MLB · resolved market
Chicago Cubs vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd28d8b99bb0104546b6c5161e0fafb0dc35255baf97a0c3e05c9294ee3d43d95
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $264,300
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $267,845
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $264,300 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x63a5…8e33backed Under | 49c | 198,436$96,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96,933.25 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Over | 49c | 68,463$33,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,658.1 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 52c | 53,001$27,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,280.38 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 52c | 29,406$15,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,129.45 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0258…06d0backed Under | 0c | 28,670$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.71 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 52c | 20,154$10,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,694.08 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 51c | 13,713$7,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,657.27 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Over | 54c | 2,723$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,252.45 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 52c | 2,488$1,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,194.07 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb49…1fbebacked Over | 53c | 2,472$1,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,162.06 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +6.2wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 25c | 2,231$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.37 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 52c | 2,067$1,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.39 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Over | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 53c | 1,908$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.83 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ad…45f9backed Under | 47c | 1,675$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.25 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked Over | 78c | 1,516$1,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.61 | 198 | 42.9%85 W · 113 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Under | 48c | 1,111$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.28 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7c…7a19backed Over | 54c | 1,070$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.03 | 117 | 49.6%58 W · 59 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 72c | 1,026$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.45 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe802…e465backed Over | 50c | 943.19$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.6 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 53c | 792$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.24 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 29c | 681.55$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 28c | 613.8$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.11 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47e3…e736backed Over | 52c | 587.61$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.05 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56de…bc32backed Over | 50c | 529.37$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.98 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Under | 48c | 509.48$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.46 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed Over | 72c | 499.99$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69c2…40cfbacked Over | 53c | 458.48$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.54 | 182 | 39.6%72 W · 110 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Over | 56c | 437.81$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.7 | 194 | 52.6%102 W · 92 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 49c | 307.3$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.58 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac4…a601backed Over | 53c | 275.04$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.27 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 52c | 264.42$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.92 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 28c | 264.11$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.2 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 54c | 252.79$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.48 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…1d07backed Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 69c | 199.99$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb7…ca4abacked Over | 49c | 193.1$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.05 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | +8.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Under | 28c | 191.36$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.58 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe226…95a5backed Under | 51c | 190.31$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.06 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 28c | 162.4$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.85 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 52c | 161.6$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.57 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 52c | 159.08$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.66 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5694…501cbacked Over | 65c | 150.62$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.72 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 52c | 145.68$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.93 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69f8…d675backed Over | 74c | 131.75$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.25 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 54c | 130.06$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.12 | 307 | 50.2%154 W · 153 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccb7…0477backed Over | 53c | 120.8$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.78 | 113 | 65.5%74 W · 39 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Over | 52c | 116.64$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.99 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3565…0b17backed Over | 63c | 116.32$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.95 | 224 | 50.4%113 W · 111 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Under | 47c | 114.94$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.02 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc345…2c35backed Under | 49c | 110.79$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.29 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 71c | 103.43$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.44 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 71c | 103.43$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.44 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Over | 71c | 103.43$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.44 | 157 | 53.5%84 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over | 71c | 103.43$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.44 | 243 | 48.1%117 W · 126 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Under | 15c | 94.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Over | 52c | 91.81$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.07 | 144 | 44.4%64 W · 80 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Over | 69c | 84.1$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.84 | 238 | 51.3%122 W · 116 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 45c | 81.06$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.58 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +22.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 45c | 81.06$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.58 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +23.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Over | 52c | 80.11$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…b22ebacked Over | 79c | 68.72$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.47 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Over | 79c | 68.72$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.47 | 253 | 49.4%125 W · 128 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over | 79c | 68.72$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.47 | 452 | 46.2%209 W · 243 L | -18.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked Over | 80c | 60.03$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.13 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked Over | 56c | 54.68$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.92 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02e7…2519backed Over | 73c | 53.91$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.55 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 61c | 52.69$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.29 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 61c | 52.69$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.29 | 393 | 51.9%204 W · 189 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Over | 61c | 52.69$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.29 | 183 | 45.4%83 W · 100 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 61c | 52.69$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.29 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 61c | 52.69$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.29 | 344 | 52.6%181 W · 163 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Over | 61c | 52.69$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.29 | 286 | 46.2%132 W · 154 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x557d…72f3backed Over | 53c | 52.28$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.57 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…67bebacked Over | 54c | 51.2$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.79 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9cf…38c0backed Under | 52c | 49.82$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Over | 60c | 49.74$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.02 | 183 | 53.6%98 W · 85 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Over | 60c | 49.74$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.02 | 294 | 50.7%149 W · 145 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Over | 60c | 49.74$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.02 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Over | 60c | 49.74$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.02 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 70c | 49.41$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.72 | 667 | 49.3%329 W · 338 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ccb…604ebacked Over | 53c | 47.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.49 | 21 | 81%17 W · 4 L | +4.7wins | +0.22per pick | 59cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Over | 61c | 46.67$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.03 | 377 | 47.2%178 W · 199 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x002d…2561backed Over | 51c | 45.41$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.25 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Under | 34c | 45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 254 | 52%132 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58a…b8f8backed Over | 48c | 41.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.33 | 135 | 49.6%67 W · 68 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07d0…1310backed Over | 71c | 41.26$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.08 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Over | 53c | 41$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.27 | 254 | 52.8%134 W · 120 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0437…30f4backed Over | 52c | 40.3$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.34 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec73…b691backed Under | 48c | 40.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe786…9d92backed Over | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Under | 47c | 38.73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbd…98f2backed Under | 48c | 36.81$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 187 | 51.3%96 W · 91 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Over | 52c | 36.59$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.56 | 144 | 42.4%61 W · 83 L | -9.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5587…6d07backed Over | 53c | 36.34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.9 | 516 | 56.6%292 W · 224 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18d3…98e5backed Over | 55c | 35.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…f31bbacked Over | 54c | 34.7$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1968…8c66backed Over | 54c | 34.7$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Under | 54c | 34.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.65 | 211 | 53.6%113 W · 98 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…8250backed Over | 49c | 34.2$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.31 | 509 | 54%275 W · 234 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago Cubs vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5this page
- Chicago Cubs vs. Tampa Bay RaysTampa Bay Rays won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 10.5Under won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 11.5Under won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5Over won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)Chicago Cubs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.