Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Princeton Tigers vs. Columbia Lions: O/U 140.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xecb65462f4b5a18751d25372b0e10b151b2a1c6789466d5b05fc759446f158e1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,595
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,841
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,595 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e82…7670backed Over | 46c | 7,752$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,152.08 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Under | 54c | 7,716$4,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,166.84 | 247 | 48.2%119 W · 128 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 46c | 4,884$2,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,621.34 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Under | 53c | 3,904$2,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,068.87 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Over | 46c | 2,177$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175.66 | 155 | 56.1%87 W · 68 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Under | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 285 | 39.6%113 W · 172 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7deb…2682backed Under | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 51c | 1,528$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.8 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Over | 50c | 1,489$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.48 | 445 | 49.4%220 W · 225 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…0127backed Over | 47c | 318$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.54 | 137 | 46.7%64 W · 73 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…b0f8backed Over | 46c | 282.61$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.61 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Over | 47c | 127$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.31 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Under | 54c | 116.6$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.96 | 321 | 46.7%150 W · 171 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 49c | 82.76$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.19 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Under | 53c | 70$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.1 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 54c | 56.55$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Under | 54c | 42.55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.98 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b5…60d5backed Over | 46c | 38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.0wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +80%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Over | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1853…68ffbacked Over | 46c | 21.74$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.74 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Princeton Tigers vs. Columbia Lions: O/U 140.5this page
- Princeton Tigers vs. Columbia LionsPrinceton Tigers won
- Spread: Columbia Lions (-5.5)Princeton Tigers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.