Exact Score: Any Other Score?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x24051f27837f9c14eb3e14b5fce7e440b2c9d0ad9809730b3570e03d45ff02fd

Rebuilt 21 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 1, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $85,631
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $76,890

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,631 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	16c	13,086$2,121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,120.56	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfde6…7ed6backed Yes	17c	10,000$1,700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,699.99	427	10.3%44 W · 383 L	-12.6wins	-0.03per pick	13cpaid	-42.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4ae…8eadbacked Yes	15c	5,968$895 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$895.21	355	14.4%51 W · 304 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd34a…78c7backed Yes	6c	4,243$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	137	21.2%29 W · 108 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	+27.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17d6…f1e2backed Yes	5c	2,945$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.26	49	30.6%15 W · 34 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes	18c	2,222$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	502	14.5%73 W · 429 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x71d6…7248backed Yes	15c	2,000$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	80	7.5%6 W · 74 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	7cpaid	-43.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4926…e7cdbacked Yes	1c	1,930$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.76	59	0%0 W · 59 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Yes	5c	1,836$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.8	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xde0a…f102backed Yes	16c	1,745$279 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$279.2	564	10.5%59 W · 505 L	-1.5wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5f37…281bbacked Yes	16c	1,500$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	228	13.2%30 W · 198 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	+30.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x71da…bc9ebacked Yes	16c	1,250$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	187	42.8%80 W · 107 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4457…f3e2backed Yes	9c	1,000$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	142	31%44 W · 98 L	+6.6wins	+0.05per pick	26cpaid	+13%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Yes	2c	853.74$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.91	1,135	40.2%456 W · 679 L	+5.2wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf067…5c6dbacked Yes	16c	625$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	339	15.9%54 W · 285 L	-6.5wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb72d…f11ebacked Yes	18c	555.56$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	172	23.3%40 W · 132 L	+4.2wins	+0.02per pick	21cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c3b…ab63backed Yes	18c	555.56$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	86	19.8%17 W · 69 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-29.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc392…595dbacked Yes	16c	542.25$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.76	43	37.2%16 W · 27 L	-5.7wins	-0.13per pick	50cpaid	-39.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1597…6edebacked Yes	17c	458.33$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	470	29.1%137 W · 333 L	-14.2wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4029…c8b3backed Yes	18c	449.67$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.94	53	26.4%14 W · 39 L	+2.7wins	+0.05per pick	21cpaid	+7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x69f0…fb27backed Yes	14c	417$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.38	350	35.7%125 W · 225 L	-6.0wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f56…2a4abacked Yes	16c	408.44$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.35	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	-1.4wins	-0.11per pick	18cpaid	-48.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xadfd…038bbacked Yes	15c	399.97$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.99	364	23.6%86 W · 278 L	+12.1wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd64…358cbacked Yes	14c	357.5$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.3wins	+0.05per pick	28cpaid	-45.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes	15c	343.39$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.51	470	32.8%154 W · 316 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeb5d…0c35backed Yes	16c	312.5$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	64	35.9%23 W · 41 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcba9…f812backed Yes	16c	312.5$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	79	13.9%11 W · 68 L	-4.3wins	-0.05per pick	19cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c20…a7dfbacked Yes	18c	310$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.8	302	15.2%46 W · 256 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b97…76adbacked Yes	16c	301.96$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.31	69	14.5%10 W · 59 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6dbc…4d19backed Yes	16c	301.81$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.29	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	+1.0wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x06be…8a46backed Yes	16c	300$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	99	19.2%19 W · 80 L	+3.7wins	+0.04per pick	15cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b57…263ebacked Yes	7c	285.71$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	397	52.1%207 W · 190 L	+6.0wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x63b0…4cf2backed Yes	16c	281.25$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	25	20%5 W · 20 L	-3.1wins	-0.13per pick	33cpaid	-49.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcdb1…805cbacked Yes	18c	277.78$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	123	13.8%17 W · 106 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-10%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Yes	17c	260.42$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	1,388	15.1%210 W · 1,178 L	-16.0wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a49…a53bbacked Yes	16c	250$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	101	49.5%50 W · 51 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4cc…6135backed Yes	16c	250$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	164	28.7%47 W · 117 L	+9.9wins	+0.06per pick	23cpaid	+33.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x37e1…85fbbacked Yes	16c	250$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	44	38.6%17 W · 27 L	+5.5wins	+0.13per pick	26cpaid	+44.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9d36…9c54backed Yes	4c	242.01$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	125	17.6%22 W · 103 L	-5.1wins	-0.04per pick	22cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f45…2598backed Yes	18c	222.22$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-49.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc537…f4d0backed Yes	16c	206.25$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	26	19.2%5 W · 21 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2fe…10e3backed Yes	16c	187.5$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	54	46.3%25 W · 29 L	+2.9wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x764d…e947backed Yes	16c	162.5$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	48	6.3%3 W · 45 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	-54.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8af…0550backed Yes	16c	156.25$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	356	14.3%51 W · 305 L	-14.3wins	-0.04per pick	18cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a73…c908backed Yes	18c	140.87$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	56	8.9%5 W · 51 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	7cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6912…c24ebacked Yes	18c	138.89$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	131	25.2%33 W · 98 L	-7.3wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a2f…5468backed Yes	19c	131.58$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	157	8.9%14 W · 143 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc869…5ec8backed Yes	16c	127.9$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.37	83	20.5%17 W · 66 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2026…35b9backed Yes	16c	125$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1556…b722backed Yes	16c	125$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	296	39.5%117 W · 179 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa1d…c957backed Yes	16c	125$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	59	22%13 W · 46 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fba…2077backed Yes	16c	125$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	23	26.1%6 W · 17 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	28cpaid	-30.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb44a…51a7backed Yes	16c	125$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	307	32.9%101 W · 206 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80cc…c7c7backed Yes	16c	125$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	43	23.3%10 W · 33 L	-2.3wins	-0.05per pick	29cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes	17c	117.65$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	373	23.1%86 W · 287 L	-9.1wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd6a…4119backed Yes	18c	115.28$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.75	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd94a…ea96backed Yes	18c	111.11$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	104	29.8%31 W · 73 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60e0…33fabacked Yes	18c	111.11$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	375	26.1%98 W · 277 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	25cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cd0…6304backed Yes	16c	110$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.6	23	13%3 W · 20 L	-1.4wins	-0.06per pick	19cpaid	-41.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd661…2750backed Yes	16c	100$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	130	38.5%50 W · 80 L	+9.1wins	+0.07per pick	31cpaid	+29.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x101d…cad2backed Yes	11c	97.53$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.81	112	24.1%27 W · 85 L	-10.3wins	-0.09per pick	33cpaid	-28%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x6db6…5176backed Yes	16c	95.44$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.27	76	15.8%12 W · 64 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8264…4e80backed Yes	16c	93.75$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	19	26.3%5 W · 14 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	22cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9057…02dabacked Yes	17c	92.36$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	189	21.7%41 W · 148 L	+4.4wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89c3…322bbacked Yes	16c	90.5$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.48	200	24.5%49 W · 151 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x613a…2185backed Yes	19c	89$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.91	462	30.1%139 W · 323 L	-13.8wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb754…78a2backed Yes	17c	88.24$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	60	15%9 W · 51 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2895…7db8backed Yes	18c	83.33$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	29	31%9 W · 20 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	27cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Yes	18c	79.13$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.86	1,111	24.3%270 W · 841 L	-32.2wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes	17c	79$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.11	3,286	49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L	+6.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaab5…bc89backed Yes	18c	77.78$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	152	9.2%14 W · 138 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e83…3bb7backed Yes	16c	74.81$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.97	1,206	32.7%394 W · 812 L	-8.0wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Yes	17c	65$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.05	2,231	49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L	-21.2wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2c6…de64backed Yes	16c	62.5$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x751f…4a2cbacked Yes	16c	62.5$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	191	44.5%85 W · 106 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcc9b…f2c6backed Yes	16c	62.5$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	78	19.2%15 W · 63 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9192…0f21backed Yes	16c	62.5$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	-49.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb37b…3345backed Yes	16c	62.5$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	58	27.6%16 W · 42 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-31.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa026…6d14backed Yes	16c	62.5$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	98	27.6%27 W · 71 L	+5.0wins	+0.05per pick	22cpaid	+32.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa339…82eabacked Yes	16c	62.5$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	15	13.3%2 W · 13 L	-1.1wins	-0.07per pick	20cpaid	-59.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9b0…0841backed Yes	16c	62.5$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe3ef…9b2fbacked Yes	16c	62.5$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	36	27.8%10 W · 26 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-47.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c70…14a8backed Yes	16c	62.5$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	21	23.8%5 W · 16 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x859e…894fbacked Yes	16c	62.5$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	50	26%13 W · 37 L	-2.5wins	-0.05per pick	31cpaid	-39.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf334…36b9backed Yes	16c	62.5$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	25	40%10 W · 15 L	+3.2wins	+0.13per pick	27cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8f88…5e6abacked Yes	16c	62.5$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	49	40.8%20 W · 29 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e21…5fd8backed Yes	16c	62.5$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	54	18.5%10 W · 44 L	-4.1wins	-0.08per pick	26cpaid	-65%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfd64…18a0backed Yes	16c	62.5$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No	78c	24.44$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.39	2,796	56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L	-9.2wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Exact Score: Any Other Score?this page
Exact Score: England 0 - 0 DR Congo?No won
Exact Score: England 0 - 1 DR Congo?No won
Exact Score: England 0 - 2 DR Congo?No won
Exact Score: England 0 - 3 DR Congo?No won
Exact Score: England 1 - 0 DR Congo?No won
Exact Score: England 1 - 1 DR Congo?No won
Exact Score: England 1 - 2 DR Congo?No won
Exact Score: England 1 - 3 DR Congo?No won
Exact Score: England 2 - 0 DR Congo?No won
Exact Score: England 2 - 1 DR Congo?Yes won
Exact Score: England 2 - 2 DR Congo?No won
Exact Score: England 2 - 3 DR Congo?No won
Exact Score: England 3 - 0 DR Congo?No won
Exact Score: England 3 - 1 DR Congo?No won
Exact Score: England 3 - 2 DR Congo?No won
Exact Score: England 3 - 3 DR Congo?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Exact Score: Any Other Score?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event