TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$922,928
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$905,344

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $922,928 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 339 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Over17c82,510$13,804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,803.883,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c1e…bab3backed Over34c70,000$23,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,80022348.4%108 W · 115 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under76c67,441$50,992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,449.184,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Over16c30,842$4,964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,964.1436235.9%130 W · 232 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over16c29,562$4,594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,593.591,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11cf…2674backed Over34c28,317$9,628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,627.891643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick59cpaid-27.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Over8c20,546$1,716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,716.2739644.7%177 W · 219 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc41e…e2e9backed Over0c16,333$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40362.8%1 W · 35 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick1cpaid+177.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over33c15,029$4,935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,935.491,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over13c14,202$1,836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,836.223,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc424…61efbacked Under71c12,609$8,892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,716.865048%24 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under66c10,700$7,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,611.991,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54ee…15f8backed Over29c8,745$2,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,501.34540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over34c7,794$2,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,65045428%127 W · 327 L-2.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over30c7,388$2,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,212.922,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over21c7,048$1,464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,463.681,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over29c6,332$1,828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8288,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over21c6,111$1,302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,302.3916150.9%82 W · 79 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under69c5,072$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,572.321,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa18c…d792backed Under67c5,000$3,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,649.9924058.8%141 W · 99 L+19.8wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under68c5,000$3,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,579.981,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under66c4,687$3,093 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,593.451,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0353…c2ffbacked Under68c4,443$3,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,437.997163.4%45 W · 26 L+0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked Over7c3,839$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25053629.9%160 W · 376 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed Over18c3,768$663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$663.2425942.1%109 W · 150 L-0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Under66c3,500$2,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,179.9950243.4%218 W · 284 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under66c3,394$2,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,144.362,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Under66c3,248$2,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,099.4647643.3%206 W · 270 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Under66c3,000$1,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,02048441.9%203 W · 281 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Under66c3,000$1,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,02047144.8%211 W · 260 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under67c2,524$1,696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$827.632,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…e7a9backed Under66c2,400$1,584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81644144%194 W · 247 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under67c2,357$1,569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$787.81,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09dd…7e13backed Over15c2,329$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.9337944.1%167 W · 212 L+0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ae1…8c1bbacked Over4c2,135$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.9816325.8%42 W · 121 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-36.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under66c2,104$1,389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$715.4222451.3%115 W · 109 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8630…158bbacked Under75c2,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50010233.3%34 W · 68 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Under72c1,900$1,376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52452455%288 W · 236 L+2.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf055…02b5backed Over32c1,875$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60026644%117 W · 149 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x122c…fbedbacked Over19c1,719$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.7831232.4%101 W · 211 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-25.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x967d…ef6abacked Under76c1,700$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.416473.4%47 W · 17 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Over33c1,667$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55028025%70 W · 210 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+0.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee0b…e6d4backed Over33c1,606$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.016634.8%23 W · 43 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Under66c1,600$1,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54447442.8%203 W · 271 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4871…0742backed Over33c1,600$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52811147.7%53 W · 58 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under79c1,576$1,244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.032,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under66c1,514$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.7671638.4%275 W · 441 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23b0…13a3backed Over24c1,500$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35715128.5%43 W · 108 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb500…1cdebacked Under69c1,449$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.2817453.4%93 W · 81 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Over21c1,340$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.4736250%181 W · 181 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc83f…ed1ebacked Over34c1,324$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4507636.8%28 W · 48 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+103.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb1c…bd78backed Over34c1,285$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43714235.2%50 W · 92 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under66c1,261$832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.6377152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under68c1,250$848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.23,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c70…caf0backed Under80c1,250$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2504100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+56.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5fd2…93ddbacked Over32c1,210$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.389839.8%39 W · 59 L-0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under76c1,153$874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.3257541.7%240 W · 335 L-20.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under68c1,151$778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.31,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…052abacked Under76c1,092$828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.9911638.8%45 W · 71 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under72c1,091$785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.4568141.1%280 W · 401 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Over33c1,043$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.170244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc464…5139backed Over29c1,041$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.7933544.5%149 W · 186 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae2b…90eabacked Over31c1,032$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32020633%68 W · 138 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked Over34c1,003$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.0222943.7%100 W · 129 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23f9…3c2dbacked Over33c1,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33017030%51 W · 119 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under71c986$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.9459752.1%311 W · 286 L-2.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Under66c984.85$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.8514564.1%93 W · 52 L+10.1wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+9.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7879…3653backed Over32c937.5$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30022749.3%112 W · 115 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf6ab…fb13backed Over32c937.5$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30025842.2%109 W · 149 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x263f…9212backed Over29c929$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67d7…2dc2backed Under66c909.09$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.09933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-46.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x219a…f65bbacked Over18c901.11$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.24829.2%14 W · 34 L-3.7wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-30.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9fc1…0c67backed Over17c894.44$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504311.6%5 W · 38 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick19cpaid-72.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc29…422abacked Over34c885.74$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.155930.5%18 W · 41 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Over34c882.35$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30029138.8%113 W · 178 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+40.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc6b…8115backed Over34c882.35$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30022914%32 W · 197 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick13cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e24…3474backed Under69c869.57$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.5714444.4%64 W · 80 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ebb…8220backed Over24c833.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20028224.1%68 W · 214 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e6f…31aebacked Over31c806.45$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2507826.9%21 W · 57 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfba…583cbacked Over31c770$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.8392732.1%298 W · 629 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under71c757$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.182,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under71c756.37$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.592,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x800a…0b4dbacked Over33c740.64$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.4111122.5%25 W · 86 L-8.0wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-30.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2d3d…0299backed Over32c640$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.84153.7%22 W · 19 L+5.2wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+13.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x87f8…aa04backed Over32c625$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005540%22 W · 33 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3999…f793backed Over33c606.06$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003737.8%14 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8bb…e268backed Over33c606.06$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002630.8%8 W · 18 L-3.4wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-40%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x086c…50bbbacked Over33c606.06$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007644.7%34 W · 42 L+5.8wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xed31…b870backed Under68c600$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1922661.5%16 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x490f…a02dbacked Over33c592.07$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19725737%95 W · 162 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+34.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cfe…c764backed Over26c567$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72e0…08eebacked Over31c552.39$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.5426243.1%113 W · 149 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bc0…af1abacked Over34c544.12$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1857237.5%27 W · 45 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71af…6b3dbacked Over21c521.98$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.621127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d9b…8660backed Over34c499.99$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1708843.2%38 W · 50 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9a6…4fcfbacked Under67c499.99$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1656958%40 W · 29 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+4.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1bb1…eac3backed Over30c499.99$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15015920.1%32 W · 127 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5902…59fabacked Over28c499.99$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14013155%72 W · 59 L+8.1wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Under66c499.98$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.9995739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under74c498.34$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.94,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.