes37c6,154$2,298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,298.51435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-32.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x153d…b4bbbacked Yes33c4,960$1,654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,653.57250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3d8…f451backed Yes34c4,364$1,474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,474.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc435…304ebacked Yes4c3,204$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.751030%3 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid+22.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes36c3,194$1,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,153.27740.3%31 W · 46 L-0.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3757…b838backed No63c2,725$1,731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$994.83728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-54.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed Yes28c2,570$731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$730.5425337.2%94 W · 159 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes3c2,482$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.881,43110.1%145 W · 1,286 L-4.9wins0.00per pick10cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6b6…342bbacked Yes35c1,905$662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662.258932.6%29 W · 60 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-40.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb412…3026backed Yes36c1,876$684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$684.431435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-14%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xffac…3f04backed Yes18c1,730$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.12250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-27.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1e0c…6b3cbacked Yes40c1,605$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644.474126.8%11 W · 30 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-57.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f41…c85ebacked Yes32c1,554$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.18250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0408…061dbacked Yes39c1,499$586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586.24650%3 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+319.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3372…1914backed Yes62c1,470$917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$917.284938.8%19 W · 30 L-5.0wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-22.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x54db…0174backed Yes33c1,261$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.4619623%45 W · 151 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick20cpaid-24.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x345c…73eabacked Yes16c1,260$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18aa…f6ecbacked Yes7c1,063$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.4210928.4%31 W · 78 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick22cpaid-13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No61c1,041$635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.82142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdbf…1926backed Yes36c1,014$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.6638023.9%91 W · 289 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed Yes48c974.97$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.0315026%39 W · 111 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-28.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd2a4…3ee9backed Yes60c955.6$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$575.924645.7%21 W · 25 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+17.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No48c923$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.28821.6%19 W · 69 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-53.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x16d5…5e0cbacked No75c810.99$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.582100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Yes63c796.93$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001428.6%4 W · 10 L-4.2wins-0.30per pick59cpaid-61.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes15c779.92$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.437117.8%66 W · 305 L-18.9wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-32.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes23c764$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.0817037.6%64 W · 106 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e32…535bbacked Yes14c689.12$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.1128430.3%86 W · 198 L+0.8wins0.00per pick30cpaid-29.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21d0…ce91backed Yes34c680.7$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.5113413.4%18 W · 116 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick12cpaid-15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8b6…1c34backed Yes22c680$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6c4…86a9backed Yes21c674.57$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.159631.3%30 W · 66 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-22.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c63…555ebacked Yes73c626.66$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.94250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x03cf…37c6backed Yes45c618.25$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe10b…5fe3backed Yes52c600$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.66732.8%22 W · 45 L+0.3wins0.00per pick32cpaid-18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc624…ee24backed Yes36c539.14$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.956043.3%26 W · 34 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-28.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x01a4…0064backed Yes21c472.34$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003435.3%12 W · 22 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+52.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5085…d8a4backed Yes37c449.91$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.564533.3%15 W · 30 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+31.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes22c434.52$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.4626139.8%104 W · 157 L+16.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+32.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe4ca…1383backed Yes19c423.02$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.5444921.2%95 W · 354 L-21.7wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-24.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes27c400.98$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.99035.6%32 W · 58 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01cd…c56cbacked Yes20c398.03$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-43%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7c8…e4f7backed Yes37c376.37$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.73742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-36.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2af2…9b88backed Yes22c367$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.74366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6828…1056backed Yes29c363.99$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.224736.8%91 W · 156 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1d8…e7d2backed Yes68c349.98$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.4860%0 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1018…7264backed No59c344.44$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.612650%13 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a1a…83eabacked Yes40c339.76$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.66021.7%13 W · 47 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes57c330.89$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.784221.4%9 W · 33 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-66.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Yes22c329$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.2612040%48 W · 72 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-18.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b9e…94cfbacked No39c323.38$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.72333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0408…9198backed Yes39c313.16$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.520%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed Yes34c303.98$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.1657636.3%209 W · 367 L-27.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-28.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf95…7865backed No66c300$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10234726.8%93 W · 254 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-31.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0702…d5f9backed Yes31c300$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-28.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes18c299.99$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5420325.6%52 W · 151 L-0.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+32.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb933…fb0abacked Yes51c299.46$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.811428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick36cpaid+5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No30c282.74$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.923948.7%19 W · 20 L+4.8wins+0.12per pick36cpaid+18%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2516…f107backed Yes77c259.74$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200450%2 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-33.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0f9…6188backed Yes16c258$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.28366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick40cpaid+38%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked Yes30c257.13$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.091330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-50.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No72c248.46$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.5888448.5%429 W · 455 L-2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x790c…033cbacked Yes70c244.25$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.583860.5%23 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No64c240.22$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.161,31843.9%579 W · 739 L-26.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf10f…004dbacked Yes59c237.7$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1404037.5%15 W · 25 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick42cpaid+20.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x424d…c756backed Yes59c229.08$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+61.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dd8…6cefbacked Yes33c219.99$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.59862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.22per pick40cpaid+117.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfcd4…5688backed Yes21c218.67$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4720%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1e3…b0e8backed Yes32c218.09$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaee1…77fcbacked Yes38c212.48$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-68.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8298…b978backed No60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72a1…b63dbacked Yes33c200$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661625%4 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-46%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6aa7…adbfbacked Yes32c200$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.21per pick37cpaid+80.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6fd…658cbacked Yes37c200$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$741435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick44cpaid+20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1275…203cbacked No25c200$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1501100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+300%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b5a…4407backed Yes31c200$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbdbd…81c2backed Yes35c199.99$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701827.8%5 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-20.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06e1…d431backed Yes45c199.99$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902227.3%6 W · 16 L-3.8wins-0.17per pick45cpaid-39%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Yes45c192.28$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.1811738.5%45 W · 72 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-27.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x076c…4e7bbacked No60c187.92$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.3536742.5%156 W · 211 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaca3…cb95backed No74c185.06$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.12580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+31%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3abf…842fbacked No32c182.66$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.771250%6 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+27%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes20c175$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.3519237.5%72 W · 120 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-31.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaee5…0836backed Yes23c173.91$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40147.1%1 W · 13 L-3.1wins-0.22per pick30cpaid-88.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Yes40c172.54$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.56742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick30cpaid+58.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdf7…0426backed Yes73c164.07$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick45cpaid-78%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbf21…fd6ebacked Yes62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-31.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5581…2574backed Yes33c160.98$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.91650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-27.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4ba…68fabacked Yes30c157$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.11145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c69…9e30backed Yes23c152.62$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.964531.1%14 W · 31 L-0.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3969…6e2cbacked Yes9c150.5$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.194814.6%7 W · 41 L-0.1wins0.00per pick15cpaid+46.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d89…7183backed No72c150$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc42f…78a0backed Yes19c150$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5137.7%1 W · 12 L-3.2wins-0.25per pick32cpaid-78.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd14e…7e5fbacked Yes39c147.95$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.381154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick37cpaid+89.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb167…f6e8backed Yes33c138.28$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.631540%6 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+21%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.