TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x64e2…da93

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
84
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Dota2, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 57 out of 100; worst Lol at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT1526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.14per pick41cpaid-51.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Los Angeles Kings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
Will the Florida Panthers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.45
Panthers vs. Lightning: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$62.5
Penguins vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$12.7
Spread: Sabres (-1.5)backed Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$16.5
Islanders vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$61.7
Hurricanes vs. Rangersbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+49.3%+$4.95
Hurricanes vs. Rangers: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+49.3%+$41.25
SHL: Djurgaarden vs. Faerjestadbacked Faerjestad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$27.11
AHL: Coachella Valley Firebirds vs. San Jose Barracudabacked San Jose Barracuda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+95.5%+$46.8
Blues vs. Starsbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$125
Sharks vs. Avalanchebacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Red Wings vs. Utah: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+129.2%+$45.22
Blues vs. Stars: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$75
Wild vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$37
All 15 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1414.3%2 W · 12 L-3.4wins-0.24per pick38cpaid-62.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Lol — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$500.25
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$80.3
LoL: Sentinels vs Disguised (BO5) - LCS Lock In Playoffsbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+88.7%+$25.06
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs Leviatan Esports (BO5) - CBLOL Cup Playoffsbacked Vivo Keyd Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$205.2
Game Handicap: DRX (-1.5) vs OKSavingsBank BRION (+1.5)backed DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$44.95
Game Handicap: WB (-1.5) vs Invictus Gaming (+1.5)backed Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$116
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$29.75
LoL: The Secret Club Esport vs Partizan Sangal - Game 1 Winnerbacked The Secret Club Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$41.61
Game Handicap: PS (-1.5) vs The Secret Club Esport (+1.5)backed The Secret Club Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$99.9
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$66.3
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+233.3%+$42
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverancebacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$34
LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs GAM Esports (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$40.5
LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs GAM Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$60.21
All 14 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST1250%6 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+18.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Saint Peter's Peacocks vs. Sacred Heart Pioneersbacked Sacred Heart Pioneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+127.3%+$54.32
Idaho Vandals vs. Montana State Bobcatsbacked Idaho Vandals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$47.3
Saint Peter's Peacocks vs. Manhattan Jaspersbacked Manhattan Jaspers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$11.52
Merrimack College Warriors vs. Mount St. Mary's Mountaineersbacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$39.6
Elon Phoenix vs. Hampton Piratesbacked Hampton Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+117.4%+$18.9
Drexel Dragons vs. Campbell Fighting Camelsbacked Drexel Dragons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20.35
Florida Gulf Coast Eagles vs. Eastern Kentucky Colonelsbacked Eastern Kentucky Colonels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+96.1%+$42.63
Stonehill Skyhawks vs. Fairleigh Dickinson Knightsbacked Stonehill Skyhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$60.96
Le Moyne Dolphins vs. Wagner Seahawksbacked Wagner Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+108.3%+$28.6
Stetson Hatters vs. Bellarmine Knightsbacked Stetson Hatters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$11.55
Mercer Bears vs. Chattanooga Mocsbacked Chattanooga Mocs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+185.7%+$37.05
William & Mary Tribe vs. UNCW Seahawksbacked William & Mary Tribe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+185.7%+$49.4
All 12 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.29per pick43cpaid+69.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-36.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST50%0 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-23.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-53%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+35.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gaziantep FK win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$36.75
Will NAC Breda win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+170.3%+$63
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$69.91
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$36
All 2 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Group C - Germany vs. Latviabacked Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$73.05
Men's Group A - Canada vs. Switzerlandbacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$30
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+300%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+300%+$562.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Derby County FC win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+156.4%+$183
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+117.4%+$85.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$62.51
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.