NHL · resolved market
Stars vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e76fd972f46b04aae1bc2a9871fbc3c413754642dae9e1972c34556bd1af5a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,864
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,864 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Under | 54c | 30,000$16,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,799.95 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 46c | 19,220$8,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,841.2 | 366 | 48.6%178 W · 188 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Over | 46c | 8,091$3,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,722 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc18…2ce9backed Over | 46c | 5,435$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500.1 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -5.5wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Under | 54c | 5,217$2,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,399.82 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x085e…9aeabacked Under | 55c | 1,698$934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.04 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 55cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Over | 46c | 1,296$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.3 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cf…c503backed Under | 54c | 1,296$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.3 | 137 | 49.6%68 W · 69 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 45c | 1,222$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.96 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 54c | 1,139$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.13 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Over | 47c | 1,092$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.82 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Over | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0416…9b31backed Over | 46c | 869.57$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Over | 19c | 837.19$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.25 | 88 | 37.5%33 W · 55 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Over | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 54c | 628$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.88 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Under | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 336 | 52.1%175 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa8e…db0ebacked Over | 46c | 450$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 54c | 449.99$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 46c | 310.61$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.71 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Over | 46c | 304.35$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 34c | 293.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 190 | 33.7%64 W · 126 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Under | 55c | 280$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 485 | 52.2%253 W · 232 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Over | 46c | 250$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbc…0607backed Under | 55c | 250$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 46c | 220$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 624 | 47.3%295 W · 329 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1147…9089backed Under | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 46c | 195.65$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Over | 45c | 159.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 599 | 50.4%302 W · 297 L | +20.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 54c | 131.97$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.71 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Under | 66c | 110.07$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.57 | 303 | 48.8%148 W · 155 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 46c | 109.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.37 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad15…ee7fbacked Over | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c08…af98backed Under | 66c | 105.39$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.39 | 337 | 56.4%190 W · 147 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x838a…0815backed Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Under | 55c | 92.73$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.73 | 243 | 46.1%112 W · 131 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Over | 46c | 80.9$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.21 | 355 | 53%188 W · 167 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cf…8a4fbacked Under | 54c | 73.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.67 | 141 | 57.4%81 W · 60 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 41c | 70.77$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.3 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Over | 46c | 63.93$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.41 | 337 | 45.7%154 W · 183 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb590…15d3backed Under | 55c | 61.82$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.82 | 481 | 61.3%295 W · 186 L | +21.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 45c | 57.44$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.85 | 272 | 43.4%118 W · 154 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3a…f171backed Under | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Over | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 565 | 53.6%303 W · 262 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 46c | 54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 60c | 51.82$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.77 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 33c | 49.39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 77c | 46.51$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Over | 46c | 45.63$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f8…2869backed Under | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf9…7560backed Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 502 | 51.2%257 W · 245 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1cc…95b7backed Over | 46c | 36.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffea…5f0abacked Under | 52c | 33.6$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.13 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | +16.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Under | 54c | 31.3$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 477 | 53.9%257 W · 220 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa684…ca71backed Over | 46c | 30.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +22%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Under | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed Over | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 225 | 43.1%97 W · 128 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 272 | 50%136 W · 136 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73da…f190backed Under | 58c | 29.09$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.09 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 64c | 26.55$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.65 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6f…f414backed Over | 46c | 26.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 46c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +18.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 123 | 35%43 W · 80 L | -12.4wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6c04…a593backed Under | 55c | 18.35$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.26 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…cf81backed Under | 55c | 18.19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Under | 72c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 384 | 47.4%182 W · 202 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Stars vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5this page
- Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)Stars won
- Stars vs. AvalancheStars won
- Stars vs. Avalanche: O/U 4.5Under won
- Stars vs. Avalanche: O/U 5.5Under won
- Stars vs. Avalanche: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.