MLB · resolved market
Chicago Cubs vs. Tampa Bay Rays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8ca3f51e131d76b759a1d5ac3d0acc3f7477791a79131d6565256019efd3f3a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tampa Bay Raysof Chicago Cubs, Tampa Bay Rays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $511,023
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $552,736
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $511,023 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 403 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xba9a…d705backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 43,528$20,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,416.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Chicago Cubs | 25c | 40,855$10,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,155.85 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd6…b163backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 36,242$19,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,858.44 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Tampa Bay Rays | 71c | 32,989$23,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,664.53 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 29,242$13,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,743.69 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 62c | 23,799$14,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,943.49 | 216 | 56.5%122 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 22,159$11,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,732.57 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…6128backed Chicago Cubs | 56c | 19,179$10,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,697.48 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Chicago Cubs | 47c | 17,791$8,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,360.84 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Tampa Bay Rays | 71c | 13,469$9,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,879.13 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Chicago Cubs | 45c | 12,436$5,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,653.11 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 12,264$6,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,763.94 | 260 | 56.5%147 W · 113 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Tampa Bay Rays | 62c | 11,773$7,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,490.97 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Tampa Bay Rays | 76c | 9,543$7,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,337.21 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 9,053$4,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,189.94 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf56b…ac88backed Chicago Cubs | 29c | 8,788$2,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,574.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +155.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Tampa Bay Rays | 66c | 8,498$5,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,901.57 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Chicago Cubs | 31c | 7,893$2,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,425.24 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 7,813$3,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,594.15 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 7,468$3,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,584.88 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 66c | 6,860$4,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,351.28 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…1e2abacked Chicago Cubs | 47c | 5,500$2,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,584.98 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Chicago Cubs | 46c | 5,476$2,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,518.86 | 210 | 40%84 W · 126 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 5,402$2,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,485.02 | 169 | 47.9%81 W · 88 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Chicago Cubs | 52c | 5,097$2,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,664.99 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,299.98 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,299.96 | 235 | 38.3%90 W · 145 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Tampa Bay Rays | 79c | 4,976$3,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.73 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca0…9b86backed Chicago Cubs | 24c | 4,841$1,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,161.74 | 79 | 34.2%27 W · 52 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe193…cc85backed Tampa Bay Rays | 79c | 4,683$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983.43 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 4,505$2,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,072.19 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 4,438$2,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,085.67 | 273 | 51.3%140 W · 133 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Tampa Bay Rays | 66c | 4,342$2,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,471.06 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d39…c732backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 4,121$2,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,936.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,879.97 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95fc…10f6backed Chicago Cubs | 22c | 3,868$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850.98 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21d4…84bdbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 3,170$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,490 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 79c | 3,056$2,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.02 | 180 | 56.1%101 W · 79 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.98 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba04…310bbacked Chicago Cubs | 46c | 2,996$1,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,377.91 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Chicago Cubs | 47c | 2,979$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400.13 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b7…0c87backed Chicago Cubs | 23c | 2,844$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…476cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 2,701$1,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,242.51 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Chicago Cubs | 44c | 2,637$1,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,163.36 | 341 | 64.2%219 W · 122 L | +22.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Tampa Bay Rays | 74c | 2,554$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.74 | 140 | 39.3%55 W · 85 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b6…c324backed Chicago Cubs | 32c | 2,500$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Chicago Cubs | 49c | 2,500$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,224.99 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c1…5177backed Chicago Cubs | 43c | 2,256$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.15 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa432…4228backed Chicago Cubs | 10c | 2,253$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.34 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Chicago Cubs | 46c | 2,222$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.12 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Tampa Bay Rays | 57c | 2,209$1,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957.19 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46fb…2b75backed Chicago Cubs | 52c | 2,200$1,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,133.99 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eed…85a9backed Chicago Cubs | 48c | 2,130$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.36 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Chicago Cubs | 7c | 2,104$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.3 | 168 | 14.3%24 W · 144 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55bb…bc01backed Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 2,059$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.53 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Chicago Cubs | 54c | 2,054$1,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,106.47 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae8…c9a3backed Chicago Cubs | 21c | 2,047$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4285…cfb5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 2,036$1,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977.1 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…6300backed Tampa Bay Rays | 61c | 1,961$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.92 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc521…b46abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 1,805$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.73 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Tampa Bay Rays | 71c | 1,768$1,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.39 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 69c | 1,698$1,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.19 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0258…06d0backed Chicago Cubs | 24c | 1,590$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.31 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa701…86a3backed Chicago Cubs | 6c | 1,573$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.36 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 13cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68bf…3e67backed Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 1,561$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.58 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Tampa Bay Rays | 64c | 1,211$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.93 | 194 | 52.6%102 W · 92 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Chicago Cubs | 22c | 1,190$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.1 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4650…f3f0backed Tampa Bay Rays | 58c | 1,173$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.84 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 1,049$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.24 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed Chicago Cubs | 48c | 1,009$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.4 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe74…a70ebacked Chicago Cubs | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 999.99$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 990.01$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.11 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Chicago Cubs | 37c | 989.73$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.62 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe802…e465backed Chicago Cubs | 45c | 964.95$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.23 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06f3…e57dbacked Chicago Cubs | 3c | 941.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63a7…3bb2backed Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 911.5$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.29 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…5053backed Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 900.37$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.17 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ca…3748backed Tampa Bay Rays | 66c | 891.39$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.52 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x002d…2561backed Chicago Cubs | 48c | 880.1$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.45 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Tampa Bay Rays | 74c | 864$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.97 | 393 | 51.9%204 W · 189 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 66c | 817.4$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.44 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Tampa Bay Rays | 70c | 813.2$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.97 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67e2…42d9backed Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 810.33$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.75 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…937abacked Chicago Cubs | 24c | 800.8$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.83 | 111 | 29.7%33 W · 78 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d91…bb2abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 748.75$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.42 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 667.83$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.74 | 152 | 43.4%66 W · 86 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 665.83$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.26 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73ed…52f3backed Chicago Cubs | 5c | 657.5$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Chicago Cubs | 43c | 647$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.21 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed Tampa Bay Rays | 78c | 633.58$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.39 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Tampa Bay Rays | 80c | 632.09$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.82 | 286 | 46.2%132 W · 154 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd1…b201backed Tampa Bay Rays | 74c | 619.14$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Tampa Bay Rays | 72c | 599.12$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.48 | 157 | 53.5%84 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Chicago Cubs | 49c | 595.24$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.67 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 72c | 584.29$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166 | 344 | 52.6%181 W · 163 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 583.44$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.38 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Tampa Bay Rays | 72c | 582.87$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.65 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Chicago Cubs | 49c | 578.67$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.1 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a49…651abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 534.82$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.02 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago Cubs vs. Tampa Bay Raysthis page
- Chicago Cubs vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 10.5Under won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 11.5Under won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5Over won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5Over won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)Chicago Cubs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.