NHL · resolved market
AHL: Coachella Valley Firebirds vs. San Jose Barracuda
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x948d461a9b57396e293e24786c34787fef4228e0a87d714e9c30d68924f138b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- San Jose Barracudaof Coachella Valley Firebirds, San Jose Barracuda
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,243
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,252
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,243 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56d4…9c57backed San Jose Barracuda | 50c | 3,549$1,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,774.48 | 231 | 55%127 W · 104 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed Coachella Valley Firebirds | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -6.9wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc04a…af81backed Coachella Valley Firebirds | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf50c…83edbacked San Jose Barracuda | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Coachella Valley Firebirds | 50c | 979$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.2 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c5b…1ab3backed San Jose Barracuda | 53c | 900$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa22e…fe32backed Coachella Valley Firebirds | 47c | 900$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Coachella Valley Firebirds | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Coachella Valley Firebirds | 49c | 502.06$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked San Jose Barracuda | 51c | 489$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.61 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Coachella Valley Firebirds | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Coachella Valley Firebirds | 50c | 259.64$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.82 | 275 | 47.6%131 W · 144 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Coachella Valley Firebirds | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 337 | 45.7%154 W · 183 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1c…9b07backed Coachella Valley Firebirds | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Coachella Valley Firebirds | 49c | 99.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 599 | 50.4%302 W · 297 L | +20.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e2…da93backed San Jose Barracuda | 51c | 95.8$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x466f…bb3bbacked Coachella Valley Firebirds | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Coachella Valley Firebirds | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed San Jose Barracuda | 51c | 39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.11 | 550 | 48.2%265 W · 285 L | -11.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8df3…9d6bbacked Coachella Valley Firebirds | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.