NHL · resolved market
Hurricanes vs. Rangers: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x78451097ff6477bbf051d795d1884815ed13334b47d8f65116d265af986bfd96
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,741
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,982
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,741 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 47c | 8,960$4,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,211.21 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Over | 47c | 4,831$2,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,270.72 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 53c | 4,148$2,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,949.56 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 53c | 2,500$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 55c | 2,177$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.73 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 47c | 600$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 52c | 533.93$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.29 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Over | 49c | 408.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.53 | 485 | 52.2%253 W · 232 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 53c | 383$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.01 | 262 | 43.5%114 W · 148 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 51c | 360.37$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.58 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 52c | 318.21$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.74 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x877a…7de2backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e2…da93backed Under | 67c | 125$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.25 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd56d…5c46backed Over | 48c | 104$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64ac…2108backed Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.25per pick | 59cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9689…be06backed Over | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Over | 47c | 76.06$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.75 | 162 | 54.9%89 W · 73 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1150…e701backed Over | 48c | 73.68$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.37 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 31c | 57.41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.91 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 32c | 57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf263…e9c1backed Over | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ad…6a69backed Over | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 231 | 58%134 W · 97 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Under | 53c | 42.55$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 263 | 57.8%152 W · 111 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3526…8b74backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8791…4c9abacked Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed Over | 48c | 28.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Under | 53c | 27.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc525…daf0backed Over | 47c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d21…08d3backed Over | 48c | 23.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x335d…ce5fbacked Under | 53c | 22.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.62 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 53c | 20.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 696 | 53.4%372 W · 324 L | -16.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3945…7077backed Under | 53c | 20.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57c9…9c9dbacked Under | 53c | 19.32$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hurricanes vs. Rangers: O/U 6.5this page
- Hurricanes vs. RangersHurricanes won
- Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)Hurricanes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.