Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Princeton Tigers vs. Columbia Lions
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4be8f92b5283b4b06251131c06dd308929a1334529972c01a24fb420defe9cf3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Princeton Tigersof Princeton Tigers, Columbia Lions
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,309
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,538
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,309 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Princeton Tigers | 29c | 6,727$1,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,787.34 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed Columbia Lions | 69c | 6,023$4,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,168.02 | 86 | 39.5%34 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Columbia Lions | 73c | 1,777$1,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,292.37 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Columbia Lions | 51c | 950.16$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.91 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Princeton Tigers | 39c | 775.9$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.9 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Princeton Tigers | 42c | 613.6$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.36 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Princeton Tigers | 49c | 390.82$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.96 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Princeton Tigers | 29c | 304.67$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.41 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8126…9d18backed Columbia Lions | 68c | 300$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Princeton Tigers | 46c | 274.56$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.33 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Columbia Lions | 50c | 208.16$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.79 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…3f1bbacked Columbia Lions | 70c | 200$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabb2…5a2dbacked Princeton Tigers | 16c | 190$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.5 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Columbia Lions | 59c | 169.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 402 | 52.7%212 W · 190 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d8…e7d2backed Columbia Lions | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Princeton Tigers | 21c | 144.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.91 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Princeton Tigers | 17c | 129$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.9 | 558 | 40.3%225 W · 333 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Princeton Tigers | 30c | 112.83$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.98 | 583 | 45.5%265 W · 318 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Columbia Lions | 79c | 87$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.91 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Columbia Lions | 27c | 84.93$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.06 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Princeton Tigers | 33c | 82$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.94 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Princeton Tigers | 32c | 67.56$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.9 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Columbia Lions | 68c | 58.68$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb14…0da7backed Columbia Lions | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Columbia Lions | 27c | 45.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 383 | 45.4%174 W · 209 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Princeton Tigers | 33c | 41$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.47 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…c727backed Columbia Lions | 66c | 31.25$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.56 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Columbia Lions | 73c | 28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.44 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Columbia Lions | 79c | 23.03$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…2d57backed Columbia Lions | 63c | 20.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Columbia Lions | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31fe…5ee4backed Columbia Lions | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Columbia Lions | 68c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Princeton Tigers vs. Columbia Lionsthis page
- Princeton Tigers vs. Columbia Lions: O/U 140.5Over won
- Spread: Columbia Lions (-5.5)Princeton Tigers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.