Fifa International · resolved market
Colombia vs. Portugal: Portugal 1st Half O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7794adb510329f03da92c3a6c7696026213ef502db4d1fb7727dcb26e9fe6cca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,625
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,213
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,625 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa451…449ebacked Over | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 1,733$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.42 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Over | 56c | 1,176$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.68 | 229 | 43.7%100 W · 129 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e63…ed53backed Over | 57c | 1,146$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 45c | 754.23$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.53 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07ce…db5cbacked Over | 57c | 714.83$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.75 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3a…d724backed Under | 45c | 701.57$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.86 | 212 | 27.8%59 W · 153 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 44c | 682.65$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.29 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…ac23backed Under | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 957 | 39.5%378 W · 579 L | -18.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d8…a577backed Under | 44c | 361$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.16 | 127 | 53.5%68 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1e…7ee3backed Under | 68c | 300$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 161 | 65.8%106 W · 55 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…17c5backed Over | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 334 | 38.6%129 W · 205 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Under | 45c | 279.95$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.97 | 489 | 37%181 W · 308 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc63c…af7ebacked Over | 57c | 203.42$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa681…8b89backed Over | 55c | 199.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 270 | 28.9%78 W · 192 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 44c | 179.99$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.4 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 45c | 175.92$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.54 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d8…cf41backed Under | 49c | 168.37$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.87 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Over | 32c | 150$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.7 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 44c | 148.03$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.53 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 54c | 120.43$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.21 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a94…b59fbacked Under | 52c | 96.83$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.83 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9516…0bcbbacked Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 562 | 40.6%228 W · 334 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 25c | 83.29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.72 | 483 | 28%135 W · 348 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f48…188abacked Under | 70c | 72.86$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.86 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 55c | 43.18$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 49c | 36.96$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e48…c701backed Over | 55c | 33.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.68 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdec4…046fbacked Over | 56c | 32.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 345 | 26.1%90 W · 255 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c34…266dbacked Under | 46c | 30.53$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.48 | 256 | 55.1%141 W · 115 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Under | 44c | 28.16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.65 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Over | 55c | 24.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Colombia vs. Portugal: Portugal 1st Half O/U 0.5this page
- Colombia vs. Portugal: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: Colombia 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: Colombia 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: Colombia 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: Colombia O/U 0.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: Colombia O/U 1.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: Colombia O/U 2.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 0.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 1.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 2.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 3.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 4.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 5.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 6.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: Portugal 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: Portugal 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: Portugal O/U 0.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: Portugal O/U 1.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: Portugal O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Colombia (-1.5)Portugal won
- Spread: Colombia (-2.5)Portugal won
- Spread: Colombia (-4.5)Portugal won
- Spread: Portugal (-1.5)Colombia won
- Spread: Portugal (-2.5)Colombia won
- Spread: Portugal (-3.5)Colombia won
- Spread: Portugal (-4.5)Colombia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.