TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,043,143
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,001,607

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,043,143 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 363 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9cb9…32f2backed Under57c89,999$51,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,932.8325038.8%97 W · 153 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over59c57,290$33,887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,886.923,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Under28c48,127$13,647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,479.4836235.9%130 W · 232 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b89…4244backed Over60c37,773$22,526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,525.9217550.3%88 W · 87 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Under56c31,957$17,903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,054.7766846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Over50c30,000$15,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,999.9927039.6%107 W · 163 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under35c25,865$9,093 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,772.174,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Over62c21,516$13,251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,251.4524533.5%82 W · 163 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Under33c19,225$6,326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,899.0830054%162 W · 138 L+17.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+32.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d06…7910backed Over58c19,000$11,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,014.2814343.4%62 W · 81 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under5c17,397$821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,575.9974447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over75c16,268$12,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,249.62,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under42c15,170$6,318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,852.731,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cd6…18e4backed Under6c13,783$827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,955.886016.7%10 W · 50 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick15cpaid+48.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fcf…e455backed Under75c13,091$9,837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,253.6614544.8%65 W · 80 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+57.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over42c10,776$4,578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,578.468,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under12c9,486$1,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,362.1644130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under28c9,274$2,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,648.712,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under5c8,925$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,478.931,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe65e…b719backed Under23c8,628$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,628.1917040%68 W · 102 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-15.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd408…e85cbacked Under17c8,347$1,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,926.8411149.5%55 W · 56 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8ec…4d49backed Over72c8,336$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,0004264.3%27 W · 15 L+4.7wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+29.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1d16…212ebacked Under20c7,713$1,536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,176.7312248.4%59 W · 63 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b7a…9e24backed Under6c7,000$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,579.9813234.1%45 W · 87 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8718…5040backed Under40c6,750$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,0504774.5%35 W · 12 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick66cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under63c5,928$3,717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,210.8164446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over7c5,603$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.7351514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Under41c5,409$2,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,209.637650.8%191 W · 185 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over50c5,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50014445.8%66 W · 78 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over10c5,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49022342.6%95 W · 128 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+53.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x856d…9498backed Over18c4,712$845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845.1320%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over11c4,217$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.43,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1da…27bdbacked Over66c4,129$2,732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,732.224472.7%32 W · 12 L+4.3wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under5c4,000$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,799.9230626.5%81 W · 225 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid+1.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9e7…4697backed Under8c3,500$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,23023440.2%94 W · 140 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked Under8c3,431$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,156.4482537.1%306 W · 519 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over19c3,333$628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$628.2149441.5%205 W · 289 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1016…b09bbacked Over62c3,239$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00024341.2%100 W · 143 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeaf8…9f45backed Under46c3,071$1,403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,667.8226647%125 W · 141 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9689…df62backed Over28c3,000$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85023427.8%65 W · 169 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick25cpaid+42.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Over48c3,000$1,451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,450.6322959.4%136 W · 93 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x23fa…140bbacked Over44c2,982$1,308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,307.8716750.3%84 W · 83 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7acc…c5b9backed Under20c2,703$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,169.7623857.6%137 W · 101 L+22.5wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+18.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x02c6…b27bbacked Under67c2,601$1,737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$864.319649.5%97 W · 99 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd2f3…37f9backed Under48c2,590$1,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,341.215543.6%24 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe702…1c29backed Under14c2,589$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,239.296145.9%28 W · 33 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+58.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3baf…7d44backed Over63c2,471$1,566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,566.0227032.2%87 W · 183 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe270…eab5backed Under5c2,400$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,285.9824136.9%89 W · 152 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43a7…b799backed Over71c2,383$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7003951.3%20 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf16e…43afbacked Over79c2,381$1,881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,880.949525.3%24 W · 71 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-25.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0cf6…0e3bbacked Under11c2,301$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,048.7826534%90 W · 175 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Under6c2,262$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,125.9560511.4%69 W · 536 L-16.5wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Under57c2,244$1,283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$961.0543737.8%165 W · 272 L-0.9wins0.00per pick38cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe790…698cbacked Under45c2,222$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,222.224055%22 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over49c2,187$1,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,065.692,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98f2…65dcbacked Over45c2,145$965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$965.2427655.1%152 W · 124 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6f7…440fbacked Under10c2,100$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,889.99875%6 W · 2 L+4.9wins+0.61per pick14cpaid+488.1%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under11c2,097$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,870.32,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5839…2c33backed Over62c2,096$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3005959.3%35 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Over41c2,048$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$839.739644.7%177 W · 219 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under17c2,046$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,693.411,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under32c1,977$627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,349.6321722.1%48 W · 169 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+23.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8454…331abacked Under41c1,940$798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,141.7810441.3%43 W · 61 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb5d…0c35backed Over63c1,905$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2006435.9%23 W · 41 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Over15c1,814$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.4458926.8%158 W · 431 L-30.5wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-44.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfbf4…ac20backed Over70c1,801$1,258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,257.9634533.6%116 W · 229 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb0cc…f354backed Under15c1,764$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,490.5834845.1%157 W · 191 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e97…8ffabacked Over79c1,754$1,386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,385.6925125.1%63 W · 188 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Under17c1,652$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,374.71,11449.4%550 W · 564 L+57.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Under5c1,611$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,530.6470244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fa9…09fabacked Over54c1,599$871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$871.4522932.8%75 W · 154 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+37.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Under31c1,560$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,084.1385550.6%433 W · 422 L+54.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb8f7…97d4backed Over77c1,470$1,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,135616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.19per pick36cpaid-70.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under29c1,358$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$970.732,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb61f…be5dbacked Over75c1,320$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9901060%6 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick67cpaid+1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75f0…2b66backed Under9c1,311$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,196.1629030.7%89 W · 201 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x503a…8322backed Over20c1,250$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2507047.1%33 W · 37 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0df…9cf9backed Under10c1,200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0802020%4 W · 16 L+2.6wins+0.13per pick7cpaid+121.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfd19…3fb8backed Under10c1,200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0806910.1%7 W · 62 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick8cpaid+20.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2c3…3e18backed Under21c1,190$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$940.4713268.2%90 W · 42 L+20.0wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+25.8%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x635d…7047backed Under5c1,188$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,128.61756.9%12 W · 163 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick6cpaid+112.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d06…755bbacked Under46c1,184$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.5919744.2%87 W · 110 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x145a…5e86backed Over76c1,155$879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$879.1721641.7%90 W · 126 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over74c1,100$814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$813.9922153.4%118 W · 103 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7c62…06fcbacked Over48c1,086$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.42045%9 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcaaf…8031backed Under61c1,082$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.013036.7%11 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Under64c1,076$689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.4475335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over32c1,075$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.134,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe991…48b1backed Under28c1,071$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$771.4333641.7%140 W · 196 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Over64c1,071$684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$683.9141331%128 W · 285 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1af…c4d1backed Under16c1,040$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$873.617745.8%81 W · 96 L-0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03c1…b5e2backed Over49c1,031$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.46862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39c5…22f7backed Under12c1,017$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$896.273228.1%9 W · 23 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick23cpaid+67.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae76…2763backed Over8c1,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8018626.3%49 W · 137 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Over48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4805824.1%14 W · 44 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc96e…f1f9backed Over70c1,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7008048.8%39 W · 41 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+27.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xab45…f5e0backed Under5c1,000$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9505930.5%18 W · 41 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+19.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2eb5…41adbacked Over61c999.99$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.992638.5%10 W · 16 L-3.8wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-27.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc464…5139backed Over64c998.63$641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641.1333544.5%149 W · 186 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fe…52f6backed Over80c959.69$768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$767.755356.6%30 W · 23 L-0.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.