Colombia vs. Portugal: Portugal O/U 0.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad51438e198f1fc25cdce4d9478e4ca2449237c5e605d987dd035f32638930d4

Rebuilt 13 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 27, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $75,032
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $75,493

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,032 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under	67c	25,658$17,114 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,544.28	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over	7c	10,787$722 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$721.67	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under	17c	6,220$1,032 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,188.13	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over	50c	3,473$1,746 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,746	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e51…42cebacked Over	63c	3,000$1,890 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,889.99	326	42.9%140 W · 186 L	+10.5wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	45c	2,720$1,227 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,227.2	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0520…e4e0backed Over	41c	2,419$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	253	36.8%93 W · 160 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under	24c	2,373$558 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,815.05	674	47.6%321 W · 353 L	+7.9wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d3a…d724backed Under	15c	2,333$350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,983.33	212	27.8%59 W · 153 L	+8.6wins	+0.04per pick	24cpaid	+37.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under	15c	2,190$331 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,858.86	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over	29c	2,172$639 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$639.48	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under	17c	1,869$313 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,555.25	3,213	47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L	-7.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over	58c	1,850$1,074 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,073.96	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over	3c	1,445$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.79	2,533	46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L	+12.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under	17c	1,250$216 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,034.09	3,077	47%1,447 W · 1,630 L	-11.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over	31c	1,200$369 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$368.5	1,669	41.6%694 W · 975 L	+15.9wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under	18c	1,086$195 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$890.58	1,945	42.7%831 W · 1,114 L	-11.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x333b…62dabacked Under	64c	1,026$656 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$369.46	52	51.9%27 W · 25 L	-1.9wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5d8…cf41backed Under	34c	1,006$342 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$663.82	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+1.1wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	+57.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Over	75c	875$656 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$656.25	657	37.4%246 W · 411 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9124…f819backed Over	36c	833.61$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	69	47.8%33 W · 36 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under	18c	803.29$145 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$658.63	1,627	32.1%523 W · 1,104 L	+4.0wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over	31c	410.28$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.03	2,804	46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L	-27.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34ec…f538backed Under	32c	396.88$127 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$269.88	51	37.3%19 W · 32 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9cdd…3e97backed Over	36c	370$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.2	81	61.7%50 W · 31 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	62cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Under	15c	303.13$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$256.84	1,475	44.9%663 W · 812 L	-4.8wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under	15c	299.98$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$253.98	1,204	48.9%589 W · 615 L	+18.2wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x96ca…5a71backed Over	75c	267.79$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	143	51.7%74 W · 69 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under	28c	248.67$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$179.9	1,536	49.1%754 W · 782 L	+32.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd60…423abacked Under	61c	246.92$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.92	60	53.3%32 W · 28 L	+6.3wins	+0.10per pick	43cpaid	+55.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb272…3c86backed Under	16c	226.99$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$189.56	23	56.5%13 W · 10 L	+4.8wins	+0.21per pick	36cpaid	+51.5%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under	16c	224.05$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$187.13	3,286	49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L	+6.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7e34…63f7backed Under	33c	199.99$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$133.8	281	64.1%180 W · 101 L	+16.0wins	+0.06per pick	58cpaid	+7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaaac…166ebacked Over	70c	196.05$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.46	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.7wins	-0.70per pick	70cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7e5…cebbbacked Under	70c	185.71$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.71	114	58.8%67 W · 47 L	+11.1wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+67.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over	49c	163.6$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.62	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb36e…538fbacked Over	61c	162.9$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	108	45.4%49 W · 59 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcbf…8876backed Over	61c	162.29$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99	15	73.3%11 W · 4 L	+2.3wins	+0.15per pick	58cpaid	+25.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc846…c413backed Under	17c	161.98$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$134.45	266	31.2%83 W · 183 L	+6.7wins	+0.03per pick	29cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x04d7…b035backed Under	19c	156.89$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$127.08	115	45.2%52 W · 63 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e1…99dbbacked Over	68c	154$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.72	580	49.1%285 W · 295 L	+7.6wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over	71c	150$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.5	1,354	38.9%527 W · 827 L	-55.8wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8626…3a77backed Over	70c	143.66$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x287e…c0acbacked Over	51c	132$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.88	80	47.5%38 W · 42 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under	14c	131.14$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.78	1,873	48.4%906 W · 967 L	+14.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5088…cfc5backed Under	18c	111.11$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91.11	154	40.3%62 W · 92 L	+11.9wins	+0.08per pick	33cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6e49…f1afbacked Over	50c	109.99$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.89	455	36.9%168 W · 287 L	-26.9wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1bda…8254backed Under	32c	104.46$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.03	103	35.9%37 W · 66 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6648…4798backed Over	58c	100$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58	77	48.1%37 W · 40 L	+6.8wins	+0.09per pick	39cpaid	+27%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over	39c	100$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.03	483	28%135 W · 348 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d7a…751abacked Under	33c	95.68$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.11	732	34.6%253 W · 479 L	-22.2wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ac7…4b3ebacked Over	42c	94.37$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	131	47.3%62 W · 69 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Over	71c	93$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.03	650	36.9%240 W · 410 L	-27.9wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-28%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under	20c	80.48$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.38	328	55.8%183 W · 145 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cc8…a0e4backed Under	16c	75$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.81	866	56.4%488 W · 378 L	-13.8wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddb3…5fe5backed Under	41c	70$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.3	39	53.8%21 W · 18 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under	67c	65.86$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.45	1,459	53.9%787 W · 672 L	-6.3wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc243…5e94backed Over	40c	63.72$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.52	86	51.2%44 W · 42 L	+2.4wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe481…d138backed Under	18c	60$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.2	328	37.2%122 W · 206 L	+7.7wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa313…eb44backed Under	22c	59$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.78	303	44.2%134 W · 169 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over	20c	55.47$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.06	2,793	46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L	-10.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4272…4a17backed Over	70c	52.64$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.7	62	50%31 W · 31 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c3f…e6a2backed Under	35c	48.14$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.49	425	54.4%231 W · 194 L	+6.7wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe906…db88backed Under	64c	46.88$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.88	40	52.5%21 W · 19 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xade7…9d34backed Over	59c	39.99$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.49	222	58.6%130 W · 92 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	58cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x914e…8355backed Under	38c	39.79$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.79	113	38.1%43 W · 70 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under	37c	38$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.94	2,453	34.7%850 W · 1,603 L	+84.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6dfb…f1b7backed Under	51c	36.24$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.65	782	34.3%268 W · 514 L	-11.2wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c89…0057backed Over	48c	30$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.4	39	35.9%14 W · 25 L	-3.7wins	-0.09per pick	45cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Over	78c	28.83$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.49	2,796	56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L	-9.2wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa16a…57d5backed Over	70c	28.57$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	25	52%13 W · 12 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-14%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b7c…4394backed Over	60c	28$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.8	95	58.9%56 W · 39 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fa…7e82backed Over	69c	23.19$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	65cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over	71c	22.84$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.22	1,563	39.8%622 W · 941 L	-51.9wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x99b5…0b19backed Over	56c	20$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.1	23	21.7%5 W · 18 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	25cpaid	-50.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15a7…5ed1backed Under	70c	18.5$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.55	120	45%54 W · 66 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Colombia vs. Portugal: Portugal O/U 0.5this page
Colombia vs. Portugal: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Colombia vs. Portugal: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Colombia vs. Portugal: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Colombia vs. Portugal: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Colombia vs. Portugal: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Colombia vs. Portugal: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Colombia vs. Portugal: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Colombia vs. Portugal: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Colombia vs. Portugal: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Colombia vs. Portugal: Colombia 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Colombia vs. Portugal: Colombia 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Colombia vs. Portugal: Colombia 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Colombia vs. Portugal: Colombia O/U 0.5Under won
Colombia vs. Portugal: Colombia O/U 1.5Under won
Colombia vs. Portugal: Colombia O/U 2.5Under won
Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 0.5Under won
Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 1.5Under won
Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 2.5Under won
Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 3.5Under won
Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 4.5Under won
Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 5.5Under won
Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 6.5Under won
Colombia vs. Portugal: Portugal 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Colombia vs. Portugal: Portugal 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Colombia vs. Portugal: Portugal 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Colombia vs. Portugal: Portugal O/U 1.5Under won
Colombia vs. Portugal: Portugal O/U 2.5Under won
Spread: Colombia (-1.5)Portugal won
Spread: Colombia (-2.5)Portugal won
Spread: Colombia (-4.5)Portugal won
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)Colombia won
Spread: Portugal (-2.5)Colombia won
Spread: Portugal (-3.5)Colombia won
Spread: Portugal (-4.5)Colombia won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Colombia vs. Portugal: Portugal O/U 0.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event