Champions League · resolved market
Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-03-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe6993738f96488886a74cd2a6ff2ff81c3bd03e2c8b5a969a2df8e5aff354a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $312,194
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $317,121
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $312,194 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3061…dd00backed Yes | 0c | 202,431$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.42 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 4c | 48,106$1,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,930.68 | 398 | 42.2%168 W · 230 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked No | 68c | 6,996$4,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,218.96 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Yes | 20c | 6,155$1,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,256.59 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 31c | 4,190$1,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,315.88 | 402 | 22.9%92 W · 310 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 66c | 3,592$2,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,208.86 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 68c | 3,508$2,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,121.26 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1e…1f0bbacked Yes | 7c | 2,986$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.02 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 24cpaid | +145%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed Yes | 34c | 2,941$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c4…09cbbacked Yes | 35c | 2,891$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -5.0wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Yes | 32c | 2,341$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.6 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08f1…8f37backed No | 70c | 1,502$1,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb418…a7d5backed Yes | 30c | 1,500$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7322…bb35backed No | 67c | 1,500$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.99 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…4ee4backed Yes | 34c | 1,154$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.36 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 30c | 1,116$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.3 | 291 | 36.8%107 W · 184 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 25c | 1,012$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.3 | 368 | 51.1%188 W · 180 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Yes | 30c | 999.99$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 123 | 59.3%73 W · 50 L | +12.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…c024backed Yes | 33c | 999.95$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 32c | 625$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 122 | 30.3%37 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…8c56backed No | 67c | 600$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed No | 70c | 574.05$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.05 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 31c | 557.99$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.15 | 168 | 36.3%61 W · 107 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x235c…8c1abacked Yes | 19c | 521.11$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.97 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7f…00c2backed Yes | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed Yes | 35c | 407.91$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.77 | 65 | 27.7%18 W · 47 L | -8.3wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e1…34a5backed Yes | 36c | 380.5$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.51 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd784…26a3backed Yes | 36c | 337.64$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.55 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2591…edf3backed Yes | 34c | 297.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73cb…b0d0backed No | 66c | 246.03$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.65 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff1…2890backed Yes | 25c | 210.04$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.51 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +81.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c53…c9b0backed Yes | 31c | 199.74$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.77 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Yes | 30c | 194.56$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.13 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +5.6wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b1…8969backed No | 65c | 170$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.5 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -87.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x455c…1c25backed No | 68c | 163.35$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.27 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38bc…c0a2backed Yes | 32c | 150$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66fc…57c0backed No | 65c | 150$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -87.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad98…8733backed Yes | 36c | 146.95$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb65…3412backed No | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf240…03c2backed Yes | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe206…38cebacked Yes | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf26…c429backed No | 65c | 140$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -87.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x828f…fa80backed Yes | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d82…73fabacked No | 65c | 138$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.3 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -88.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8022…51f7backed Yes | 35c | 130$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf40…de94backed No | 65c | 130$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed No | 70c | 127.42$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.42 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb9…7f7bbacked No | 65c | 120$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -84.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcdd…814dbacked Yes | 35c | 120$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf243…c8f2backed No | 65c | 116$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -88.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb30c…7ab2backed No | 65c | 115.38$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 25c | 113.81$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.73 | 257 | 35%90 W · 167 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed No | 66c | 113.26$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.53 | 187 | 58.8%110 W · 77 L | +18.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8737…94d5backed No | 65c | 112$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -88.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb5b…69ebbacked Yes | 32c | 109.38$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…7726backed Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…9568backed No | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8c…726cbacked Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked No | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9660…aedebacked Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83e2…ce08backed Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +90.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5200…7a30backed Yes | 35c | 90$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe635…0fccbacked Yes | 35c | 88$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d8…2357backed Yes | 35c | 88$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a0…9870backed No | 65c | 84$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -87.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeae8…fa19backed Yes | 35c | 84$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…b3b7backed Yes | 36c | 83.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.12 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55c6…c338backed Yes | 33c | 81.82$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad10…0c15backed Yes | 35c | 80$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 66c | 76.02$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.06 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d40…ec9bbacked Yes | 35c | 75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae92…2a14backed Yes | 35c | 66$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf47…cf0abacked No | 65c | 65$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.75 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a3…d3acbacked Yes | 35c | 65$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6f…8012backed Yes | 35c | 65$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6972…12acbacked Yes | 35c | 64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d3…8c2bbacked Yes | 35c | 63$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b02…5f2cbacked No | 65c | 63$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…ec60backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d2a…505dbacked Yes | 35c | 62$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6173…4258backed No | 65c | 61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.35 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…54c7backed Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a1…d3adbacked No | 65c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4d…bdb5backed No | 65c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e4…c023backed Yes | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf274…ee54backed Yes | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb61…caf9backed Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…7696backed Yes | 29c | 56.34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 95 | 38.9%37 W · 58 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…3e31backed Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72bd…9f3abacked Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1c…e7f1backed Yes | 35c | 48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…e4e2backed Yes | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9c…842bbacked Yes | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…4130backed No | 68c | 39.71$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.71 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1752…9ababacked Yes | 32c | 37.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 38cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc579…7e6bbacked Yes | 33c | 36.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x868a…c96bbacked Yes | 36c | 36.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4041…6f52backed Yes | 35c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 183 | 34.4%63 W · 120 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…28ddbacked No | 68c | 34.07$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-03-11?this page
- Will Bayer Leverkusen vs. Bayern Munich end in a draw?No won
- Will Bayern Munich win on 2025-03-11?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.