TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe786…9d92

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
104
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: MLB, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 53 out of 100; worst Tennis at 34.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT3342.4%14 W · 19 L-8.4wins-0.25per pick68cpaid-37.9%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
Tennis — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Coco Gauff vs Marie Bouzkovabacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+25.5%+$30.5
Cincinnati Open: Alexander Zverev vs Tommy Paulbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$376Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$376
Cincinnati Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jakub Mensikbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$209.61
Cincinnati Open: Darja Vidmanova vs Anhelina Kalininabacked Anhelina Kalinina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$12
National Bank Open: Juncheng Shang vs Andrey Rublevbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$289Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$288.96
Set 1 Winner: Shang vs Rublevbacked Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.5
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz vs Rafael Jodarbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.25
National Bank Open: Diane Parry vs Kayla Daybacked Diane Parry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.7
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Rafael Jodar vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Lorenzo Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.09
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+99.4%+$108.33
Estoril Open: Frederico Ferreira Silva vs Luca Van Asschebacked Luca Van Assche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+62.5%+$59.15
Swiss Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Raphael Collignonbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+74.5%+$41.72
Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Linda Noskovabacked Linda Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+34.1%+$17.8
Wimbledon WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Linda Noskovabacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Wimbledon WTA: Naomi Osaka vs Karolina Muchovabacked Naomi Osaka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.3
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Jaime Faria vs Rei Sakamotobacked Jaime Faria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$4.1
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Xiyu Wang vs Marina Bassols Riberabacked Xiyu Wang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.2
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$416Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+27.2%+$113.08
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$4.9
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.9
Roland Garros ATP: Luca Van Assche vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$19.8
Roland Garros ATP: Hubert Hurkacz vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+43.7%+$6.38
Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Jannik Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.14
Roland Garros ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Jan-Lennard Struffbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.36
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Qinwen Zhengbacked Maja Chwalinska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$9.2
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2839.3%11 W · 17 L-5.7wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-23.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,512Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,512.05
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+540.4%+$236.28
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$37.72
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$339Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+32.8%+$111.25
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$223Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$223
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$166
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,120Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+36.7%+$777.14
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$604Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$603.64
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$324Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$324.19
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.4
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$34.2
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$24.79
Brazil vs. Japan: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$14
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+31%+$28.4
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.5
Colombia vs. Portugal: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$106
Norway vs. France: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$60.12
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.2
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$319.65
England vs. Ghana: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.55
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$22.77
Iraq vs. Norway: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.5
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+36.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-59.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-27%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Metz win on 2026-04-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+46%+$6.3
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-01-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$26.58
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will New York City FC win on 2026-07-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
Will Nashville SC win on 2026-07-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+54.8%+$44.92
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFClast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-32.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Islam Makhachev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+34.3%+$48.33
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.1
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.9
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$37
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC København win on 2026-07-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$47.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+47.1%+$6.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+29.6%+$14.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+27.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+27.3%+$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-07-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$126
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canucks vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$144
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.