TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x335d…ce5f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
230
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 56 out of 100; worst NFL at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT10838.9%42 W · 66 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 108 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Celtics (-13.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$592Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$592.31
Kings vs. Warriorsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggetsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.75
76ers vs. Spursbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.8
Cavaliers vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.61
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.78
Raptors vs. Celticsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.79
Grizzlies vs. Bucksbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.77
Pelicans vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+204.3%+$26.07
Magic vs. Mavericksbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$9.27
Pelicans vs. Trail Blazersbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.37
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.65
Suns vs. Hornetsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.66
Timberwolves vs. Pistonsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.08
Spurs vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.49
Pacers vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.04
Celtics vs. Heatbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$71.26
Trail Blazers vs. Clippersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+173.9%+$32.31
Hornets vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.83
Timberwolves vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.02
Warriors vs. Nuggetsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.34
Knicks vs. Thunderbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.85
76ers vs. Kingsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$28.14
Bucks vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$43.48
Magic vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$8.77
Showing 25 of 108 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT6839.7%27 W · 41 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 68 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.16
Hurricanes vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$14.35
Panthers vs. Penguinsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.45
Flames vs. Ducksbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$19.54
Red Wings vs. Rangersbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.94
Flames vs. Golden Knightsbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.16
Maple Leafs vs. Sharksbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.64
Blackhawks vs. Oilersbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.05
Blue Jackets vs. Hurricanesbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.03
Kraken vs. Oilersbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
Maple Leafs vs. Ducksbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$30.54
Canucks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.75
Flames vs. Avalanchebacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.82
Bruins vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+331%+$57.13
Canadiens vs. Red Wingsbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.62
Rangers vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Islanders vs. Senatorsbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.47
Stars vs. Avalanchebacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+251.5%+$173.03
Hurricanes vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.54
Penguins vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.02
Avalanche vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.34
Blackhawks vs. Utahbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+191%+$82.3
Oilers vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$13.59
Rangers vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.58
Blues vs. Hurricanesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+246%+$27.09
Showing 25 of 68 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT3240.6%13 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Houston Astros vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.86
Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.28
Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$28.29
Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.1
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.82
Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.01
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$10.9
Chicago Cubs vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.1
Miami Marlins vs. New York Yankeesbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$26.6
Houston Astros vs. Athleticsbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.28
Cincinnati Reds vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.07
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.34
Baltimore Orioles vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.18
New York Mets vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.1
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.38
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.88
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Detroit Tigersbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.41
San Diego Padres vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$11.1
New York Mets vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.34
Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+109.6%+$211.77
Colorado Rockies vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$27.24
Cleveland Guardians vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.13
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$16.22
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$10.67
Texas Rangers vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$15.67
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1947.4%9 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.13per pick34cpaid+45.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.9
Stanford Cardinal vs. West Virginia Mountaineersbacked West Virginia Mountaineers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+78.9%+$19.21
New Mexico Lobos vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricanebacked New Mexico Lobos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.22
Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+525.7%+$90.88
Wright State Raiders vs. Virginia Cavaliersbacked Wright State Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.56
Santa Clara Broncos vs. Kentucky Wildcatsbacked Santa Clara Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.65
Akron Zips vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Akron Zips · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.95
Saint Louis Billikens vs. Georgia Bulldogsbacked Georgia Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.99
Texas Longhorns vs. BYU Cougarsbacked Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+140.2%+$38.67
VCU Rams vs. North Carolina Tar Heelsbacked VCU Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+180.3%+$32.89
McNeese State Cowboys vs. Vanderbilt Commodoresbacked McNeese State Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.02
Siena Saints vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Siena Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.66
South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinalsbacked Louisville Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$23.8
High Point Panthers vs. Wisconsin Badgersbacked High Point Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+451.9%+$63.29
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Ohio State Buckeyesbacked Ohio State Buckeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$203.71
SMU Mustangs vs. Miami (OH) RedHawksbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+83.1%+$86.23
Sam Houston Bearkats vs. New Mexico Lobosbacked Sam Houston Bearkats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.47
UNCW Seahawks vs. Yale Bulldogsbacked UNCW Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$154.09
Liberty Flames vs. George Mason Patriotsbacked Liberty Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+164.9%+$218.79
All 19 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$230.4
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$223.8
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$10.24
All 3 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.