TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Colombia vs. Portugal: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,136,430
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,159,498

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,136,430 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 991 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No58c155,228$89,734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65,494.54,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Yes60c132,038$79,843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79,842.8221343.2%92 W · 121 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No39c103,804$40,539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63,265.0329740.1%119 W · 178 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes55c77,005$42,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42,509.861,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6157…9fb4backed Yes62c54,992$34,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,095.0112254.1%66 W · 56 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes60c50,000$30,156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,156.32,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked Yes54c49,025$26,445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,444.8463035.7%225 W · 405 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36a7…b6e9backed No38c48,822$18,553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,269.918046.3%37 W · 43 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed No39c37,868$14,776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,092.213333.3%11 W · 22 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-34.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xab3e…de25backed No42c35,302$14,827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,475.342352.2%12 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes56c33,507$18,828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,828.318,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No40c30,895$12,407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,487.893,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes26c28,865$7,497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,496.741,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0c0…1bedbacked No38c28,700$10,906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,793.886050%30 W · 30 L+4.6wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+56.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked No40c20,557$8,245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,311.5621333.3%71 W · 142 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked No41c20,289$8,386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,903.071,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0cbb…f8a3backed Yes61c19,949$12,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,168.979349.5%46 W · 47 L+8.5wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+16.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x54d2…de22backed No41c16,623$6,815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,807.531233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed No39c16,166$6,369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,796.4622139.8%88 W · 133 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x29cc…3c29backed No63c14,080$8,871 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,209.698139.5%32 W · 49 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick43cpaid+3.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked No38c12,000$4,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,439.8729646.3%137 W · 159 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09dd…7e13backed Yes60c11,350$6,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,759.7637944.1%167 W · 212 L+0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No44c10,437$4,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,856.74,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No41c10,074$4,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,966.791,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3a6…71bdbacked Yes61c10,000$6,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,099.997140.8%29 W · 42 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe987…f0e1backed No39c10,000$3,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,099.9738026.6%101 W · 279 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c0a…a9bebacked Yes37c9,854$3,646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,646.132334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick40cpaid+99.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b5d…7501backed Yes59c9,745$5,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,749.728160.5%49 W · 32 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Yes62c9,744$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,00045428%127 W · 327 L-2.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed No57c9,540$5,417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,122.788254.9%45 W · 37 L+7.7wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked No53c9,502$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,502.0518740.6%76 W · 111 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88f9…325dbacked No38c9,123$3,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,656.134740.4%19 W · 28 L+0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid+19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35ac…07b4backed Yes51c9,000$4,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,5901668.8%11 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1121…4931backed No43c8,900$3,827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,0735250%26 W · 26 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bc8…2f68backed No39c8,856$3,454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,402.168938.2%34 W · 55 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No54c8,474$4,599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,874.821,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaca8…87ffbacked Yes62c8,065$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,000560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0da…1f80backed No43c7,777$3,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,432.891330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-26.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No52c7,738$4,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,710.1356541.1%232 W · 333 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No45c7,441$3,335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,105.633,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No41c7,317$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,317.0122451.3%115 W · 109 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc128…2217backed Yes60c7,028$4,212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,212.4925228.2%71 W · 181 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-22.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69d5…7767backed Yes55c7,016$3,848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,847.855244.2%23 W · 29 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked No38c7,000$2,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,319.941,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3da8…80c3backed Yes59c6,780$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0005959.3%35 W · 24 L+5.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+21.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No42c6,570$2,755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,815.452,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c5…6930backed No38c6,027$2,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,736.866053.3%32 W · 28 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+26.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2217…1660backed Yes56c5,718$3,219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,218.8963544.4%282 W · 353 L-18.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Yes54c5,500$2,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,97043248.4%209 W · 223 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e60…3badbacked Yes38c5,377$2,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,043.318627.9%24 W · 62 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Yes55c5,134$2,818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,818.3387237.8%330 W · 542 L-39.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd4c6…502cbacked Yes58c5,109$2,963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,963.037058.6%41 W · 29 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No39c5,000$1,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,05074447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d7f…a878backed Yes62c5,000$3,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,1006737.3%25 W · 42 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+18.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37a1…6691backed No64c4,988$3,192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,795.5919125.1%48 W · 143 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+79.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes56c4,685$2,628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,627.81,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc82f…66a7backed Yes61c4,668$2,847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,847.4733235.5%118 W · 214 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No50c4,573$2,289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,284.851,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfd96…e623backed Yes48c4,520$2,186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,186.282937.9%11 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid+26.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd0b…c5ffbacked Yes55c4,500$2,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,49019150.3%96 W · 95 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e9c…b911backed Yes52c4,476$2,327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,327.39812.5%1 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick12cpaid-50%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes57c4,417$2,503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,502.6773536.3%267 W · 468 L-32.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Yes57c4,336$2,463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,462.8165036.9%240 W · 410 L-27.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No38c4,236$1,610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,626.4629250.7%148 W · 144 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9caf…94dcbacked Yes62c4,194$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6009440.4%38 W · 56 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No43c4,116$1,764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,351.922,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes51c4,016$2,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,050.594,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04a7…c0dfbacked Yes52c3,846$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0004252.4%22 W · 20 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0273…46ddbacked Yes50c3,800$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,899.993548.6%17 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cbb…e8a8backed Yes61c3,724$2,271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,271.425950.8%30 W · 29 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedf0…a1d3backed No39c3,709$1,453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,255.7721044.3%93 W · 117 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56c8…7cc8backed No64c3,498$2,239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,259.4412241%50 W · 72 L-8.3wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8866…a584backed Yes49c3,431$1,675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,675.0915853.2%84 W · 74 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Yes36c3,388$1,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,222.342,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b75…6bb0backed Yes51c3,180$1,617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,617.0212332.5%40 W · 83 L+0.4wins0.00per pick32cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2805…76edbacked Yes60c3,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80020448%98 W · 106 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb82b…fc60backed No43c3,000$1,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,709.977643.4%33 W · 43 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f8c…0e0cbacked Yes49c2,968$1,454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,454.291855.6%10 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf83d…367dbacked No40c2,950$1,193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,756.916450%32 W · 32 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed No38c2,900$1,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,79886452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked No42c2,719$1,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,581.192,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes55c2,682$1,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,484.711,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Yes55c2,597$1,419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,418.861,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x54ea…f74abacked No47c2,555$1,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,347.4110849.1%53 W · 55 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes45c2,550$1,151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,151.262,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes35c2,531$886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885.742,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd09d…b15dbacked Yes60c2,500$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50016549.1%81 W · 84 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda22…61d0backed Yes62c2,419$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5007945.6%36 W · 43 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick40cpaid-1.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb21c…3aedbacked No42c2,180$915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,264.246246.8%29 W · 33 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+7.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe821…3128backed No70c2,175$1,519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655.915658.9%33 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes60c2,158$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30022448.2%108 W · 116 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf184…d472backed Yes62c2,085$1,283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,283.4811746.2%54 W · 63 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-18.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Yes35c2,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.9940343.7%176 W · 227 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb048…7f07backed Yes45c2,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.999148.4%44 W · 47 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5652…00c9backed No42c2,000$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,159.9711755.6%65 W · 52 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf32f…ef80backed Yes52c1,923$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00011641.4%48 W · 68 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3233…a4ddbacked No39c1,874$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,143.325240.4%21 W · 31 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No47c1,838$868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$970.571,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31c1…bc19backed Yes55c1,818$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0006457.8%37 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9b5…f95bbacked No38c1,800$684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1166031.7%19 W · 41 L-0.2wins0.00per pick32cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.