Spread: Portugal (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e9ad93f6a8446b1f5771ad164c9a2cf9a28954643012d5a8b705e47755204a2

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Colombiaof Portugal, Colombia
Resolved: Jun 27, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $926,931
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $904,897

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $926,931 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 449 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x361b…74febacked Colombia	76c	57,724$43,672 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,052.3	510	32.5%166 W · 344 L	-9.1wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Colombia	74c	53,022$39,306 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,716	159	50.3%80 W · 79 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Colombia	73c	44,345$32,411 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,934.09	281	62.6%176 W · 105 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	61cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Portugal	28c	42,826$11,926 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,925.97	239	42.3%101 W · 138 L	-4.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Portugal	28c	36,489$10,145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,145.15	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Portugal	13c	35,704$4,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,499.85	1,144	39.2%448 W · 696 L	-8.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Colombia	77c	34,269$26,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,868.43	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Portugal	21c	27,243$5,824 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,823.78	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa701…47cdbacked Colombia	72c	27,215$19,595 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,620.12	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	-1.8wins	-0.09per pick	46cpaid	-41.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb225…3d54backed Portugal	24c	23,000$5,520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,520	95	25.3%24 W · 71 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x893b…f5ecbacked Portugal	27c	21,694$5,857 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,857.36	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa5f…6bfebacked Portugal	25c	17,451$4,363 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,362.69	208	44.7%93 W · 115 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Portugal	25c	15,525$3,881 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,881.25	297	40.1%119 W · 178 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0a2…353abacked Portugal	26c	13,462$3,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,500	48	41.7%20 W · 28 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Colombia	73c	12,705$9,328 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,376.32	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4810…289abacked Colombia	72c	12,501$9,001 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,500.28	41	51.2%21 W · 20 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4e1…34a5backed Portugal	27c	12,405$3,349 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,349.48	66	33.3%22 W · 44 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa974…ef79backed Portugal	25c	10,000$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,500	222	29.7%66 W · 156 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Colombia	75c	9,599$7,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,399.83	1,536	49.1%754 W · 782 L	+32.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Portugal	26c	8,320$2,130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,129.53	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Colombia	71c	7,760$5,509 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,250.29	145	53.8%78 W · 67 L	+9.1wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+12%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd34a…78c7backed Portugal	21c	7,718$1,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,600	137	21.2%29 W · 108 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	+27.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbcf2…1e5bbacked Portugal	29c	6,844$1,985 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,984.73	43	27.9%12 W · 31 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-23%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Colombia	76c	6,832$5,192 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,639.65	771	52.8%407 W · 364 L	+17.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Colombia	73c	6,221$4,518 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,702.67	1,262	47.5%600 W · 662 L	-15.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb10d…4ba0backed Portugal	27c	6,000$1,620 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,620	57	40.4%23 W · 34 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Colombia	73c	5,483$4,003 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,480.41	702	44.6%313 W · 389 L	+13.8wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Colombia	74c	5,245$3,890 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,355.44	1,873	48.4%906 W · 967 L	+14.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fee…7e03backed Portugal	28c	5,000$1,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,400	26	42.3%11 W · 15 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	+48.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Colombia	73c	4,842$3,540 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,302.4	1,560	43.8%684 W · 876 L	-4.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Colombia	75c	4,495$3,370 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,124.51	1,941	35.5%690 W · 1,251 L	-25.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb57f…0c96backed Portugal	25c	4,080$1,027 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,026.84	71	53.5%38 W · 33 L	+3.1wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+16.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7ee…fe5dbacked Portugal	25c	3,977$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	116	40.5%47 W · 69 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Colombia	76c	3,645$2,770 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$874.79	2,271	39.5%896 W · 1,375 L	+10.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc1fd…948ebacked Colombia	75c	3,641$2,737 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$903.84	174	16.1%28 W · 146 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-37.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfde…3f9cbacked Portugal	28c	3,571$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	18	22.2%4 W · 14 L	-1.5wins	-0.08per pick	31cpaid	-50.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xae2b…90eabacked Portugal	27c	3,530$950 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$950	206	33%68 W · 138 L	-7.1wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x16a4…66adbacked Portugal	28c	3,513$1,001 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,001	175	18.3%32 W · 143 L	-3.6wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21b7…c861backed Portugal	28c	3,500$980 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$980	91	26.4%24 W · 67 L	-5.0wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x20e5…118dbacked Portugal	25c	3,160$779 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$778.54	335	49%164 W · 171 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0189…5861backed Colombia	73c	3,083$2,251 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$832.49	176	36.4%64 W · 112 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x23b0…13a3backed Portugal	25c	3,000$750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$750	151	28.5%43 W · 108 L	-5.8wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Portugal	24c	3,000$720 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$720	502	43.4%218 W · 284 L	-9.0wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f5d…80a3backed Colombia	72c	2,767$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$767.12	38	65.8%25 W · 13 L	+1.6wins	+0.04per pick	62cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0484…e0eebacked Portugal	18c	2,700$499 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$499	93	24.7%23 W · 70 L	+3.2wins	+0.03per pick	21cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb70d…5925backed Colombia	74c	2,650$1,972 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$678.2	119	52.9%63 W · 56 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bf5…a351backed Colombia	75c	2,640$1,975 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$664.89	12	66.7%8 W · 4 L	+0.8wins	+0.06per pick	60cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b8a…76a2backed Portugal	25c	2,468$617 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$617	46	39.1%18 W · 28 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc387…5a97backed Colombia	72c	2,460$1,771 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$688.88	103	56.3%58 W · 45 L	+2.8wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…e7a9backed Portugal	24c	2,400$576 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$576	441	44%194 W · 247 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3db…0f98backed Portugal	18c	2,334$423 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$422.57	190	20.5%39 W · 151 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Portugal	29c	2,297$666 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$666	361	23.5%85 W · 276 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed Colombia	75c	2,222$1,667 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$555.5	97	70.1%68 W · 29 L	+12.0wins	+0.12per pick	58cpaid	+23.2%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Colombia	72c	2,222$1,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$622.16	60	43.3%26 W · 34 L	-3.1wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x71a6…b4d2backed Portugal	23c	2,198$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	22	13.6%3 W · 19 L	-3.2wins	-0.15per pick	28cpaid	-54.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0353…c2ffbacked Colombia	73c	2,055$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$554.79	71	63.4%45 W · 26 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	63cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe7ae…a0cbbacked Colombia	75c	2,000$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$500	20	65%13 W · 7 L	+1.0wins	+0.05per pick	60cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Portugal	27c	2,000$540 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$540	432	48.4%209 W · 223 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Portugal	23c	1,831$417 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$416.54	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8716…57c8backed Portugal	25c	1,827$457 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$456.81	326	47.9%156 W · 170 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Colombia	74c	1,691$1,248 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$443.78	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb2b…1e44backed Portugal	4c	1,646$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64	42	28.6%12 W · 30 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x81ed…59f5backed Portugal	29c	1,552$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450	608	21.9%133 W · 475 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Portugal	26c	1,520$393 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$393.19	3,213	47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L	-7.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeb8c…6a99backed Portugal	26c	1,496$389 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$389	64	32.8%21 W · 43 L	-4.0wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Portugal	4c	1,439$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.37	1,711	35.2%603 W · 1,108 L	-68.3wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1fc9…01e1backed Portugal	28c	1,355$383 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$383	110	20%22 W · 88 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf32f…ef80backed Colombia	75c	1,333$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$333.33	116	41.4%48 W · 68 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x114d…23e2backed Colombia	75c	1,333$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$333.33	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+21.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Colombia	75c	1,333$999 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$333.16	674	47.6%321 W · 353 L	+7.9wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeac5…2003backed Colombia	76c	1,316$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$315.79	55	40%22 W · 33 L	-5.8wins	-0.11per pick	51cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Colombia	76c	1,277$966 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$311.03	1,985	32.5%645 W · 1,340 L	-47.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Colombia	74c	1,245$923 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$322.08	3,077	47%1,447 W · 1,630 L	-11.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa7a6…8117backed Portugal	25c	1,200$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	34	41.2%14 W · 20 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0520…e4e0backed Portugal	26c	1,154$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	253	36.8%93 W · 160 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x329c…2485backed Portugal	25c	1,150$288 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$287.5	26	61.5%16 W · 10 L	+2.1wins	+0.08per pick	54cpaid	+19.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9153…f486backed Portugal	28c	1,139$319 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$318.92	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.18per pick	32cpaid	+38.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5829…5a3abacked Portugal	18c	1,111$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	151	41.1%62 W · 89 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf36e…f91cbacked Portugal	12c	1,083$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	154	18.8%29 W · 125 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7544…b575backed Portugal	25c	1,076$264 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$263.86	220	47.7%105 W · 115 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7e8…7953backed Portugal	28c	1,071$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	301	42.5%128 W · 173 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb8b5…280cbacked Portugal	30c	1,002$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	81	35.8%29 W · 52 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x49f2…d7b4backed Portugal	24c	1,000$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	193	45.1%87 W · 106 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+27.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2463…e21bbacked Portugal	25c	1,000$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	268	36.9%99 W · 169 L	-7.9wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe881…19abbacked Portugal	26c	1,000$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260	121	14%17 W · 104 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Portugal	28c	999.99$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280	561	51%286 W · 275 L	+15.4wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed Portugal	29c	999$290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$289.71	93	22.6%21 W · 72 L	-3.2wins	-0.03per pick	26cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2fcd…9293backed Portugal	25c	989.66$251 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$251	135	31.9%43 W · 92 L	+3.0wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Colombia	73c	983.79$720 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$263.5	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb8b…6d8abacked Portugal	25c	924$231 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$231	33	45.5%15 W · 18 L	+2.7wins	+0.08per pick	37cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Portugal	26c	865.97$227 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$227.47	1,313	48.9%642 W · 671 L	+12.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Portugal	4c	825$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	2,453	34.7%850 W · 1,603 L	+84.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5555…82c5backed Portugal	28c	813.11$228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$227.67	20	45%9 W · 11 L	+1.4wins	+0.07per pick	38cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf401…f40dbacked Portugal	25c	795$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198.75	33	42.4%14 W · 19 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Portugal	28c	777$218 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$217.56	114	44.7%51 W · 63 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4de…f4e4backed Portugal	25c	751.27$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190.42	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	+1.8wins	+0.16per pick	29cpaid	+48%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b85…2b26backed Portugal	27c	740.74$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	30	33.3%10 W · 20 L	-1.2wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaacb…90cbbacked Portugal	23c	724$168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$167.8	179	19%34 W · 145 L	+9.1wins	+0.05per pick	14cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0693…9679backed Portugal	24c	721.6$174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$174.14	226	33.6%76 W · 150 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	+27.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09dd…7e13backed Colombia	77c	700$540 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$160	379	44.1%167 W · 212 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Portugal (-1.5)this page
Colombia vs. Portugal: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Colombia vs. Portugal: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Colombia vs. Portugal: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Colombia vs. Portugal: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Colombia vs. Portugal: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Colombia vs. Portugal: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Colombia vs. Portugal: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Colombia vs. Portugal: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Colombia vs. Portugal: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Colombia vs. Portugal: Colombia 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Colombia vs. Portugal: Colombia 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Colombia vs. Portugal: Colombia 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Colombia vs. Portugal: Colombia O/U 0.5Under won
Colombia vs. Portugal: Colombia O/U 1.5Under won
Colombia vs. Portugal: Colombia O/U 2.5Under won
Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 0.5Under won
Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 1.5Under won
Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 2.5Under won
Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 3.5Under won
Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 4.5Under won
Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 5.5Under won
Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 6.5Under won
Colombia vs. Portugal: Portugal 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Colombia vs. Portugal: Portugal 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Colombia vs. Portugal: Portugal 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Colombia vs. Portugal: Portugal O/U 0.5Under won
Colombia vs. Portugal: Portugal O/U 1.5Under won
Colombia vs. Portugal: Portugal O/U 2.5Under won
Spread: Colombia (-1.5)Portugal won
Spread: Colombia (-2.5)Portugal won
Spread: Colombia (-4.5)Portugal won
Spread: Portugal (-2.5)Colombia won
Spread: Portugal (-3.5)Colombia won
Spread: Portugal (-4.5)Colombia won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Portugal (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event