TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Bayer Leverkusen vs. Bayern Munich end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$33,252
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$35,104

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,252 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 236 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x40e3…0787backed No68c7,985$5,391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,593.599244.6%41 W · 51 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+3.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x616f…e996backed Yes26c4,601$1,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,196.26650%3 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+49.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2170…8e8abacked No76c3,798$2,903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$895.24250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes30c2,249$679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678.5136851.1%188 W · 180 L+15.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda44…2b09backed Yes35c1,648$577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Yes30c1,591$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.715853.4%31 W · 27 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No66c1,081$715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.1430754.1%166 W · 141 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0678…9fd0backed Yes27c699.86$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1915038%19 W · 31 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No69c684.29$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.1339842.2%168 W · 230 L+1.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes31c650.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010330.1%31 W · 72 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4345…77fabacked Yes38c526.32$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-43.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Yes38c500$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19019645.4%89 W · 107 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked No75c466.67$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.6710743%46 W · 61 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed No63c397.3$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14717048.2%82 W · 88 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No73c387.75$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.6944955.7%250 W · 199 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf8d…2ef7backed Yes27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd95…c206backed Yes28c358.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick21cpaid+702.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x235c…8c1abacked Yes23c329.4$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.151643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9320…95ddbacked Yes24c300$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$724351.2%22 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62a8…97d0backed Yes37c300$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1112857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+16.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes25c300$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7529136.8%107 W · 184 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b51…9c96backed Yes27c299.15$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802035%7 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick27cpaid+32.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x54bf…deaebacked Yes28c249.46$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x63d4…e229backed Yes28c211.24$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.92450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06be…8a46backed Yes27c200$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542250%11 W · 11 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+40.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x88cf…7d31backed Yes27c200$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542222.7%5 W · 17 L-3.2wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-50.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x73cb…b0d0backed Yes25c165.33$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.333839.5%15 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-29.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb474…a4bcbacked No70c160.19$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.061163.6%7 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick64cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked No73c150.74$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.75754.4%31 W · 26 L-0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bb8…7471backed No70c147$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.89341.9%39 W · 54 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0de4…2d29backed Yes22c143.5$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.32837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid-35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26ae…97b8backed No73c137.42$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.459952.5%52 W · 47 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+17.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35c3…ebc7backed No74c135.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.154100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+96.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8ff0…40b9backed No74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.14366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-9.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf62d…d3a0backed No75c133.92$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.925242.3%22 W · 30 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-14.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xea1e…24a1backed No73c120$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.4128.3%1 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick6cpaid-88.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x908e…3844backed Yes27c120$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2684…d3d6backed Yes28c110.7$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311936.8%7 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick28cpaid-14.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No73c109.99$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.746956.5%265 W · 204 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3f0…0fe3backed Yes27c109$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7969…c333backed No73c109$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.43128.3%1 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick6cpaid-88.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf442…ccf8backed Yes21c100.53$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.113231.3%10 W · 22 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Yes27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2711218.8%21 W · 91 L-10.4wins-0.09per pick28cpaid-34.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed No73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2719453.6%104 W · 90 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+16%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3d8c…726cbacked Yes26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262030%6 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-34.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x286e…adb7backed Yes37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371070%7 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Yes26c96.15$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254740.4%19 W · 28 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-18.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x67af…12ddbacked No75c92.68$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9503…c47fbacked Yes27c92.59$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.15per pick33cpaid-56.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x81e0…9e51backed No75c86.52$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.632100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fbc…d7c7backed No75c77.48$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d52…2a0bbacked No75c74.91$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf735…74a7backed No75c74.85$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.712100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+122.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd6d…cd3abacked Yes37c67.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+28.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd14f…186ebacked No72c63.47$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.77366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick60cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6173…4258backed Yes25c60$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152035%7 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0687…fa37backed No75c58.52$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.632100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7cd…9973backed Yes26c57.69$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152941.4%12 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdd4…7696backed Yes40c55$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229538.9%37 W · 58 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8011…e98ebacked No65c54$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.92259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No73c52.27$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.2938048.7%185 W · 195 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked No73c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.512359.3%73 W · 50 L+12.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+16%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked No73c36$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.7215153%80 W · 71 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed No72c27.13$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.618758.8%110 W · 77 L+18.7wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+33.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3018…8b64backed No74c25$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a42…1475backed No74c25$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+86.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b4c…58c2backed No74c25$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-55%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5940…0c1fbacked No74c25$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6975…2940backed No74c25$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59b8…cc7dbacked No74c25$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e1c…eb39backed No74c25$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+86.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5059…98a8backed No74c25$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+60.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb96…407dbacked No74c25$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65ea…0395backed No74c24$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.24366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x662b…416cbacked No74c24$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2098…c75ebacked No74c24$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6dd…a024backed No74c24$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdde4…8e38backed No74c24$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8ff…5c62backed No74c24$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1585…76d7backed No74c23$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.98250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3e0…20e6backed No74c23$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x457b…b8dfbacked No74c23$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bee…a77bbacked No74c23$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.982100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+63.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb13d…b993backed No74c23$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.98250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe223…752abacked No74c23$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3090…7977backed No74c23$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.98450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-32.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xedcc…88aebacked No74c23$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b6c…9aefbacked No74c23$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9f3…eb0cbacked No74c23$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.982100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+86.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd428…318bbacked No74c23$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa962…cdb0backed No74c23$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70a4…2a32backed No74c23$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86e8…8d89backed No74c23$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72fe…e2cebacked No73c22.98$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.23076.7%23 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick67cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x719b…ab9ebacked No74c22$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.72250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4de…fbbcbacked No74c22$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.72366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1c9…18c7backed No74c22$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed13…be05backed No74c22$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe992…a0a8backed No74c22$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.722100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc030…9cf5backed No74c22$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.