Champions League · resolved market
Will Bayern Munich win on 2025-03-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb0e5cde4066c3b0e35bc9c27cddfe567f32a9ebcc560fc74644057eda2183773
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $145,720
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $159,870
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $145,720 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 172 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed No | 57c | 22,371$12,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,658.06 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 56c | 16,346$9,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,179.46 | 368 | 51.1%188 W · 180 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Yes | 63c | 13,716$8,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,057.63 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 39c | 11,496$4,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,007.85 | 204 | 62.3%127 W · 77 L | +19.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed Yes | 41c | 10,357$4,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,113.71 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…3eeabacked No | 69c | 9,916$6,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,820 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Yes | 32c | 8,416$2,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,738.1 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73cb…b0d0backed No | 58c | 6,925$4,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,016.65 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed0…77f7backed Yes | 42c | 5,155$2,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,990 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed No | 58c | 3,729$2,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,152.77 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Yes | 41c | 3,674$1,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,180.77 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Yes | 41c | 2,564$1,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,504.84 | 307 | 54.1%166 W · 141 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed No | 58c | 2,390$1,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,376.55 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked No | 57c | 2,173$1,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,229.3 | 123 | 59.3%73 W · 50 L | +12.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d5…fe48backed Yes | 41c | 2,010$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,185.99 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes | 42c | 1,829$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.82 | 106 | 31.1%33 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8bf…c049backed Yes | 43c | 1,612$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.74 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 3c | 1,500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 398 | 42.2%168 W · 230 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x235c…8c1abacked No | 42c | 1,380$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.97 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 59c | 1,200$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.48 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2863…0e3ebacked No | 59c | 1,110$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.88 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 41c | 1,098$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.56 | 103 | 30.1%31 W · 72 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 58c | 1,005$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.54 | 449 | 55.7%250 W · 199 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa822…64e6backed Yes | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b37…c06bbacked Yes | 43c | 930.23$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.23 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 59c | 678.36$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.3 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 43c | 654.55$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.55 | 201 | 33.8%68 W · 133 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0560…d77dbacked No | 58c | 645$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.1 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7b…6a44backed Yes | 35c | 576.31$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.31 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 54c | 519.48$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.94 | 249 | 63.1%157 W · 92 L | +45.5wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x83e2…ce08backed No | 30c | 500$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.5 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +90.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Yes | 42c | 499.98$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.99 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed Yes | 51c | 489.18$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.18 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97b6…0acebacked Yes | 42c | 485$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.3 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 59c | 484.22$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.24 | 469 | 56.5%265 W · 204 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96e8…15dcbacked Yes | 42c | 476.38$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e0…14adbacked Yes | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.19 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd47…8277backed Yes | 41c | 470.44$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.05 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0310…ae42backed Yes | 41c | 447.95$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f63…67c4backed Yes | 38c | 341.82$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x562f…e46fbacked Yes | 43c | 329$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.53 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 57c | 319.93$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.1 | 291 | 36.8%107 W · 184 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Yes | 64c | 317.75$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.18 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…df3abacked No | 60c | 309.95$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.52 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3061…dd00backed Yes | 37c | 299.73$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.83 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…7696backed Yes | 42c | 276.06$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.92 | 95 | 38.9%37 W · 58 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Yes | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4f…5241backed Yes | 78c | 256.85$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa718…8eb5backed Yes | 38c | 252.58$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.6 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked No | 57c | 250.35$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.89 | 168 | 36.3%61 W · 107 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02cd…a6e2backed Yes | 38c | 248.97$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec5d…d3cdbacked Yes | 40c | 245.2$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +148%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0e…4dc6backed No | 57c | 244$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.08 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf5…5a81backed Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6f…7684backed Yes | 42c | 239.6$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eab…21c6backed Yes | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe483…b5a0backed Yes | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36a8…8718backed Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Yes | 40c | 208.37$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.02 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Yes | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x415a…61c9backed Yes | 43c | 179.07$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x584c…70f7backed Yes | 78c | 176.81$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 186 | 50.5%94 W · 92 L | -14.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…d768backed No | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x860a…7595backed Yes | 42c | 167.83$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +139.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7a…aa54backed Yes | 38c | 157.89$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f6…6e92backed No | 59c | 157.63$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 61cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7800…73d2backed No | 61c | 156$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.16 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8b…57f2backed Yes | 39c | 156$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.16 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 4cpaid | -76.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0de4…2d29backed Yes | 72c | 143$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.68 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6d…cd3abacked Yes | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.86 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 30c | 133.17$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.97 | 257 | 35%90 W · 167 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a58…6caebacked Yes | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x008b…439bbacked Yes | 77c | 130.36$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.36 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c13…7ab3backed Yes | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80f1…b9f1backed No | 60c | 127.53$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 59c | 125.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.95 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b7…af8bbacked Yes | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed No | 38c | 117.57$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.25 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…2b37backed Yes | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked No | 58c | 114.99$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.69 | 151 | 53%80 W · 71 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…ab3ebacked No | 64c | 100.81$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.52 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.8wins | -0.46per pick | 63cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcb16…3057backed Yes | 76c | 100.14$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.03 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8c…726cbacked No | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…62aebacked Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…bcf4backed Yes | 41c | 97.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.56 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67b8…2449backed Yes | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.24 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1c…06c9backed Yes | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.24 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0575…a83fbacked No | 66c | 90.81$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.81 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cb…c3c8backed Yes | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.89 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71b7…958dbacked Yes | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.89 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +4.4wins | +0.26per pick | 51cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 59c | 86$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.83 | 283 | 57.2%162 W · 121 L | +15.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8011…e98ebacked Yes | 38c | 86$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.32 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdacd…cfb2backed No | 59c | 84.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x065a…7b78backed No | 65c | 83.88$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 72cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63d4…e229backed No | 65c | 80.95$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.62 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 244 | 55.7%136 W · 108 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…2c72backed Yes | 41c | 80$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.2 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9567…e505backed No | 57c | 80$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bayern Munich win on 2025-03-11?this page
- Will Bayer Leverkusen vs. Bayern Munich end in a draw?No won
- Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-03-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.