TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$279,895
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$309,822

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $279,895 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 252 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb57a…b8c3backed No75c50,000$37,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,5002100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes25c43,464$10,785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,784.7359741.7%249 W · 348 L-18.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No76c32,653$24,901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,752.3958248.8%284 W · 298 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes24c12,314$2,944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,944.0763346.3%293 W · 340 L-21.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Yes25c12,121$3,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,030.314953%79 W · 70 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No77c10,592$8,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,459.2820343.3%88 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-30.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e25…d7a7backed No77c9,626$7,412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,213.884062.5%25 W · 15 L+6.0wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+32.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked No75c6,534$4,915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,618.5829846.3%138 W · 160 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No76c6,000$4,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,44044033.9%149 W · 291 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes24c5,934$1,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,430.1643427.4%119 W · 315 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed Yes23c5,320$1,224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,223.715145.1%23 W · 28 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-23.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed No77c5,000$3,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1505839.7%23 W · 35 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-27.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed No74c4,669$3,455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,213.857146.5%33 W · 38 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No76c4,578$3,471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,106.5360136.9%222 W · 379 L-28.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd8db…ccfbbacked No75c4,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick72cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe726…4c87backed Yes24c3,385$812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$812.321520%3 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed No76c3,017$2,304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$712.8315936.5%58 W · 101 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No75c2,958$2,227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$731.1912352.8%65 W · 58 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2cf…d1e7backed Yes26c2,885$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7501136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4219…7855backed Yes26c2,727$709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7091540%6 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+18.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes18c2,700$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.041,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24a5…5d07backed Yes30c2,400$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7081442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2e4…bc51backed Yes26c2,200$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57260%0 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa6ce…ab45backed Yes21c2,100$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4482114.3%3 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick21cpaid-45.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe831…a42abacked Yes26c2,065$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.93847.4%18 W · 20 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fca…9d33backed Yes26c2,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-42.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed No74c2,000$1,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5203063.3%19 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Yes24c1,937$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.13551.4%18 W · 17 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+25.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x59e5…1cb4backed Yes26c1,900$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+53.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes23c1,763$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.495448.1%26 W · 28 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+25.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes24c1,681$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.4838748.3%187 W · 200 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No78c1,614$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.7238935.2%137 W · 252 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe648…b79abacked Yes26c1,600$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4166225.8%16 W · 46 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7902…170cbacked Yes26c1,527$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+19.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes26c1,500$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39021938.4%84 W · 135 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+17.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed No78c1,436$1,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.7623637.3%88 W · 148 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa79…f645backed Yes21c1,424$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2993625%9 W · 27 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed No77c1,215$935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.4220947.8%100 W · 109 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xab75…cce0backed No75c1,129$847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.32470.8%17 W · 7 L+4.5wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+27.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed No80c1,077$857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.4716036.9%59 W · 101 L-10.6wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-33.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8e9b…c3edbacked Yes27c917$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.4920%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa62d…92e0backed Yes26c900$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2343727%10 W · 27 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-22.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2221…ec1bbacked Yes23c887.27$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.69837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes22c823.41$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.539550.5%48 W · 47 L-0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe55a…da97backed Yes13c769.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100540%2 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick27cpaid+22.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c8f…d581backed Yes26c769.23$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005135.3%18 W · 33 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick29cpaid+18.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed No80c732.15$586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.431060%6 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Yes13c725.58$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9110717.8%19 W · 88 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick14cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae9d…d417backed Yes26c723.08$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1881921.1%4 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-25%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed Yes26c708.86$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.5512644.4%56 W · 70 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22cc…8aeabacked No77c689.41$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.832860.7%17 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cfe…e4debacked No77c600$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+496.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Yes34c589.89$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002429.2%7 W · 17 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x417e…15e5backed Yes26c578.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.313836.8%14 W · 24 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe35f…de26backed Yes26c570$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.2250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d94…3bfbbacked Yes26c569.85$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.16450%2 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+127.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc490…6507backed No66c564$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.762334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-46.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x347c…525abacked Yes21c563.67$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.372842.9%12 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43a1…2425backed Yes22c541.99$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.249540%38 W · 57 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcee6…b3b7backed Yes15c538.1$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807041.4%29 W · 41 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed No77c525.01$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.243953.8%21 W · 18 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Yes20c514.19$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.393135.5%11 W · 20 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes19c513.47$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009728.9%28 W · 69 L-7.2wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-30.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x650d…436cbacked Yes35c511.43$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17920%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa718…baf1backed No77c509$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.41233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes3c500.01$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158523.5%20 W · 65 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-26.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d40…e36cbacked Yes12c500$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602737%10 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid+4.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc774…b6e8backed Yes25c500$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1255424.1%13 W · 41 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c1a…5cb0backed Yes21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003050%15 W · 15 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+22.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf280…b65bbacked Yes24c468.27$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.710431.7%33 W · 71 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+23.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf104…d34cbacked Yes21c460.61$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.643842.1%16 W · 22 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-14.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f8e…0117backed Yes19c435.14$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.54366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick58cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes23c435$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.0512938%49 W · 80 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd4d3…c5afbacked Yes23c400$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$922653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab75…e336backed Yes30c400$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-50%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes15c397.4$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.799123.1%21 W · 70 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-37.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf438…de5dbacked Yes26c395.23$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.765115.7%8 W · 43 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-19.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x49b2…4aeebacked Yes26c390$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.44339.5%17 W · 26 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e79…2d68backed Yes26c384.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004522.2%10 W · 35 L-4.0wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-40.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0b57…71d6backed Yes20c375$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751717.6%3 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-32%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No79c368.53$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.4546048.5%223 W · 237 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No77c345.26$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.8838253.9%206 W · 176 L+21.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes20c339.77$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.7927236.4%99 W · 173 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec1c…4b95backed Yes26c333.33$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86110%0 W · 11 L-3.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked No70c325.56$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.674671.7%33 W · 13 L+7.3wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+52.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x32d0…6070backed No75c319.71$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.93633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick59cpaid-50.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Yes26c307.69$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8012230.3%37 W · 85 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+2.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes22c304.73$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.0435860.6%217 W · 141 L+21.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No75c300.01$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7514650.7%74 W · 72 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f11…ce9fbacked No76c300$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$723562.9%22 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x64e2…da93backed Yes23c271.8$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4266…0e08backed Yes26c269.23$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704717%8 W · 39 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-50.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x94a5…9838backed No73c264$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.128647.7%41 W · 45 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+26%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No74c261$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.8620644.7%92 W · 114 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x556c…5b77backed No76c257.79$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+30.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked No76c254.75$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.1413146.6%61 W · 70 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb881…20a1backed Yes15c248.73$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.314542.2%19 W · 26 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf95a…d895backed Yes21c238.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503228.1%9 W · 23 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+27.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Yes23c235.33$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.1314645.2%66 W · 80 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6aa…3746backed Yes10c228.12$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.015226.9%14 W · 38 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.