Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 4.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c5b255b09ee67b763ca552fc9d3084e8e75eaa78c110d013041b4bff4b45b05

Rebuilt 4 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 27, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $332,297
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $344,902

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $332,297 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xc41e…e2e9backed Over	0c	46,330$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.99	36	2.8%1 W · 35 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	1cpaid	+177.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over	8c	17,935$1,452 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,452.03	1,224	43.4%531 W · 693 L	-7.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	14c	12,285$1,755 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,755.25	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over	4c	5,778$229 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$229.05	1,627	32.1%523 W · 1,104 L	+4.0wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Over	18c	5,555$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$999.9	320	29.4%94 W · 226 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58b3…653cbacked Over	17c	5,000$850 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$850	86	17.4%15 W · 71 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ae1…8c1bbacked Over	4c	2,889$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.46	163	25.8%42 W · 121 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	24cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Over	18c	2,312$416 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$416.09	302	20.2%61 W · 241 L	-15.6wins	-0.05per pick	25cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over	13c	2,122$276 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$276.19	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Over	4c	1,410$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.92	396	44.7%177 W · 219 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7544…ea2dbacked Over	18c	1,061$191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191	116	34.5%40 W · 76 L	-3.6wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over	12c	1,005$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.53	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over	15c	779.34$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.05	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over	5c	726.02$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.88	2,453	34.7%850 W · 1,603 L	+84.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Over	6c	706.67$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.21	489	37%181 W · 308 L	-10.3wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0823…ec6abacked Over	15c	650.07$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.51	431	39%168 W · 263 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2d3d…0299backed Over	16c	630$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.8	41	53.7%22 W · 19 L	+5.2wins	+0.13per pick	41cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd34c…10b4backed Over	16c	625$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	724	24.7%179 W · 545 L	-9.4wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bb1…eac3backed Over	17c	600$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102	159	20.1%32 W · 127 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd722…0564backed Over	17c	588.24$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	194	36.6%71 W · 123 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0886…b3a6backed Over	18c	566.28$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	329	22.5%74 W · 255 L	-3.7wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb1c…bd78backed Over	18c	555.56$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	142	35.2%50 W · 92 L	+5.8wins	+0.04per pick	31cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over	7c	511.75$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.71	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Over	14c	500$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	957	39.5%378 W · 579 L	-18.4wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over	17c	470$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.9	1,985	32.5%645 W · 1,340 L	-47.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x94ac…cd94backed Over	18c	421.92$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.95	285	44.6%127 W · 158 L	+10.4wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over	16c	421$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.47	438	26.3%115 W · 323 L	+12.6wins	+0.03per pick	23cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fd2…93ddbacked Over	17c	400$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68	98	39.8%39 W · 59 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbec0…9bddbacked Over	9c	378.92$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.33	626	33.9%212 W · 414 L	-28.6wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x914e…8355backed Over	5c	328.04$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	113	38.1%43 W · 70 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b75…2e6dbacked Over	16c	312.5$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	87	27.6%24 W · 63 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	25cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7803…132fbacked Over	18c	304.22$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.76	221	35.3%78 W · 143 L	+6.3wins	+0.03per pick	32cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x94cb…64e3backed Over	12c	300$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	78	34.6%27 W · 51 L	+4.6wins	+0.06per pick	29cpaid	+23.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c12…62ccbacked Over	17c	295.59$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	69	26.1%18 W · 51 L	+5.6wins	+0.08per pick	18cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7020…d655backed Over	17c	294.12$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	199	39.2%78 W · 121 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdec4…046fbacked Over	17c	294.12$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	345	26.1%90 W · 255 L	-5.9wins	-0.02per pick	28cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37d9…5442backed Over	17c	294.12$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	314	35.7%112 W · 202 L	-11.2wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-16%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6dfb…f1b7backed Over	5c	250.72$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.75	782	34.3%268 W · 514 L	-11.2wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under	75c	240$180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60	575	41.7%240 W · 335 L	-20.8wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Over	18c	222.22$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	438	19.2%84 W · 354 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x490f…a02dbacked Over	18c	222.22$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	257	37%95 W · 162 L	+9.5wins	+0.04per pick	33cpaid	+34.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Over	11c	180$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.8	237	36.3%86 W · 151 L	-8.5wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-27%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over	23c	179.67$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.11	876	51.1%448 W · 428 L	+25.3wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0a2…b58ebacked Over	17c	157.24$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.73	70	22.9%16 W · 54 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	25cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06be…8a46backed Over	17c	150$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.5	99	19.2%19 W · 80 L	+3.7wins	+0.04per pick	15cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d30…363cbacked Over	11c	150$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.5	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9892…fd59backed Over	15c	133.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	462	43.5%201 W · 261 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc17a…3e6ebacked Over	15c	129.93$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.49	24	20.8%5 W · 19 L	-1.4wins	-0.06per pick	27cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6bd8…f260backed Over	16c	125$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	379	19.5%74 W · 305 L	-10.5wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-29.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0bb1…daf7backed Over	16c	125$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	188	21.8%41 W · 147 L	-5.0wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe059…daaebacked Over	16c	125$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	117	20.5%24 W · 93 L	+4.5wins	+0.04per pick	17cpaid	+19.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa0cb…419fbacked Over	16c	125$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	137	42.3%58 W · 79 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6cfc…661ebacked Over	17c	117.65$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	127	11.8%15 W · 112 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-21%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Over	18c	111.11$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	164	37.2%61 W · 103 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc470…c792backed Over	18c	111.11$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	295	29.8%88 W · 207 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Over	14c	111.03$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.05	249	47.4%118 W · 131 L	+14.2wins	+0.06per pick	42cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d64…f266backed Over	18c	105.33$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.96	40	42.5%17 W · 23 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba6e…bc14backed Over	15c	100$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	86	40.7%35 W · 51 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…2cbfbacked Over	15c	100$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	366	31.1%114 W · 252 L	+18.2wins	+0.05per pick	26cpaid	+34.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe692…05e8backed Over	16c	100$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	82	25.6%21 W · 61 L	+3.7wins	+0.05per pick	21cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x02f0…1a03backed Over	16c	100$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	99	15.2%15 W · 84 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	+7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe80f…3354backed Over	15c	100$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	317	28.1%89 W · 228 L	+8.9wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad9d…f2cdbacked Over	17c	99.99$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	152	25.7%39 W · 113 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	28cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Over	18c	99.37$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.28	1,063	31.7%337 W · 726 L	-33.7wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x680b…7fd4backed Over	16c	94.02$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.66	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-53.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7921…bbc3backed Over	17c	88.24$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	241	40.2%97 W · 144 L	-12.2wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-16%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x529d…865cbacked Over	17c	64.71$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-1.9wins	-0.21per pick	43cpaid	-37.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe677…419fbacked Over	16c	62.5$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	36	55.6%20 W · 16 L	+2.1wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Under	73c	49.32$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.32	855	50.6%433 W · 422 L	+54.8wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under	75c	44$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11	2,793	46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L	-10.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Under	72c	44$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.32	260	47.3%123 W · 137 L	+8.1wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under	73c	24.66$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.66	1,601	47.8%765 W · 836 L	+51.5wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d10…b3d0backed Under	71c	20$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.8	16	81.3%13 W · 3 L	+2.2wins	+0.13per pick	68cpaid	+16.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 4.5this page
Colombia vs. Portugal: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Colombia vs. Portugal: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Colombia vs. Portugal: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Colombia vs. Portugal: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Colombia vs. Portugal: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Colombia vs. Portugal: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Colombia vs. Portugal: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Colombia vs. Portugal: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Colombia vs. Portugal: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Colombia vs. Portugal: Colombia 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Colombia vs. Portugal: Colombia 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Colombia vs. Portugal: Colombia 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Colombia vs. Portugal: Colombia O/U 0.5Under won
Colombia vs. Portugal: Colombia O/U 1.5Under won
Colombia vs. Portugal: Colombia O/U 2.5Under won
Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 0.5Under won
Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 1.5Under won
Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 2.5Under won
Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 3.5Under won
Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 5.5Under won
Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 6.5Under won
Colombia vs. Portugal: Portugal 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Colombia vs. Portugal: Portugal 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Colombia vs. Portugal: Portugal 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Colombia vs. Portugal: Portugal O/U 0.5Under won
Colombia vs. Portugal: Portugal O/U 1.5Under won
Colombia vs. Portugal: Portugal O/U 2.5Under won
Spread: Colombia (-1.5)Portugal won
Spread: Colombia (-2.5)Portugal won
Spread: Colombia (-4.5)Portugal won
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)Colombia won
Spread: Portugal (-2.5)Colombia won
Spread: Portugal (-3.5)Colombia won
Spread: Portugal (-4.5)Colombia won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 4.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event