Champions League · resolved market
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-02-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe79a73925c3a0b51f4d7e629b3c258bd8b21174b9f4b344273b5e80cc05436d2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,037,199
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,074,836
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,037,199 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 568 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2379…bf16backed Yes | 31c | 187,940$57,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57,381.97 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 70c | 100,000$70,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,000 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee0d…57abbacked Yes | 30c | 82,787$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,000 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed No | 70c | 65,901$46,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,770.32 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 0c | 55,830$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.66 | 62 | 21%13 W · 49 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb57a…b8c3backed No | 74c | 50,000$37,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,999.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 70c | 32,465$22,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,725.58 | 2,025 | 43.7%884 W · 1,141 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 69c | 31,033$21,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,502.92 | 272 | 47.1%128 W · 144 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked No | 70c | 28,570$19,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,571 | 54 | 66.7%36 W · 18 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 71c | 26,255$18,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,742.8 | 664 | 46.2%307 W · 357 L | -22.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Yes | 26c | 26,150$6,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,903.13 | 108 | 45.4%49 W · 59 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x183d…1270backed Yes | 30c | 20,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 73c | 19,028$13,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,047.54 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 29c | 17,954$5,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,226.73 | 600 | 41.8%251 W · 349 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed No | 69c | 16,250$11,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,037.5 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked No | 70c | 14,228$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,227.62 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Yes | 0c | 13,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 107 | 17.8%19 W · 88 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 70c | 12,287$8,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,708.99 | 286 | 43.7%125 W · 161 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab75…cce0backed No | 70c | 12,091$8,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,595.81 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +4.5wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb92c…f5bdbacked No | 70c | 10,005$7,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,001.57 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.28per pick | 56cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7c…958ebacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa75…a864backed No | 74c | 7,435$5,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,907.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6286…5307backed No | 70c | 6,832$4,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,049.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +87.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x632a…ac85backed Yes | 31c | 6,832$2,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,117.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed No | 73c | 6,041$4,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,631.62 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccea…a8ebbacked Yes | 25c | 6,000$1,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,523.02 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…26a0backed Yes | 31c | 6,000$1,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,860 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…9838backed Yes | 30c | 5,683$1,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,711.73 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +26%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab3…12b2backed Yes | 31c | 5,545$1,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,718.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf403…e176backed No | 70c | 5,545$3,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,663.37 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +85.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 23c | 5,502$1,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,278.77 | 343 | 42.3%145 W · 198 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd43…88d7backed Yes | 6c | 5,414$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.76 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +6.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +96.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 28c | 5,394$1,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,510.32 | 298 | 46.3%138 W · 160 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4c…8138backed Yes | 29c | 5,392$1,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,563.7 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7434…2ff4backed Yes | 28c | 5,311$1,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,487 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…fbf4backed No | 69c | 5,000$3,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,538 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac7a…29c8backed No | 69c | 5,000$3,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3a…64b7backed Yes | 30c | 5,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.99 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bba…10a7backed No | 70c | 4,500$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22b6…0ebcbacked No | 69c | 4,393$3,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,361.75 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 26c | 4,004$1,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.12 | 402 | 22.9%92 W · 310 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97f9…0aebbacked No | 68c | 3,965$2,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,268.8 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 28c | 3,923$1,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080.71 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 70c | 3,852$2,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,143.13 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b07…96febacked Yes | 5c | 3,300$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.27per pick | 14cpaid | +405.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfa79…f645backed Yes | 26c | 3,077$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes | 26c | 3,025$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.37 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 28c | 2,976$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.14 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 73c | 2,928$2,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.75 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2196…da90backed Yes | 30c | 2,898$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.55 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa128…8d4bbacked No | 74c | 2,703$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.7 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 72cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d01…27cbbacked Yes | 25c | 2,650$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.97 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…7be6backed Yes | 26c | 2,500$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 17c | 2,264$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.22 | 1,543 | 40.1%618 W · 925 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed Yes | 25c | 2,202$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.56 | 89 | 38.2%34 W · 55 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Yes | 31c | 2,200$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 69c | 2,200$1,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.98 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 30c | 2,165$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.64 | 147 | 32.7%48 W · 99 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Yes | 30c | 2,029$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.84 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 69c | 2,029$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.99 | 155 | 50.3%78 W · 77 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea3…95aabacked Yes | 31c | 2,025$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.68 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd5…ac33backed No | 73c | 1,804$1,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.96 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a0…8d15backed No | 70c | 1,800$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa5…7cc9backed No | 69c | 1,770$1,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.7 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22ae…af00backed No | 72c | 1,549$1,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.84 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe81e…3640backed Yes | 31c | 1,532$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a68…3b20backed No | 70c | 1,505$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 30c | 1,500$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 243 | 27.2%66 W · 177 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed No | 72c | 1,500$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7902…170cbacked No | 70c | 1,429$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.57 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99a2…c5fcbacked No | 70c | 1,429$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 73cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 4c | 1,420$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.62 | 434 | 27.4%119 W · 315 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01f0…f002backed Yes | 29c | 1,379$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 9c | 1,368$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.83 | 460 | 48.5%223 W · 237 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes | 30c | 1,333$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.88 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35df…84d2backed Yes | 31c | 1,290$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…c1f9backed No | 70c | 1,263$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.39 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3644…671abacked Yes | 25c | 1,240$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +99.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9de…b193backed Yes | 19c | 1,225$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 24cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f84…dd89backed Yes | 25c | 1,200$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked No | 77c | 1,173$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.68 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefcf…6ad6backed Yes | 2c | 1,171$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed No | 79c | 1,084$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.82 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf338…38e2backed No | 71c | 1,069$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa89c…398fbacked Yes | 30c | 1,041$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.22 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9993backed No | 73c | 1,000$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.6 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Yes | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 122 | 42.6%52 W · 70 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb4…f89dbacked No | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d29…8264backed Yes | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b42…70d0backed Yes | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 74c | 968.23$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.04 | 401 | 43.4%174 W · 227 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked No | 76c | 946.99$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.53 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c8…5cf2backed Yes | 32c | 942.54$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +220.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdefa…2d63backed Yes | 31c | 937.03$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49b2…4aeebacked No | 70c | 875$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.5 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 25c | 871$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.75 | 293 | 50.5%148 W · 145 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 69c | 830$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.24 | 168 | 53.6%90 W · 78 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d1…3055backed No | 75c | 800$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f64…7276backed Yes | 31c | 800$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fba…1404backed No | 70c | 800$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-02-17?this page
- Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?Yes won
- Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.