TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

NJIT Highlanders vs. Vermont Catamounts

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
NJIT Highlandersof NJIT Highlanders, Vermont Catamounts
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$9,528
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$11,875

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,528 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6814…a9e7backed Vermont Catamounts62c1,317$821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$821.223,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed NJIT Highlanders37c813.9$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.5594036.9%347 W · 593 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Vermont Catamounts15c592.94$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.861,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked NJIT Highlanders11c545.45$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.454,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Vermont Catamounts49c248.95$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.92,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a74…de59backed NJIT Highlanders47c210$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.3511958.8%70 W · 49 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed NJIT Highlanders11c187.25$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.972,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Vermont Catamounts6c179.92$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4957335.6%204 W · 369 L-27.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Vermont Catamounts42c154.18$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.0387047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1d8…e7d2backed NJIT Highlanders74c150$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.31764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed Vermont Catamounts26c113.78$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.581936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid+2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x873d…97b5backed Vermont Catamounts33c106.21$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357324.7%18 W · 55 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-27%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Vermont Catamounts12c105$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.092,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43b3…6193backed Vermont Catamounts46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462060%12 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Vermont Catamounts56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5644146.5%205 W · 236 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Vermont Catamounts24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Vermont Catamounts34c78.7$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.421,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked NJIT Highlanders43c56.11$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.954,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e46…75c2backed NJIT Highlanders71c56.04$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.041154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+26.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Vermont Catamounts57c40$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.938345.4%174 W · 209 L-18.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1853…68ffbacked NJIT Highlanders40c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc01…d914backed NJIT Highlanders43c23.88$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.6112537.6%47 W · 78 L+0.6wins0.00per pick37cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.