NHL · resolved market
Stars vs. Avalanche: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xafc4d2061ebd9e0891f1ddac80273fb5b717094cb05037a00e1f602d7fe618e4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,656
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,656 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Under | 42c | 9,160$3,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,312.85 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 46c | 3,056$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,656.33 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d8…e9a1backed Over | 58c | 3,000$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,740 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 56c | 2,487$1,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,392.91 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 58c | 2,404$1,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,394.32 | 366 | 48.6%178 W · 188 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Over | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 42c | 700$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 58c | 700$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24bc…1b77backed Over | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 122 | 58.2%71 W · 51 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 45c | 430.6$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.83 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 58c | 406.76$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.92 | 308 | 55.5%171 W · 137 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 46c | 325.39$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.81 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8709…7d3dbacked Over | 58c | 324.14$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 53c | 293.3$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.04 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 55c | 256.95$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.36 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Over | 58c | 241.38$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52fc…6c84backed Under | 59c | 206.35$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.35 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Over | 59c | 202$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.17 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed Over | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Over | 55c | 187.66$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.69 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Over | 58c | 173.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 56c | 152.16$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.21 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Over | 40c | 144.58$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.2 | 88 | 37.5%33 W · 55 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Under | 71c | 124.58$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 56c | 124.39$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.66 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 32c | 117.08$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.17 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 24c | 109$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.08 | 657 | 21.9%144 W · 513 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Over | 28c | 87.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.73 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +18.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x461b…30ddbacked Over | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 49c | 68$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.32 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3a…f171backed Under | 44c | 57.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.35 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Under | 52c | 47.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 303 | 48.8%148 W · 155 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 29c | 46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 35c | 44.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 198 | 44.9%89 W · 109 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 58c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 598 | 52.3%313 W · 285 L | +34.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5c…ab22backed Under | 43c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e5…485abacked Over | 42c | 37.93$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 43c | 36.51$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.81 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Over | 57c | 34.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 355 | 53%188 W · 167 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc53…6bd3backed Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 540 | 49.4%267 W · 273 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 56c | 26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 55c | 24.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 58c | 24.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Over | 56c | 24.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6f…f414backed Over | 58c | 19.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Stars vs. Avalanche: O/U 5.5this page
- Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)Stars won
- Stars vs. AvalancheStars won
- Stars vs. Avalanche: O/U 4.5Under won
- Stars vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5Under won
- Stars vs. Avalanche: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.