Colombia vs. Portugal: Portugal O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e4780963b648505d62d60c520063ded190aac96d5918c725d9eb0431cf4ecbd

Rebuilt 1 day ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 27, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $60,764
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $66,168

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,764 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Over	15c	8,839$1,364 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,364	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under	77c	5,900$4,543 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,356.89	1,536	49.1%754 W · 782 L	+32.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa645…0be6backed Over	27c	3,677$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	85	30.6%26 W · 59 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	74c	2,711$2,014 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$696.95	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over	9c	2,010$181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180.9	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over	10c	1,988$194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$194.48	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf01…859ebacked Over	26c	1,923$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	78	42.3%33 W · 45 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under	75c	1,903$1,425 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$477.64	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under	77c	1,299$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$298.7	674	47.6%321 W · 353 L	+7.9wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under	75c	1,250$943 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$307.33	3,077	47%1,447 W · 1,630 L	-11.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under	74c	806.94$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$206.72	3,213	47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L	-7.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over	8c	770.64$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.73	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e89…af95backed Over	26c	695$181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180.7	53	41.5%22 W · 31 L	-3.1wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-16%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over	4c	676.56$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.87	2,453	34.7%850 W · 1,603 L	+84.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over	22c	572$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.68	2,171	38.2%829 W · 1,342 L	-36.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Under	78c	500$390 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110	957	39.5%378 W · 579 L	-18.4wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x351d…8574backed Over	16c	475$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76	167	25.7%43 W · 124 L	-5.1wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-24%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6ab…fb13backed Over	25c	400$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	258	42.2%109 W · 149 L	-6.1wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x338b…bf88backed Over	22c	399.99$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88	193	32.6%63 W · 130 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over	14c	393.08$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.36	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe33d…c1febacked Over	25c	388.48$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.12	52	38.5%20 W · 32 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e26…8991backed Over	26c	384.62$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	161	36%58 W · 103 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	+6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Over	22c	379$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.38	412	31.6%130 W · 282 L	-5.8wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under	76c	374.08$283 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.8	3,286	49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L	+6.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over	13c	367.18$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.52	1,627	32.1%523 W · 1,104 L	+4.0wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Under	75c	300$225 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75	673	54.7%368 W · 305 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97f9…ac6dbacked Over	23c	203.65$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.84	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.4wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	-26.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over	55c	200$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.12	1,438	40.1%576 W · 862 L	-40.1wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Over	23c	196.63$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.89	249	47.4%118 W · 131 L	+14.2wins	+0.06per pick	42cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b10…a6a2backed Over	18c	166.67$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	+1.1wins	+0.08per pick	21cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over	28c	150$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	1,354	38.9%527 W · 827 L	-55.8wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Over	47c	150$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.5	650	36.9%240 W · 410 L	-27.9wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-28%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over	29c	150$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.5	735	36.3%267 W · 468 L	-32.3wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over	28c	150$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.78	1,563	39.8%622 W · 941 L	-51.9wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe90f…4148backed Over	26c	147.92$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.46	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	-1.1wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x914e…8355backed Over	10c	141.56$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.78	113	38.1%43 W · 70 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xad94…e632backed Over	25c	130$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.5	21	28.6%6 W · 15 L	+2.0wins	+0.09per pick	19cpaid	+46.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d13…643cbacked Under	74c	125$93 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.5	322	54%174 W · 148 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa886…9fd2backed Over	24c	125$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	19	5.3%1 W · 18 L	-2.0wins	-0.11per pick	16cpaid	-73.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe9ef…b630backed Under	45c	112$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.6	52	36.5%19 W · 33 L	+8.0wins	+0.15per pick	21cpaid	+51.2%equal weight	62+0.10 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under	71c	88$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.52	2,533	46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L	+12.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xce2f…b499backed Over	26c	76.92$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	203	40.4%82 W · 121 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Over	23c	76.26$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.54	1,313	48.9%642 W · 671 L	+12.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05f0…a388backed Under	76c	65.79$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.79	55	54.5%30 W · 25 L	+2.2wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under	76c	64.08$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.14	1,945	42.7%831 W · 1,114 L	-11.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe481…d138backed Under	77c	60$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14	328	37.2%122 W · 206 L	+7.7wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Over	22c	59.81$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.33	1,390	46.3%644 W · 746 L	+20.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over	20c	54$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.8	483	28%135 W · 348 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x88ad…9e5fbacked Under	75c	53.33$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.33	110	58.2%64 W · 46 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	59cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under	80c	50.71$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.21	1,601	47.8%765 W · 836 L	+51.5wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under	76c	50$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12	2,231	49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L	-21.2wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cc8…a0e4backed Under	76c	50$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.75	866	56.4%488 W · 378 L	-13.8wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	26c	45.6$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.64	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Under	76c	35$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.55	1,293	53.6%693 W · 600 L	+12.3wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0392…ab02backed Under	77c	32.44$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.44	203	54.7%111 W · 92 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9892…fd59backed Under	79c	25.32$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.32	462	43.5%201 W · 261 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under	73c	22$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.94	2,793	46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L	-10.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0243…b5a5backed Under	79c	19.23$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.04	33	54.5%18 W · 15 L	+1.4wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Colombia vs. Portugal: Portugal O/U 2.5this page
Colombia vs. Portugal: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Colombia vs. Portugal: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Colombia vs. Portugal: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Colombia vs. Portugal: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Colombia vs. Portugal: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Colombia vs. Portugal: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Colombia vs. Portugal: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Colombia vs. Portugal: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Colombia vs. Portugal: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Colombia vs. Portugal: Colombia 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Colombia vs. Portugal: Colombia 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Colombia vs. Portugal: Colombia 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Colombia vs. Portugal: Colombia O/U 0.5Under won
Colombia vs. Portugal: Colombia O/U 1.5Under won
Colombia vs. Portugal: Colombia O/U 2.5Under won
Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 0.5Under won
Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 1.5Under won
Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 2.5Under won
Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 3.5Under won
Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 4.5Under won
Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 5.5Under won
Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 6.5Under won
Colombia vs. Portugal: Portugal 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Colombia vs. Portugal: Portugal 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Colombia vs. Portugal: Portugal 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Colombia vs. Portugal: Portugal O/U 0.5Under won
Colombia vs. Portugal: Portugal O/U 1.5Under won
Spread: Colombia (-1.5)Portugal won
Spread: Colombia (-2.5)Portugal won
Spread: Colombia (-4.5)Portugal won
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)Colombia won
Spread: Portugal (-2.5)Colombia won
Spread: Portugal (-3.5)Colombia won
Spread: Portugal (-4.5)Colombia won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Colombia vs. Portugal: Portugal O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event