South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-02-05?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0762c4edfe238da0f2acfff6b9b492a7a551cc9ab6cfdd5b55457c2882775bae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,937
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,613
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,937 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 26c | 7,522$1,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,955.84 | 234 | 35%82 W · 152 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 50c | 6,135$3,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,076.97 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 71c | 5,987$4,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,754.58 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea32…8870backed No | 74c | 5,520$4,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,435.2 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 26c | 4,619$1,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,201 | 436 | 18.8%82 W · 354 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 43c | 4,037$1,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,736.94 | 271 | 33.9%92 W · 179 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 52c | 3,154$1,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,511.26 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 64c | 2,952$1,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065.55 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…196fbacked Yes | 63c | 2,581$1,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,637.39 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 67cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 74c | 2,064$1,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.37 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 74c | 2,018$1,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.74 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…2b04backed Yes | 55c | 1,916$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062.76 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -4.7wins | -0.20per pick | 46cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x273f…56febacked Yes | 27c | 1,868$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 23cpaid | +106.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f1a…3589backed Yes | 27c | 1,841$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dee…3d1bbacked Yes | 63c | 1,521$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +97.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3f…c7f3backed Yes | 32c | 1,433$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.19 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed No | 74c | 1,376$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.84 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 36c | 1,355$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.61 | 175 | 42.3%74 W · 101 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 64c | 1,262$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.64 | 211 | 32.7%69 W · 142 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 62c | 1,259$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.52 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5901…63a2backed Yes | 70c | 1,242$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda1e…f6a4backed Yes | 57c | 1,183$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…e4efbacked No | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +32%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…a5f0backed Yes | 31c | 904.67$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.6 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 73c | 740.37$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.79 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 74c | 705$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.3 | 233 | 54.9%128 W · 105 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 54c | 527.91$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.64 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 75c | 527.07$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.77 | 270 | 50.7%137 W · 133 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…caf2backed No | 42c | 509.64$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.64 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -5.4wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3b…6ba5backed Yes | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 76 | 19.7%15 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 57c | 475.04$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.68 | 286 | 51.7%148 W · 138 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 31c | 457.41$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.18 | 1,670 | 51.8%865 W · 805 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 69c | 424.63$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.86 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 74c | 415.59$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.05 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ba…4a9dbacked Yes | 18c | 413.18$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5acf…0df2backed No | 45c | 404.07$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.87 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…8835backed Yes | 26c | 400$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe15…b171backed Yes | 27c | 375.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.95 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc18f…bb01backed Yes | 28c | 359.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.24 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Yes | 7c | 323.24$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.93 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 58c | 320.8$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.72 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…37f8backed Yes | 28c | 293.04$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 86 | 24.4%21 W · 65 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ec…17d7backed Yes | 65c | 281.69$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 14c | 254.84$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.63 | 308 | 41.2%127 W · 181 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee07…3573backed Yes | 27c | 241.66$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +75%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 16c | 233.33$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 391 | 27.1%106 W · 285 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ce…b90bbacked No | 14c | 208.68$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.46 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +5.5wins | +0.16per pick | 28cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7888…1e71backed Yes | 33c | 207.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b2…1c67backed No | 60c | 200$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8bb…58d2backed Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4e…6e96backed Yes | 16c | 200$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf141…77f4backed Yes | 61c | 196.34$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfab4…564fbacked Yes | 56c | 189.79$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.28 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7d…4b2fbacked Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x858d…9d9fbacked Yes | 15c | 183.27$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.85 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd647…909abacked Yes | 62c | 177.25$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18ea…f93bbacked Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb6…25eabacked Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15d7…a861backed Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c3…0e32backed Yes | 64c | 156$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x309a…f474backed No | 73c | 151.05$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.25 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Yes | 23c | 150$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 130 | 41.5%54 W · 76 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc900…4557backed Yes | 57c | 143.7$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 51c | 137.27$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.68 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked No | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9869…e817backed No | 65c | 118.49$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.81 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…5ba4backed Yes | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Yes | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b7…b46fbacked Yes | 60c | 110.02$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.01 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…164bbacked No | 48c | 110$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.2 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 26c | 109$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.34 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Yes | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 494 | 40.9%202 W · 292 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x404f…f2a1backed Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.3 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 72cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccc6…a5f1backed Yes | 74c | 100$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.19per pick | 65cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b1d…820cbacked Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Yes | 25c | 99.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a52…06cbbacked Yes | 62c | 96.77$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d11…0c08backed Yes | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x004c…ab0cbacked Yes | 72c | 90$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.75 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82e7…c61cbacked Yes | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 70cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 39c | 80.24$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.61 | 404 | 42.1%170 W · 234 L | -12.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e2…da93backed Yes | 61c | 78.83$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.01 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfa…faa4backed Yes | 61c | 77.98$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.57 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0c…2265backed Yes | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -35%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3585…78d8backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3d…fea8backed No | 61c | 73.73$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.73 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1b…c38fbacked Yes | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +84.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Yes | 54c | 73.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.68 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed No | 52c | 70$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.7 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce9…aa53backed No | 47c | 68.4$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb06…4ababacked No | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed No | 74c | 65.6$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.06 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c89…7ee7backed Yes | 16c | 65.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa60…9b86backed Yes | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 771 | 51.4%396 W · 375 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2344…6ba3backed No | 60c | 61.83$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.64 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6b…7b9cbacked Yes | 66c | 61.27$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Yes | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 209 | 53.1%111 W · 98 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-02-05?this page
- Will EC Bahia vs. Fluminense FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will EC Bahia win on 2026-02-05?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.