Saint Peter's Peacocks vs. Rider Broncs

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe64d9097924c78b77e3bc7bf14ae68f131fed59df4fbe17afc50260863f34d8a

Rebuilt 17 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Rider Broncsof Saint Peter's Peacocks, Rider Broncs
Resolved: Feb 1, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $28,551
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $31,260

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,551 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x1624…bf63backed Rider Broncs	3c	2,866$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,787.72	1,074	43.3%465 W · 609 L	+20.0wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Rider Broncs	24c	1,821$430 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,391.56	1,983	26.4%523 W · 1,460 L	-55.5wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-12%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Rider Broncs	23c	1,472$339 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,133.78	5,946	49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L	+163.0wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Saint Peter's Peacocks	77c	1,127$868 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$867.78	158	51.9%82 W · 76 L	-8.4wins	-0.05per pick	57cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Rider Broncs	9c	1,102$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,000.92	4,382	40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L	+23.7wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd607…6ddcbacked Saint Peter's Peacocks	4c	800$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	49	6.1%3 W · 46 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Saint Peter's Peacocks	57c	770.8$439 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$438.58	3,380	49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L	+30.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52de…e0f6backed Saint Peter's Peacocks	3c	700$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	17	0%0 W · 17 L	-1.4wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6bae…bac0backed Saint Peter's Peacocks	79c	481.03$380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$379.76	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.16per pick	66cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Saint Peter's Peacocks	6c	467.07$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.86	2,555	41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L	-15.9wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2822…2459backed Saint Peter's Peacocks	77c	444.39$343 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$343.24	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	59cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Saint Peter's Peacocks	66c	283.47$186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185.86	1,493	48.7%727 W · 766 L	-1.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x69f2…49b3backed Saint Peter's Peacocks	78c	274$214 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$213.63	20	30%6 W · 14 L	-3.2wins	-0.16per pick	46cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Rider Broncs	15c	263.07$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$224.61	3,684	42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L	+32.6wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x313d…6f98backed Saint Peter's Peacocks	77c	260$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.2	67	67.2%45 W · 22 L	+3.3wins	+0.05per pick	62cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1d8…e7d2backed Saint Peter's Peacocks	78c	259.99$203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202.79	17	64.7%11 W · 6 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	62cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf312…eee8backed Rider Broncs	46c	215.4$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116.4	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-1.4wins	-0.09per pick	44cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Rider Broncs	21c	212.83$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$168.13	12,422	49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L	+118.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Rider Broncs	21c	199.99$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$157.99	1,487	43%639 W · 848 L	+50.8wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Rider Broncs	22c	186$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$145.08	2,048	32.7%670 W · 1,378 L	-16.2wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Rider Broncs	24c	173.33$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$131.73	998	48.4%483 W · 515 L	-8.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Rider Broncs	18c	148.07$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$121.42	668	31.4%210 W · 458 L	-43.1wins	-0.06per pick	38cpaid	-23%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Rider Broncs	10c	128.33$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$115.5	66	36.4%24 W · 42 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed Saint Peter's Peacocks	79c	126.58$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	484	62.8%304 W · 180 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	63cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Rider Broncs	22c	92.99$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.53	1,633	47.3%773 W · 860 L	+25.5wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Saint Peter's Peacocks	80c	63.81$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.91	1,985	64.1%1,273 W · 712 L	+144.2wins	+0.07per pick	57cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9d30…2645backed Rider Broncs	22c	55$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.9	64	51.6%33 W · 31 L	+2.7wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Rider Broncs	22c	50.28$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.13	2,194	33.4%733 W · 1,461 L	+19.2wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Saint Peter's Peacocks	78c	50$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.18	397	42.8%170 W · 227 L	-15.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9868…e82bbacked Saint Peter's Peacocks	30c	48.46$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.5	101	44.6%45 W · 56 L	-3.5wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-18%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Saint Peter's Peacocks	78c	40$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.2	1,155	50.4%582 W · 573 L	-34.4wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Saint Peter's Peacocks	47c	34.54$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.08	1,003	55.3%555 W · 448 L	+46.5wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Saint Peter's Peacocks	76c	23.19$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.63	974	47.9%467 W · 507 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x22e5…81acbacked Saint Peter's Peacocks	78c	23$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.94	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-2.5wins	-0.15per pick	50cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8358…956bbacked Saint Peter's Peacocks	78c	21$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.38	34	55.9%19 W · 15 L	+1.5wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc37…fdb2backed Saint Peter's Peacocks	80c	18.75$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.6wins	-0.79per pick	79cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Saint Peter's Peacocks vs. Rider Broncsthis page
Saint Peter's Peacocks vs. Rider Broncs: O/U 136.5Over won
Saint Peter's Peacocks vs. Rider Broncs: O/U 137.5Over won
Saint Peter's Peacocks vs. Rider Broncs: O/U 138.5Over won
Spread: Saint Peter's Peacocks (-7.5)Rider Broncs won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Saint Peter's Peacocks vs. Rider Broncs

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event