NHL · resolved market
Stars vs. Avalanche
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ea561669d521e424334a441eead913ec87f0f797722b576dadd10363aa17644
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Starsof Stars, Avalanche
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,231,971
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,231,971 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 697 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Avalanche | 57c | 224,128$128,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128,707.03 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf195…8057backed Stars | 44c | 221,470$97,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124,023.15 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Stars | 43c | 209,999$89,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120,199.5 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Avalanche | 57c | 198,731$113,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113,276.67 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Stars | 43c | 159,799$68,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91,085.15 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Stars | 44c | 115,000$50,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64,549.99 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Avalanche | 56c | 82,480$46,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,187.49 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Avalanche | 56c | 80,023$45,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,010.88 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Avalanche | 56c | 70,000$39,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,200 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Stars | 42c | 40,527$17,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,459.53 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Avalanche | 57c | 31,556$18,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,121.63 | 274 | 48.9%134 W · 140 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Stars | 43c | 27,969$12,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,944.17 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Avalanche | 61c | 19,726$11,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,995.88 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Avalanche | 56c | 18,950$10,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,637.42 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…80aebacked Stars | 40c | 14,561$5,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,690 | 327 | 44%144 W · 183 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Avalanche | 57c | 14,561$8,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,334.66 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x759c…5f4bbacked Avalanche | 57c | 13,911$7,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,929.04 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Avalanche | 56c | 12,000$6,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,719.97 | 260 | 58.8%153 W · 107 L | +17.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xacae…6798backed Avalanche | 56c | 11,661$6,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,530.25 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Avalanche | 56c | 11,000$6,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,179.91 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Stars | 43c | 10,885$4,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,178.05 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Avalanche | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,499.98 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Avalanche | 56c | 10,000$5,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,614.95 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Avalanche | 56c | 9,200$5,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,171.91 | 278 | 50.4%140 W · 138 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Stars | 45c | 9,000$4,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,949.98 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Avalanche | 56c | 8,137$4,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,555.97 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ed…b5bcbacked Stars | 42c | 7,777$3,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,488.39 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x960e…77d6backed Avalanche | 56c | 7,554$4,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,237.81 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Avalanche | 50c | 7,266$3,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,612.06 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Stars | 44c | 6,600$2,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,696 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Stars | 43c | 6,138$2,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,498.92 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Avalanche | 56c | 6,122$3,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,419.44 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Stars | 43c | 5,970$2,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,402.9 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Avalanche | 57c | 5,925$3,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,377.25 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Avalanche | 56c | 5,714$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Avalanche | 57c | 5,461$3,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,113.03 | 268 | 49.6%133 W · 135 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebc7…4003backed Avalanche | 56c | 5,412$3,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,030.51 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Avalanche | 57c | 5,297$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6368…6dc8backed Stars | 49c | 5,082$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,582.23 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Stars | 44c | 5,078$2,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,825.75 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Stars | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800 | 272 | 43.4%118 W · 154 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Avalanche | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 217 | 4.1%9 W · 208 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Avalanche | 56c | 4,083$2,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,273.03 | 367 | 48%176 W · 191 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Avalanche | 56c | 4,000$2,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,239.93 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed Avalanche | 57c | 3,928$2,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,245.95 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30a3…1943backed Stars | 43c | 3,877$1,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,209.81 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec6e…2a01backed Avalanche | 57c | 3,818$2,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,176 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Stars | 44c | 3,675$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,055.49 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Avalanche | 56c | 3,640$2,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,038.4 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57cb…58b4backed Stars | 55c | 3,631$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,631.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Avalanche | 56c | 3,571$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.76 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Avalanche | 57c | 3,509$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Stars | 45c | 3,359$1,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,847.52 | 358 | 29.3%105 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x085e…9aeabacked Stars | 52c | 3,247$1,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550.8 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 55cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Avalanche | 56c | 3,237$1,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,806.2 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Avalanche | 56c | 3,222$1,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,804.31 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Avalanche | 58c | 3,213$1,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,854.5 | 339 | 50.1%170 W · 169 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Stars | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Stars | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 275 | 47.6%131 W · 144 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Stars | 42c | 2,976$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,726 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Avalanche | 57c | 2,861$1,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,642.98 | 302 | 59.6%180 W · 122 L | +31.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf984…5098backed Stars | 45c | 2,796$1,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,540.92 | 106 | 47.2%50 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Avalanche | 56c | 2,387$1,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,330.69 | 459 | 55.1%253 W · 206 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Avalanche | 57c | 2,281$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Stars | 40c | 2,255$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,343.19 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0338…04b7backed Stars | 45c | 2,198$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,219.76 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Avalanche | 56c | 2,169$1,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,215.26 | 457 | 51.6%236 W · 221 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Avalanche | 55c | 2,157$1,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185.86 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Avalanche | 55c | 2,078$1,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,142.45 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x221d…e800backed Avalanche | 62c | 2,054$1,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,269.23 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | 0%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Stars | 52c | 2,004$1,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.98 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Stars | 44c | 2,000$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,130 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23ec…759fbacked Avalanche | 1c | 2,000$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d8…e9a1backed Stars | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Avalanche | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.99 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Avalanche | 57c | 1,940$1,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105.8 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Avalanche | 51c | 1,897$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.88 | 277 | 39.4%109 W · 168 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Stars | 45c | 1,800$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Avalanche | 56c | 1,800$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014 | 457 | 49.2%225 W · 232 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4823…a48bbacked Stars | 28c | 1,786$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,285.71 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Avalanche | 56c | 1,784$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.76 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1064…f153backed Avalanche | 54c | 1,781$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.75 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Avalanche | 61c | 1,730$1,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,061.88 | 197 | 59.4%117 W · 80 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Stars | 53c | 1,700$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.13 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Avalanche | 56c | 1,550$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.49 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Stars | 42c | 1,533$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.28 | 303 | 48.8%148 W · 155 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…172fbacked Avalanche | 56c | 1,510$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.58 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Avalanche | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Stars | 43c | 1,494$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.36 | 366 | 48.6%178 W · 188 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Avalanche | 56c | 1,341$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.98 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x431c…12ecbacked Avalanche | 57c | 1,305$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.76 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Stars | 43c | 1,300$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741 | 318 | 51.9%165 W · 153 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…f296backed Avalanche | 58c | 1,278$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.86 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Avalanche | 51c | 1,256$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.18 | 164 | 47%77 W · 87 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf819…d410backed Avalanche | 57c | 1,243$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.54 | 209 | 51.7%108 W · 101 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb145…df85backed Stars | 44c | 1,231$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.4 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Stars | 43c | 1,193$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.01 | 428 | 47.2%202 W · 226 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x009b…e769backed Avalanche | 57c | 1,153$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Stars | 42c | 1,153$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.48 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Stars | 44c | 1,111$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.13 | 88 | 37.5%33 W · 55 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Stars vs. Avalanchethis page
- Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)Stars won
- Stars vs. Avalanche: O/U 4.5Under won
- Stars vs. Avalanche: O/U 5.5Under won
- Stars vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5Under won
- Stars vs. Avalanche: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.