Fifa International · resolved market
Spread: Colombia (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7005e0f5be980acd865871978b02498d739fbb89ddb2f0a66838982a0a22379d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Portugalof Colombia, Portugal
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $232,740
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $232,211
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $232,740 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Colombia | 9c | 33,138$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 250 | 19.6%49 W · 201 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Colombia | 7c | 32,010$2,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,190.9 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Colombia | 9c | 21,192$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Colombia | 7c | 4,757$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.86 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Colombia | 7c | 4,296$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.7 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Colombia | 9c | 3,283$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.59 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb2b…1e44backed Colombia | 2c | 2,710$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06f2…1269backed Colombia | 6c | 2,290$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.39 | 383 | 33.9%130 W · 253 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f4…88e6backed Colombia | 8c | 2,121$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.7 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 19cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Colombia | 12c | 2,015$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.79 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Colombia | 12c | 1,761$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.3 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Colombia | 9c | 1,561$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.13 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f15…52f1backed Colombia | 11c | 1,305$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.57 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Colombia | 9c | 963.32$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.7 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…1154backed Colombia | 6c | 883$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.98 | 134 | 37.3%50 W · 84 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Colombia | 6c | 820.46$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.95 | 432 | 30.1%130 W · 302 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -41%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Colombia | 7c | 707.77$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.79 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c86…6a80backed Colombia | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 148 | 39.9%59 W · 89 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Colombia | 6c | 598$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.32 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce3…2317backed Colombia | 8c | 573.61$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Colombia | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +13.7wins | +0.27per pick | 22cpaid | +416.2%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Colombia | 3c | 469.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd546…657bbacked Colombia | 9c | 463.8$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 306 | 7.8%24 W · 282 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Colombia | 10c | 439.18$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.33 | 249 | 47.4%118 W · 131 L | +14.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x688d…c6d5backed Colombia | 8c | 437.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16d4…6e9bbacked Colombia | 9c | 337.5$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 211 | 28%59 W · 152 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…fe3bbacked Colombia | 9c | 333.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 50 | 12%6 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0823…ec6abacked Colombia | 9c | 331.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 431 | 39%168 W · 263 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe987…f0e1backed Colombia | 8c | 319.67$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.57 | 380 | 26.6%101 W · 279 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1b…9876backed Colombia | 11c | 300$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 327 | 33%108 W · 219 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Colombia | 9c | 290$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed Colombia | 8c | 255.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 617 | 52%321 W · 296 L | -13.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49e1…a8bdbacked Colombia | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 125 | 17.6%22 W · 103 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Colombia | 7c | 247.31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Colombia | 8c | 247$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 257 | 19.1%49 W · 208 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Colombia | 10c | 238.76$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.84 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed Colombia | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 462 | 43.5%201 W · 261 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6434…72b6backed Colombia | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72fd…72c9backed Colombia | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba6e…bc14backed Colombia | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Colombia | 10c | 146.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 311 | 49.5%154 W · 157 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8584…6b7dbacked Colombia | 10c | 141.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Colombia | 8c | 137.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 1,563 | 39.8%622 W · 941 L | -51.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x848c…2bf0backed Colombia | 10c | 136.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 221 | 22.2%49 W · 172 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0459…0fcbbacked Colombia | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 267 | 20.6%55 W · 212 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebf…8424backed Colombia | 11c | 130$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8694…2ae8backed Colombia | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 58 | 20.7%12 W · 46 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2a…58d1backed Colombia | 9c | 116.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Colombia | 9c | 112$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a4…d8b4backed Colombia | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Colombia (-1.5)this page
- Colombia vs. Portugal: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: Colombia 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: Colombia 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: Colombia 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: Colombia O/U 0.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: Colombia O/U 1.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: Colombia O/U 2.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 0.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 1.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 2.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 3.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 4.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 5.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 6.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: Portugal 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: Portugal 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: Portugal 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: Portugal O/U 0.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: Portugal O/U 1.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: Portugal O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Colombia (-2.5)Portugal won
- Spread: Colombia (-4.5)Portugal won
- Spread: Portugal (-1.5)Colombia won
- Spread: Portugal (-2.5)Colombia won
- Spread: Portugal (-3.5)Colombia won
- Spread: Portugal (-4.5)Colombia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.