TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will EC Bahia win on 2026-02-05?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$62,259
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$52,241

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,259 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf89f…e0c1backed Yes47c17,109$7,975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,974.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No53c7,560$4,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,545.92,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes18c6,946$1,247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,247.25,76245.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L+94.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes7c3,367$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.3249449%242 W · 252 L+22.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No54c3,334$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,533.4951749.9%258 W · 259 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes17c2,689$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.668,11248.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L+27.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No54c2,134$1,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$978.453,40751.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes20c1,737$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.951,98544.8%890 W · 1,095 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes45c1,312$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590.423435%82 W · 152 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c16…a5e3backed No56c916.23$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.145952.5%31 W · 28 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3b…6ba5backed Yes5c799.98$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407619.7%15 W · 61 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes45c680$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.0827133.9%92 W · 179 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-24.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes7c600$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4339127.1%106 W · 285 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes18c546.99$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.821,67051.8%865 W · 805 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8415…dfe1backed No55c462.11$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.952231.8%7 W · 15 L-3.4wins-0.15per pick47cpaid-41.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x34f9…12ebbacked Yes21c453.55$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.2333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick20cpaid+23.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5acf…0df2backed Yes15c404.75$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603452.9%18 W · 16 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+23%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No54c360.29$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.151,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Yes34c339$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.3717542.3%74 W · 101 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0931…8dccbacked Yes7c328.57$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes40c251.98$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10113739.4%54 W · 83 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes22c223.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.131,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3b7…b46fbacked Yes45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xff67…a1c9backed No57c202.22$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$875648.2%27 W · 29 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes43c196.7$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.5881651.6%421 W · 395 L+12.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6179…6f80backed No57c192.17$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$831855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed No55c181.81$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.815954.2%32 W · 27 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No67c151.26$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.711,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed No56c146.28$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.1427050.7%137 W · 133 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No75c137.32$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.451,09155.6%607 W · 484 L-19.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f3d…fea8backed Yes17c137.06$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9869…e817backed Yes21c136.97$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.41742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick59cpaid-37.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf141…77f4backed Yes21c132.19$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2620%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes17c126.07$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1649535.4%175 W · 320 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf60b…c18ebacked No55c122.8$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.2621345.1%96 W · 117 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43e8…5ba4backed Yes21c119.05$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick21cpaid+35.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6584…c018backed Yes45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8007…4245backed Yes45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502433.3%8 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked No55c109.99$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.521837.6%82 W · 136 L-12.0wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x98d0…01a4backed Yes34c102.49$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353246.9%15 W · 17 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x976a…5fbbbacked Yes15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151225%3 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+20.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010326.2%27 W · 76 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick22cpaid-1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe015…621fbacked Yes45c91.11$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415641.1%23 W · 33 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1036…fb48backed Yes45c88.96$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402951.7%15 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe109…8ec3backed Yes45c88.89$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-40.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d20…2391backed Yes32c78.87$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255440.7%22 W · 32 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc758…8574backed Yes20c76.44$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155538.2%21 W · 34 L-0.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Yes16c76.29$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0549440.9%202 W · 292 L-0.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe44b…6e0abacked Yes45c70$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.55949.2%29 W · 30 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x263f…c744backed Yes44c69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.36966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+35.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x82af…f919backed Yes45c67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.153253.1%17 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d2a…3daebacked Yes45c66.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick42cpaid+20.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9527…963dbacked Yes43c66$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ee1…55bebacked Yes45c60$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.8220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcab6…ee9fbacked No57c60$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.82100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+58.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb526…04acbacked No57c59$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe09c…f300backed Yes24c58.92$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.971668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+43.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xbb19…122ebacked Yes45c57.89$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.05728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-50.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x58ab…270ebacked Yes43c57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5120%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d54…81a1backed Yes20c56.5$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5511036.4%40 W · 70 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf930…04a3backed No57c56$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.08250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-12.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x774c…d063backed Yes45c55$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe974…bb41backed No57c52.63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.63666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc173…6342backed No57c52$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…74b2backed Yes43c52$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.3620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d0…9076backed No57c51$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56e6…45e9backed No56c50.7$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.317352.1%38 W · 35 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked No55c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.517950.8%91 W · 88 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked No55c49.99$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.516347.9%78 W · 85 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x901b…d5f1backed No57c48$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5731…f4f1backed Yes43c47$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.21250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c99…2592backed Yes43c46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb48c…ab11backed Yes44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-24.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b9b…b8e3backed No57c45$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.35250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7888…1e71backed Yes46c45$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.820%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ed9…d709backed Yes45c44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6255…9d73backed No57c43$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a12…69e1backed Yes45c42$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.920%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3cc4…26eebacked No57c41$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85d3…1655backed Yes45c41$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf312…1d6fbacked Yes43c39$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x764f…846ebacked Yes47c38.7$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-45.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe56f…e1e9backed No57c38$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.342100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+101.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x01e9…810fbacked No80c37.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4781…cf2fbacked Yes42c35.71$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-38.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3999…c2bbbacked Yes45c35.56$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2449…75a4backed No59c35.41$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.672100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+152%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked No62c35$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.218160.2%109 W · 72 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbef4…8244backed Yes45c35$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x680d…cae0backed No57c34$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.62366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+34.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdaeb…9a1cbacked No57c33$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.19366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+34.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30b2…1bf7backed Yes43c33$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7604…f7cdbacked Yes46c32.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+18.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e6b…a2c5backed No57c32$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x885f…0b74backed Yes45c31$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked No55c30.34$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.6513828.3%39 W · 99 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-1.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc27e…7ad9backed No66c30.2$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67e3…320cbacked No57c29$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.47366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf167…da8abacked No57c27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bf…38c6backed Yes43c27$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6120%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.