TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Northern Illinois Huskies vs. Miami (OH) RedHawks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Miami (OH) RedHawksof Northern Illinois Huskies, Miami (OH) RedHawks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$50,153
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$62,005

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,153 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x26f8…3452backed Miami (OH) RedHawks71c9,486$6,735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,751.064057.5%23 W · 17 L+4.1wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+34.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7e3a…3246backed Northern Illinois Huskies29c6,135$1,779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,779.0214940.3%60 W · 89 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Northern Illinois Huskies7c4,852$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.0297447.9%467 W · 507 L-2.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x874f…a13dbacked Northern Illinois Huskies24c4,133$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.11520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-53.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Miami (OH) RedHawks76c3,836$2,914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$922.612,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Northern Illinois Huskies28c1,993$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.52,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Northern Illinois Huskies28c1,207$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.032,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Northern Illinois Huskies21c1,195$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.411,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Northern Illinois Huskies31c982.87$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30094036.9%347 W · 593 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Northern Illinois Huskies7c455.06$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.9613842.8%59 W · 79 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Northern Illinois Huskies4c399.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161,48743%639 W · 848 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1d8…e7d2backed Miami (OH) RedHawks76c393.6$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.61764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bdb…a90dbacked Northern Illinois Huskies16c360.78$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.0414925.5%38 W · 111 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Miami (OH) RedHawks71c350.75$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.7523941.4%99 W · 140 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Northern Illinois Huskies7c350.7$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8357335.6%204 W · 369 L-27.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Northern Illinois Huskies25c287.12$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.8766831.4%210 W · 458 L-43.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Miami (OH) RedHawks70c266.4$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.183,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07dd…0876backed Northern Illinois Huskies5c239$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9523754.4%129 W · 108 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf5f…fc90backed Northern Illinois Huskies9c222.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201421.4%3 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick20cpaid+20.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6570…32ccbacked Northern Illinois Huskies30c200$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-26%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Miami (OH) RedHawks73c192.05$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.8517647.2%83 W · 93 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Northern Illinois Huskies22c126$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.742,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Northern Illinois Huskies29c112.17$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.83,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb88…b1d7backed Northern Illinois Huskies18c109.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202321.7%5 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-48.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Northern Illinois Huskies27c94.9$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.621,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks71c68.97$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2040252.7%212 W · 190 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Miami (OH) RedHawks79c34.1$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.2338345.4%174 W · 209 L-18.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.