TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Colombia vs. Portugal: 1st Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$288,451
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$290,454

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $288,451 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 161 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf751…fec8backed Over39c116,437$45,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45,410.259747.4%46 W · 51 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee67…ef38backed Over39c48,204$18,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,999.469323.7%22 W · 71 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under65c47,428$30,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,457.674,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under60c25,000$15,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,92574447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under61c15,919$9,737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,182.721,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29b7…4108backed Under61c13,000$7,930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,0703762.2%23 W · 14 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+11.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over29c11,849$3,384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,383.978,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Under61c11,780$7,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,594.270244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa18c…d792backed Under62c10,000$6,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,799.9724058.8%141 W · 99 L+19.8wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under61c8,000$4,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,159.991,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e4b…3fc2backed Over32c7,000$2,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2403154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under61c5,736$3,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,237.041,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under61c5,231$3,217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,014.842,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x37e9…eedebacked Under61c4,399$2,683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,715.6616755.1%92 W · 75 L+10.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under61c4,000$2,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,56036250.8%184 W · 178 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under61c4,000$2,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,57586452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f5f…1695backed Over40c3,782$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50037223.9%89 W · 283 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1da…27bdbacked Under74c3,646$2,704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$942.24472.7%32 W · 12 L+4.3wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under66c3,595$2,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,230.544,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked Over39c3,456$1,348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,347.8422943.7%100 W · 129 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under61c2,583$1,576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,007.3759752.1%311 W · 286 L-2.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17f2…ca6abacked Under61c1,639$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.346749.3%33 W · 34 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under61c1,626$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$626.1267447.6%321 W · 353 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Under61c1,600$976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62437850.5%191 W · 187 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over38c1,534$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.932,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Under60c1,500$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60033149.5%164 W · 167 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed Under61c1,472$898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574.0826454.5%144 W · 120 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Under61c1,400$854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54638351.4%197 W · 186 L-1.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb5d…0c35backed Over37c1,359$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006435.9%23 W · 41 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54ee…15f8backed Over37c1,351$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed Under61c1,296$791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.4418850%94 W · 94 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under63c1,250$787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.23,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under62c1,250$781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.393,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under61c1,244$759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.082,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Under61c1,200$732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46835251.7%182 W · 170 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26fb…67b8backed Over40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40029558.3%172 W · 123 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf87c…8c97backed Over40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40016123.6%38 W · 123 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under62c1,000$625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3751,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Under46c914.51$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.1551514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07ce…db5cbacked Over36c902.64$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.957230.6%22 W · 50 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick29cpaid-19.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under61c897.12$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.261,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over14c862$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.482,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x37d9…5442backed Over40c750$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30031435.7%112 W · 202 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x46cf…42eabacked Over40c737.55$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.023855.3%21 W · 17 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+23.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under64c703.13$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.1588852.7%468 W · 420 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under61c600$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23439050.8%198 W · 192 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Under61c600$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23438451.6%198 W · 186 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under61c575.45$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.021,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdae2…3151backed Under61c507.93$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.091442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce5e…c0fabacked Under61c501.32$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.5121046.7%98 W · 112 L+12.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+21.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe84a…02febacked Under61c500$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19512056.7%68 W · 52 L+10.2wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+25.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under62c402.63$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.133,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8a1…ceb5backed Under61c401.64$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.643275%24 W · 8 L+3.5wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+14.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under61c400$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15635352.7%186 W · 167 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Under61c400$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15635451.4%182 W · 172 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Under61c400$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15635251.7%182 W · 170 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Under61c400$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15640848.8%199 W · 209 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under61c400$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15639951.4%205 W · 194 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Under61c400$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15637051.4%190 W · 180 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe70c…17c5backed Over14c345.62$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.1133438.6%129 W · 205 L-17.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc754…4b1dbacked Under63c343.81$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.211560%9 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+23%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under61c329.37$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.451,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Under61c327.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.8746550.3%234 W · 231 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over35c326.44$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.258032.5%26 W · 54 L-7.6wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-31.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3a23…0f72backed Over35c300$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10512241.8%51 W · 71 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under61c300$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11797742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa93e…0a8cbacked Under62c292.01$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.3742853.3%228 W · 200 L-15.5wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under61c288.99$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.72,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over55c287.45$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.12,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a3b…b968backed Under75c266.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6732356%181 W · 142 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Over24c264.03$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.241,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Under62c261.17$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.2448937%181 W · 308 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3e0…708fbacked Under61c254.99$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.454858.3%28 W · 20 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x86fc…2715backed Over40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012419.4%24 W · 100 L-10.7wins-0.09per pick28cpaid-40.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2f8d…cf69backed Over40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10027742.2%117 W · 160 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over53c216$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.481,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfcb8…067cbacked Under61c210$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.915149.7%75 W · 76 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under61c203.98$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.552,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed Under61c200$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7833653.3%179 W · 157 L+0.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed Under61c200$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7837753.8%203 W · 174 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked Under61c200$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7834351.9%178 W · 165 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7803…132fbacked Over28c196.75$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.0922135.3%78 W · 143 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Over53c192$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.7613247%62 W · 70 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce61…8ef6backed Over40c187.5$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7515742.7%67 W · 90 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb349…d14bbacked Over38c184.21$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7027637.7%104 W · 172 L+15.3wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+19.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over54c177$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.582,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xcc72…2888backed Over37c165$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.3527227.6%75 W · 197 L-0.8wins0.00per pick28cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Under61c160$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.437452.1%195 W · 179 L-0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under61c160$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.434851.7%180 W · 168 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05dd…305cbacked Over40c155.88$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.356030%18 W · 42 L-8.6wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-50.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Over24c150$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.82,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c3f…e6a2backed Under62c150$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.742554.4%231 W · 194 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under62c148.52$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.993,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Under62c139.99$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.21,42147.8%679 W · 742 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Under62c133.24$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.6376551.6%395 W · 370 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeff3…1c83backed Over40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501145.5%5 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc25…b5abbacked Over40c123.2$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.287041.4%29 W · 41 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under61c120$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked Under61c120$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.817557.1%100 W · 75 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over31c118.31$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.632,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.