Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Mercer Bears vs. Chattanooga Mocs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb98a5f0d4827c61ce37a3e0d996f5e47470f4b8fbede9fccc2ef431a92fa79c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chattanooga Mocsof Mercer Bears, Chattanooga Mocs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $72,389
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $85,120
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,389 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe392…c2b9backed Chattanooga Mocs | 34c | 8,000$2,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,280 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…b790backed Mercer Bears | 66c | 7,800$5,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,148 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f38…3a6bbacked Mercer Bears | 66c | 7,000$4,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,620 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf600…da8abacked Chattanooga Mocs | 34c | 7,000$2,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,620 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb729…4e2ebacked Chattanooga Mocs | 65c | 6,683$4,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,352.89 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x018e…c9d6backed Chattanooga Mocs | 33c | 6,000$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,020 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d39…9fcabacked Mercer Bears | 67c | 6,000$4,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,020 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Mercer Bears | 36c | 3,796$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,359.82 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Mercer Bears | 66c | 3,711$2,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,463.88 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Chattanooga Mocs | 34c | 2,742$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,821.2 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Mercer Bears | 39c | 2,273$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.15 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Mercer Bears | 45c | 2,054$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.31 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Mercer Bears | 43c | 1,488$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.57 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Chattanooga Mocs | 33c | 1,101$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.09 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Chattanooga Mocs | 29c | 990.07$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.91 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Chattanooga Mocs | 54c | 740.74$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.74 | 91 | 44%40 W · 51 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Mercer Bears | 46c | 739.62$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.79 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Chattanooga Mocs | 35c | 543.6$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.34 | 259 | 46.3%120 W · 139 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7c…d9d7backed Chattanooga Mocs | 30c | 500$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14b9…b6a9backed Mercer Bears | 21c | 486.91$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 56 | 19.6%11 W · 45 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Mercer Bears | 67c | 432.54$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.3 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe1…6b57backed Mercer Bears | 20c | 400$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +81.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Mercer Bears | 50c | 396.11$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.32 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Mercer Bears | 55c | 346$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.43 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1412…15d5backed Mercer Bears | 62c | 299.99$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.05 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 62cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0825…5e07backed Mercer Bears | 12c | 299.06$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.13 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Chattanooga Mocs | 33c | 290.27$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.48 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6756…8edcbacked Chattanooga Mocs | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.71 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Mercer Bears | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 484 | 62.8%304 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Mercer Bears | 62c | 279.31$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.88 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Chattanooga Mocs | 51c | 258.66$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.64 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc876…5b66backed Mercer Bears | 13c | 228.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 14cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Mercer Bears | 67c | 212$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.09 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Mercer Bears | 19c | 205.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.1 | 383 | 43.6%167 W · 216 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Chattanooga Mocs | 38c | 203.05$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.82 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x411e…ea8bbacked Mercer Bears | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91b8…51cfbacked Mercer Bears | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 10cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…191bbacked Mercer Bears | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Mercer Bears | 66c | 200$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 237 | 54.4%129 W · 108 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0735…4d2cbacked Mercer Bears | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 7cpaid | +574.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Mercer Bears | 49c | 198$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.22 | 141 | 51.1%72 W · 69 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Mercer Bears | 52c | 197.39$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.61 | 383 | 45.4%174 W · 209 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Mercer Bears | 71c | 194.37$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 255 | 44.3%113 W · 142 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Chattanooga Mocs | 71c | 161.8$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.65 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x338d…6d82backed Mercer Bears | 69c | 158.49$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b7…b46fbacked Mercer Bears | 66c | 151.42$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Chattanooga Mocs | 32c | 125.17$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.05 | 378 | 35.7%135 W · 243 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Chattanooga Mocs | 34c | 124.38$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.17 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b2…ced6backed Mercer Bears | 70c | 112.26$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.33 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Mercer Bears | 65c | 106.28$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.08 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Mercer Bears | 55c | 77$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.64 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e25…db26backed Chattanooga Mocs | 54c | 74.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.31 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Chattanooga Mocs | 79c | 72$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad13…d3abbacked Mercer Bears | 31c | 64.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 202 | 34.2%69 W · 133 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e2…da93backed Chattanooga Mocs | 35c | 57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.05 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33b9…ed3abacked Mercer Bears | 28c | 53.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Mercer Bears | 44c | 53.31$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.42 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Chattanooga Mocs | 32c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Chattanooga Mocs | 38c | 45$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.7 | 196 | 41.8%82 W · 114 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Mercer Bears | 71c | 44.92$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.97 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2344…6ba3backed Mercer Bears | 58c | 42.39$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.69 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Mercer Bears | 26c | 40.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed Chattanooga Mocs | 36c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Mercer Bears | 65c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Chattanooga Mocs | 33c | 39.44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.45 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Chattanooga Mocs | 41c | 39.19$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.99 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Chattanooga Mocs | 74c | 37.29$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Mercer Bears | 56c | 36.88$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.62 | 136 | 51.5%70 W · 66 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Mercer Bears | 52c | 34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafb8…505cbacked Chattanooga Mocs | 34c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.85 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…7a77backed Mercer Bears | 64c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 523 | 53.5%280 W · 243 L | -17.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…2d57backed Chattanooga Mocs | 43c | 29.91$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.05 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Chattanooga Mocs | 73c | 28.57$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x085d…5302backed Mercer Bears | 60c | 24.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Mercer Bears | 69c | 21.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07a6…5638backed Mercer Bears | 75c | 20.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 69cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…ac0abacked Mercer Bears | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 356 | 50.8%181 W · 175 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mercer Bears vs. Chattanooga Mocsthis page
- Mercer Bears vs. Chattanooga Mocs: O/U 155.5Under won
- Spread: Mercer Bears (-4.5)Chattanooga Mocs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.