TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd1d8…e7d2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
87
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Other European Leagues, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Other European Leagues at 52 out of 100; worst World Politics at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT1764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons vs. IU Indy Jaguarsbacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+52%+$51.95
UT Martin Skyhawks vs. Little Rock Trojansbacked UT Martin Skyhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,449Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$1,448.72
Austin Peay Governors vs. North Florida Ospreysbacked Austin Peay Governors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+176.5%+$211.82
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$50
LSU Tigers vs. Texas Longhorns: O/U 151.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Spread: Miami Hurricanes (-8.5)backed Virginia Tech Hokies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+46.1%+$46.1
Spread: North Carolina State Wolfpack (-7.5)backed North Carolina Tar Heels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Massachusetts Minutemenbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+61.3%+$367.9
Villanova Wildcats vs. Xavier Musketeersbacked Villanova Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+61.4%+$122.74
Saint Peter's Peacocks vs. Rider Broncsbacked Saint Peter's Peacocks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$202.79
Princeton Tigers vs. Columbia Lionsbacked Columbia Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Grambling State Tigers vs. Jackson State Tigersbacked Grambling State Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+104.1%+$52.04
NJIT Highlanders vs. Vermont Catamountsbacked NJIT Highlanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+35.5%+$39.3
Northern Illinois Huskies vs. Miami (OH) RedHawksbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+31.2%+$93.6
Marquette Golden Eagles vs. Seton Hall Piratesbacked Seton Hall Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+59.4%+$118.78
Central Connecticut State Blue Devils vs. Wagner Seahawksbacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+63.9%+$63.93
Florida Atlantic Owls vs. South Florida Bulls: O/U 165.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+38.4%+$57.61
All 17 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Andrey Rublev vs Miomir Kecmanovicbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$103.67
Set Handicap: Baez (-1.5) vs Faria (+1.5)backed Baez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$67
Set 1 Winner: Faria vs Baezbacked Baez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Rio Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Luciano Darderibacked Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$25.96
Set Handicap: Khachanov (-1.5) vs Mochizuki (+1.5)backed Mochizuki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+212.5%+$57.9
Set Handicap: Fucsovics (-1.5) vs Habib (+1.5)backed Fucsovics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$438Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+37%+$162
Rio Open: Igor Ribeiro Marcondes vs Ignacio Busebacked Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+46.1%+$138.22
Qatar Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Juncheng Shangbacked Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$921Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+27.1%+$249.24
Open Sud de France: Arthur Gea vs Tomas Machacbacked Machac · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$130
Open Sud de France: Ugo Humbert vs Botic van de Zandschulpbacked Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+33.3%+$49.66
Open Sud de France, Qualification: Moise Kouame vs Elias Ymerbacked Ymer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Set 1 Winner: Alcaraz vs Djokovicbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Alcaraz vs. Djokovic: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$76.23
Australian Open Men's: Alexander Zverev vs Francisco Cerundolobacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+40.8%+$40.85
Set 1 Winner: Alcaraz vs Paulbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+98%+$49.02
Australian Open Women's: Yulia Putintseva vs Iva Jovicbacked Jovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+31.6%+$31.58
All 16 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST1553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick63cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pelicans vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$157.43
Wizards vs. Pistonsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+104.1%+$62.45
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+115.1%+$107
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$89.95
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+25%+$46.64
Celtics vs. Rocketsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+34.4%+$89.5
Rockets vs. Pacersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+75.7%+$151.31
Jazz vs. Raptors: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+42.9%+$9
Pelicans vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+85.7%+$85.74
Hawks vs. Pacersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$150.4
Nets vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+44.9%+$44.93
Trail Blazers vs. Wizardsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Pelicans vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Heat vs. Jazz: O/U 245.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$32.5
Celtics vs. Bullsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 15 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST60%0 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
World Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-22.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-01-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+31.6%+$31.58
Will Telstar 1963 win on 2026-01-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+40.8%+$40.85
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Barcelona vs. Real Oviedo: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+96.1%+$19.22
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf win on 2026-02-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$136
Will FC St. Pauli win on 2025-09-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$21.43
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+33.3%+$33.33
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$81.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Puebla win on 2026-02-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+47.1%+$48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SSC Napoli vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+42.9%+$42.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris FC win on 2026-02-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+29.9%+$89.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 35°C or below on January 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+26%+$25.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Coinbase run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$289.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Alabama vs. Georgiabacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$68.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 World Cup: Sri Lanka vs Zimbabwe (Game 1)backed Sri Lanka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$119
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.