Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: England 3 - 2 DR Congo?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x81f9281c5906226ef5a4385319e64ebbca87549afaeaa74898fba4f6afe2fd7c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $317,438
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $243,341
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $317,438 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Yes | 2c | 60,126$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 1c | 37,147$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.37 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 2c | 31,425$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.97 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d4…c45abacked Yes | 2c | 9,957$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 287 | 16.4%47 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0886…b3a6backed Yes | 2c | 5,530$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 329 | 22.5%74 W · 255 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Yes | 2c | 5,000$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.39 | 228 | 13.2%30 W · 198 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 4c | 3,760$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.19 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16a4…66adbacked Yes | 6c | 3,444$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 175 | 18.3%32 W · 143 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9706…bc33backed Yes | 6c | 3,426$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 226 | 26.5%60 W · 166 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c6c…74c8backed Yes | 2c | 2,715$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 76 | 13.2%10 W · 66 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 7cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8a…2d3cbacked Yes | 3c | 2,643$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.3 | 262 | 16%42 W · 220 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +35%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Yes | 1c | 2,635$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 847 | 51%432 W · 415 L | +10.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 2c | 2,488$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.74 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9785…2419backed Yes | 2c | 2,484$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.46 | 156 | 5.8%9 W · 147 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes | 2c | 2,395$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 502 | 14.5%73 W · 429 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x355f…1847backed Yes | 2c | 1,875$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde0a…f102backed Yes | 2c | 1,829$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.09 | 564 | 10.5%59 W · 505 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Yes | 3c | 1,500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 278 | 11.9%33 W · 245 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40d9…f3c0backed Yes | 7c | 1,454$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.25 | 43 | 23.3%10 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1597…6edebacked Yes | 2c | 1,333$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 470 | 29.1%137 W · 333 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…cf16backed Yes | 2c | 1,250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 626 | 6.7%42 W · 584 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…10b4backed Yes | 2c | 1,250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 724 | 24.7%179 W · 545 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdec4…046fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,235$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 345 | 26.1%90 W · 255 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…583cbacked Yes | 4c | 1,027$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.39 | 927 | 32.1%298 W · 629 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35fb…4ce5backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 131 | 12.2%16 W · 115 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes | 5c | 999$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 388 | 17%66 W · 322 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x436c…0875backed Yes | 2c | 991.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5718…d232backed Yes | 2c | 882.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 160 | 13.8%22 W · 138 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e51…98f7backed Yes | 2c | 823.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 33 | 12.1%4 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.12per pick | 24cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5605…83e2backed Yes | 2c | 810$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 351 | 10.8%38 W · 313 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90b2…da2dbacked Yes | 2c | 780.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | +8.0wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2e…41eabacked Yes | 2c | 721.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 152 | 13.8%21 W · 131 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7e…0332backed Yes | 2c | 703.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 535 | 14.6%78 W · 457 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…0dfcbacked Yes | 4c | 645.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.45 | 585 | 30.9%181 W · 404 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce3…47e6backed Yes | 2c | 625$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1af7…860abacked Yes | 2c | 625$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x859e…894fbacked Yes | 2c | 625$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b59…be19backed Yes | 2c | 625$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 323 | 12.1%39 W · 284 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a73…c908backed Yes | 2c | 625$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 56 | 8.9%5 W · 51 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21e7…4041backed Yes | 6c | 545$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.22 | 126 | 6.3%8 W · 118 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70c4…dd99backed Yes | 4c | 540.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…2b31backed Yes | 6c | 535.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 74 | 31.1%23 W · 51 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +33%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2f…5468backed Yes | 2c | 526.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 157 | 8.9%14 W · 143 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1318…69afbacked Yes | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 180 | 28.3%51 W · 129 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Yes | 3c | 454.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 479 | 35.1%168 W · 311 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c6…1462backed Yes | 4c | 444.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 311 | 19.3%60 W · 251 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed Yes | 4c | 428$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 340 | 35%119 W · 221 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa447…4bfebacked Yes | 5c | 408.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4543…4a20backed Yes | 6c | 402.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.55 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e67…9a3ebacked Yes | 3c | 400$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 300 | 32.3%97 W · 203 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ae…428cbacked Yes | 5c | 399.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 373 | 20.9%78 W · 295 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4e…bc71backed Yes | 4c | 388.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea4…9d9abacked Yes | 5c | 279.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 84 | 31%26 W · 58 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfde8…1eb3backed Yes | 7c | 277.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x467e…6e86backed Yes | 7c | 263.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 165 | 53.3%88 W · 77 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ad…fe73backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 80 | 23.8%19 W · 61 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: England 3 - 2 DR Congo?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: England 0 - 0 DR Congo?No won
- Exact Score: England 0 - 1 DR Congo?No won
- Exact Score: England 0 - 2 DR Congo?No won
- Exact Score: England 0 - 3 DR Congo?No won
- Exact Score: England 1 - 0 DR Congo?No won
- Exact Score: England 1 - 1 DR Congo?No won
- Exact Score: England 1 - 2 DR Congo?No won
- Exact Score: England 1 - 3 DR Congo?No won
- Exact Score: England 2 - 0 DR Congo?No won
- Exact Score: England 2 - 1 DR Congo?Yes won
- Exact Score: England 2 - 2 DR Congo?No won
- Exact Score: England 2 - 3 DR Congo?No won
- Exact Score: England 3 - 0 DR Congo?No won
- Exact Score: England 3 - 1 DR Congo?No won
- Exact Score: England 3 - 3 DR Congo?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.