TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x06be…8a46

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
367
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: NFL, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 61 out of 100; worst Premier League at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10129.7%30 W · 71 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 101 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Warriors vs. Knicksbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Hornets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$61
Pistons vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$53.67
Celtics vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Grizzlies vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$54
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Knicks vs. Timberwolvesbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$24
Bucks vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Mavericks vs. Pelicansbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$48
Pacers vs. Celticsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$17
Hornets vs. Cavaliersbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$25.2
Clippers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+150%+$180
Thunder vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT+222.6%+$69
Trail Blazers vs. Bullsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$32
Cavaliers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
Pistons vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
Suns vs. Celticsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
Kings vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
Spurs vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$37
Magic vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Lakers vs. Bullsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$90
Mavericks vs. Magicbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$420
Celtics vs. Sunsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$18.5
Bucks vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$17.5
Lakers vs. Pacersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$24.5
Showing 25 of 101 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT9919.2%19 W · 80 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick15cpaid+22.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 99 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$220
Exact Score: United States 0 - 0 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 0 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.5
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.5
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 2 Croatia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.5
Spain vs. Austria: O/U 12.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Spain vs. Austria: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.25
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Exact Score: England 3 - 1 DR Congo?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
England vs. DR Congo: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Sweden?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$89
Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Sweden?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
France vs. Sweden: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Showing 25 of 99 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2025, EDT547.4%4 W · 50 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick14cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tweets — the 54 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon tweet 650 or more times March 28 - April 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.43
Will Elon tweet 450-474 times March 28 - April 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$56
Will Elon tweet 475-499 times March 28 - April 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$49
Will Elon tweet 425-449 times March 28 - April 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
Will Elon tweet 400-424 times March 28 - April 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.85
Will Elon tweet 500-524 times March 28 - April 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.5
Will Elon tweet 550-574 times March 28 - April 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.25
Will Elon tweet 525-549 times March 28 - April 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.5
Will Elon tweet 550-574 times March 14-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.49
Will Elon tweet 500-524 times March 14-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$36
Will Elon tweet 450-474 times March 14-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Elon tweet 575-599 times March 14-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.4
Will Elon tweet 475-499 times March 14-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$36
Will Elon tweet 600-624 times March 14-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.2
Will Elon tweet 525-549 times March 14-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.3
Will Elon tweet 500-524 times March 7-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT+650%+$260
Will Elon tweet 550-574 times March 7-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$28
Will Elon tweet 525-549 times March 7-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$51
Will Elon tweet 475-499 times March 7-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$48
Will Elon tweet 450-474 times March 7-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Elon tweet less than 450 times March 7-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$51
Will Elon tweet 600-649 times Feb 28 - March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2025, EST-100%-$33.92
Will Elon tweet 650-699 times Feb 14-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Will Elon tweet 600-649 times Feb 14-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2025, EST+1,328.6%+$465
Will Elon tweet 550-599 times Feb 14-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2025, EST-100%-$65
Showing 25 of 54 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT4831.3%15 W · 33 L-6.4wins-0.13per pick45cpaid-42%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Premier League — the 48 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Crystal Palace FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Manchester United FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$30.5
Chelsea FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$29.5
Will Burnley FC vs. Everton FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+222.6%+$138
Will Liverpool FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$28
Will Arsenal FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$36
Will Brentford FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$56
Will West Ham United FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$58
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$101
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$27
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$75
Wolves vs. Manchester United: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+69.5%+$82
Will Liverpool win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$106
Will West Ham vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+58.7%+$18.5
Manchester City wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$45.26
Will Arsenal win on 2025-04-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$17
Will Fulham vs. Tottenham end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$55
Will Everton vs. West Ham end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$57
Will Fulham win on 2025-02-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Brighton win on 2025-02-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2025, EST-100%-$68
Will Everton win on 2024-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$44.58
FA Cup: Brighton & Hove Albion vs. Chelsea (To Advance)backed Chelsea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2025, EST-100%-$28
FA Cup: Birmingham City vs. Newcastle (To Advance)backed Newcastle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2025, EST+38.9%+$14
FA Cup: Leyton Orient vs. Manchester City (To Advance)backed Man City · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2025, EST+33.3%+$17.5
FA Cup: Leeds United vs. Millwall (To Advance)backed Leeds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2025, EST-100%-$45
Showing 25 of 48 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT2250%11 W · 11 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+40.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC vs. Galatasaray SK end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.5
Will FC Bayern München vs. Atalanta BC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.5
Will FC Barcelona vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Lille vs. Borussia Dortmund end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT+37%+$27
Will Inter vs. Feyenoord end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.24
Will Liverpool vs. Paris Saint Germain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$48.73
Will Bayer Leverkusen vs. Bayern Munich end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$54
Will Barcelona vs. Benfica end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.92
Will PSV Eindhoven win on 2025-03-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST+28.2%+$4.4
Will Real Madrid vs. Atletico Madrid end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST+33.3%+$5
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-03-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST-100%-$30.99
Will Benfica vs. Monaco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST+316.7%+$114
Will Atalanta vs. Club Brugge end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST-100%-$31.5
Will Bayern Munich vs. Celtic end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST+809.1%+$133.5
Will AC Milan vs. Feyenoord end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST+455.6%+$123
Will AC Milan win on 2025-02-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST+100%+$15
Will Monaco win on 2025-02-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST+66.7%+$20
Will Bayern Munich win on 2025-02-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Atalanta win on 2025-02-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST+69.5%+$20.5
Will the match between Juventus and Manchester City end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2024, EST+35.1%+$3.9
Will Liverpool beat Girona?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2024, EST+44.9%+$6.2
All 22 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2024, EST1291.7%11 W · 1 L+3.6wins+0.30per pick61cpaid+52.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
NFL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Vikings vs. Seahawksbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST+75.4%+$8.6
Packers vs. Seahawksbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2024, EST+75.4%+$8.6
Bills vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST-100%-$11.6
Colts vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST+50.5%+$6.82
Steelers vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST+42.9%+$6
Chiefs vs. Brownsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST+40.8%+$5.8
Dolphins vs. Texansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST+69.5%+$8.2
Bengals vs. Titansbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST+40.8%+$5.8
Rams vs. 49ersbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2024, EST+38.9%+$28
Steelers vs. Bengalsbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST+143.9%+$29.5
Cardinals vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST+58.7%+$18.5
Chargers vs. Falconsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST+92.3%+$24
All 12 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2025, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-37.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+35.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pereira vs. Ankalaevbacked Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Gaethje vs. Fizievbacked Fiziev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$60.5
Covington vs. Buckleybacked Buckley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST+25%+$10
Swanson vs. Quarantillobacked Swanson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST+316.7%+$38
All 4 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-41.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick37cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-26.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST-100%-$128
200-219 MPs vote to impeach Yoon?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2024, EST-100%-$13
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gemini have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST+47.1%+$6.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$34
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$21
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.