Fifa International · resolved market
Colombia vs. Portugal: Colombia O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d57cf8d994447405b13f803d9aec30ab70a60e55aef4d5b3ab0849cc9b26571
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $72,637
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,850
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,637 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 20c | 16,207$3,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,228.73 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 67c | 2,096$1,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.48 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6adf…4f5bbacked Over | 32c | 2,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 161 | 39.8%64 W · 97 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 80c | 1,565$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.94 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…2534backed Over | 32c | 1,500$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 48 | 22.9%11 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -39%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4871…0742backed Over | 33c | 1,464$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.04 | 111 | 47.7%53 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 13c | 1,364$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.58 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 35c | 1,236$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.64 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 18c | 1,227$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.53 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 67c | 1,098$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.99 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 67c | 1,076$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.7 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x530c…89f1backed Over | 32c | 607.31$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.34 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 34c | 511.59$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.94 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 74c | 337$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.62 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 33c | 326.69$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.81 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d1fabacked Over | 33c | 268$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.44 | 108 | 32.4%35 W · 73 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 69c | 266.49$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.61 | 673 | 54.7%368 W · 305 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 33c | 249.98$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.49 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 71c | 177.13$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.85 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Over | 27c | 170.84$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.13 | 489 | 37%181 W · 308 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 30c | 170$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.9 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x407c…4ba3backed Over | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 159 | 47.2%75 W · 84 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7769…89c9backed Under | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 34c | 150.82$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.03 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Under | 70c | 150$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x718f…1dc3backed Over | 33c | 136.36$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 163 | 42.3%69 W · 94 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…9badbacked Over | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 283 | 26.5%75 W · 208 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6648…4798backed Over | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +27%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x914e…8355backed Over | 19c | 96.4$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 113 | 38.1%43 W · 70 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb43f…5778backed Over | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 32c | 86.24$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.88 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 68c | 86$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.52 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Over | 26c | 80$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Over | 18c | 75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 425 | 54.4%231 W · 194 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed Over | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 462 | 43.5%201 W · 261 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c27…97c2backed Under | 69c | 63.97$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.83 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Under | 51c | 52.71$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.83 | 1,114 | 49.4%550 W · 564 L | +57.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…643cbacked Over | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 322 | 54%174 W · 148 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked Over | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 263 | 44.1%116 W · 147 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cbd…42f3backed Under | 68c | 49.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x123d…1cabbacked Over | 32c | 46.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb424…3b71backed Over | 32c | 37.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 143 | 35.7%51 W · 92 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 74c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa202…9b12backed Over | 33c | 33.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed Over | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 213 | 41.3%88 W · 125 L | -18.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 51c | 27.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.37 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 74c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe840…733cbacked Under | 68c | 22.37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.16 | 258 | 57%147 W · 111 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f04…2392backed Under | 73c | 20.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.61 | 238 | 66.8%159 W · 79 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee86…088fbacked Under | 65c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Under | 68c | 15.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.98 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Colombia vs. Portugal: Colombia O/U 1.5this page
- Colombia vs. Portugal: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: Colombia 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: Colombia 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: Colombia 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: Colombia O/U 0.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: Colombia O/U 2.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 0.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 1.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 2.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 3.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 4.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 5.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 6.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: Portugal 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: Portugal 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: Portugal 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: Portugal O/U 0.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: Portugal O/U 1.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: Portugal O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Colombia (-1.5)Portugal won
- Spread: Colombia (-2.5)Portugal won
- Spread: Colombia (-4.5)Portugal won
- Spread: Portugal (-1.5)Colombia won
- Spread: Portugal (-2.5)Colombia won
- Spread: Portugal (-3.5)Colombia won
- Spread: Portugal (-4.5)Colombia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.