TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Colombia vs. Portugal: Portugal O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$107,805
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$110,748

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $107,805 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 166 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdd88…dadbbacked Over55c15,946$8,754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,754.0623942.3%101 W · 138 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under45c11,955$5,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,595.161,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under59c10,804$6,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,394.284,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over53c9,525$5,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,008.592,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe987…f0e1backed Under45c8,000$3,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,37038026.6%101 W · 279 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over53c4,305$2,279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,278.822,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under48c4,287$2,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,242.142,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dae…fff9backed Over49c3,444$1,688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,687.516631.8%21 W · 45 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-20.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over29c3,191$934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$934.012,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7ef…372cbacked Under47c3,079$1,447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,631.72633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-34.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over53c2,900$1,528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,52843248.4%209 W · 223 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under46c2,716$1,259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,456.274,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under48c2,637$1,257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,379.461,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under50c2,437$1,218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,218.412,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked Over55c2,345$1,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,289.7522943.7%100 W · 129 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under48c2,306$1,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,193.883,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Under46c1,910$879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,031.3946546.7%217 W · 248 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf12f…b30fbacked Over54c1,667$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9004351.2%22 W · 21 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+20.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x03b8…b4aebacked Under71c1,408$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.4523353.2%124 W · 109 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under49c1,250$614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.223,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under50c1,239$619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.2836250%181 W · 181 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over52c1,164$602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602.368,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under45c1,111$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.1167447.6%321 W · 353 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under46c1,024$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552.961,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87f6…dd4fbacked Over50c1,016$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5081838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-38.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8583…3f3cbacked Over54c1,001$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.78652.3%45 W · 41 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e51…42cebacked Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50032642.9%140 W · 186 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5902…59fabacked Over49c999.99$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49013155%72 W · 59 L+8.1wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Over54c999.99$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.9941429%120 W · 294 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd70b…dcb1backed Under54c978.63$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.3910359.2%61 W · 42 L+9.4wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+22.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe5a6…d556backed Under55c947.27$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.278341%34 W · 49 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dd7…28d2backed Over54c925.93$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50011750.4%59 W · 58 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0189…cab8backed Over54c925.93$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010261.8%63 W · 39 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8b5…280cbacked Over54c925.93$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008135.8%29 W · 52 L+0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid-16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over35c864.16$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.712,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c09…ed31backed Over52c756.22$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.214440.3%58 W · 86 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick38cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over2c717.97$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.472,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9048…d351backed Over51c588.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30014841.9%62 W · 86 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35b1…8962backed Under67c516.42$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.425543.6%24 W · 31 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under48c429.01$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.523,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87b6…4ababacked Under46c400$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21645038.2%172 W · 278 L-28.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x014c…38ccbacked Over52c385.9$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20028646.2%132 W · 154 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6ab…fb13backed Over53c377.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20025842.2%109 W · 149 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed Over53c374.65$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20047935.1%168 W · 311 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc220…5012backed Over54c370.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20029636.1%107 W · 189 L-0.7wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dfe…3a5dbacked Over54c370.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20016943.2%73 W · 96 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a51…ce14backed Over54c366.67$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1986940.6%28 W · 41 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Under50c359$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.570244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef3a…1eb3backed Over54c277.78$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504544.4%20 W · 25 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x351d…8574backed Over34c275$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.516725.7%43 W · 124 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb014…a357backed Under51c268.97$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.815642.9%67 W · 89 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa76c…a1babacked Over50c260$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1301540%6 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ee9…d719backed Over50c260$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1301546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd942…31e5backed Over50c260$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1302343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x582e…eb81backed Under51c259.8$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.31450%7 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5eb9…6f30backed Under51c259.8$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.32334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-30.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb5a4…445ebacked Under51c259.8$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.32045%9 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04d7…b035backed Under52c255.29$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.5411545.2%52 W · 63 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under48c250$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1311,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e80…a945backed Under51c219.61$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c9c…f560backed Over50c218.53$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52f4…2b15backed Under46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.393066.7%20 W · 10 L+5.1wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+42.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9249…01f8backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006650%33 W · 33 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e34…63f7backed Under71c200$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5828164.1%180 W · 101 L+16.0wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x338b…bf88backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019332.6%63 W · 130 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under45c200$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11097742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x960f…4f36backed Over51c197.84$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006556.9%37 W · 28 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x848f…612fbacked Over51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009358.1%54 W · 39 L+11.6wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+18.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa837…24a4backed Over51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006826.5%18 W · 50 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0d4…9b97backed Over54c196.06$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.87850%4 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-30.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8508…c22fbacked Under52c194.23$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.2310153.5%54 W · 47 L+8.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+12.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xaae0…3616backed Over30c192.86$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.865044%22 W · 28 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+28.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x407c…4ba3backed Over54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015947.2%75 W · 84 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over33c183.27$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.482,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed Over51c172.55$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8862452.7%329 W · 295 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8bc…9ecfbacked Under58c168.05$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.58944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x963c…3122backed Over17c159.99$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278143.2%35 W · 46 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked Under57c150$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.51,20650.2%606 W · 600 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8ca…137ebacked Over48c145.83$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over39c138$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.71,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5088…cfc5backed Under50c120$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6015440.3%62 W · 92 L+11.9wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xadf2…6599backed Over50c107$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.510644.3%47 W · 59 L-9.9wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-20.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under48c102.8$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2e2…2964backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5023550.2%118 W · 117 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x491c…b765backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5021955.3%121 W · 98 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6648…4798backed Over27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277748.1%37 W · 40 L+6.8wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+27%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x718f…1dc3backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016342.3%69 W · 94 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x762e…bbcbbacked Over51c98.53$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505630.4%17 W · 39 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-30%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc59…35f7backed Under51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.045747.4%27 W · 30 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d89…dc09backed Over51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015344.4%68 W · 85 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf58e…a0b0backed Over51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5019643.4%85 W · 111 L-0.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7da9…e7b3backed Over51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503751.4%19 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over30c94.72$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.391,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8c8…7c4cbacked Under50c94$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.2361855.3%342 W · 276 L+23.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ecc…415abacked Over55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5028747%135 W · 152 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under68c84.33$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.932,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under48c83.61$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.061,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad3f…0228backed Over31c80.65$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25759.3%7 W · 68 L-0.3wins0.00per pick10cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ad3…1af6backed Under50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403551.4%18 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under48c80$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.81,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.